Table 1 Model parameter of RF model predicting change to Annalena Baerbock (M1) and Armin Laschet (M2) based on pre-debate and RTR data.
| Â | Change to Baerbock (M1) | Change to Laschet (M2) |
|---|---|---|
Sample size | 4613 | 4613 |
Frequency of class labels | No change: 3522, Change: 1091 | No change: 4188, Change: 425 |
Number of trees | 1250 | 1250 |
Average no. of terminal nodes | 248.78 | 107.939 |
No. of variables tried at each split | 250 | 250 |
Total no. of variables | 314 | 314 |
Analysis | Random | Random |
Forest | Forest | |
Classification | Classification | |
Number of random split points | 30 | 30 |
(OOB) Normalized Brier score | 35.45505 | 12.84104 |
(OOB) AUC | 93.21869 | 95.85909 |
(OOB) Error rate | 0.12378062, 0.08006814, 0.26489459 | 0.04010405, 0.01886342, 0.24941176 |
