Table 3 Standardised coefficients in three-level probit regressions predicting uncertain career expectations with national environments, school contexts, and student background factors.
M1 | M2 | M3 | M4 | M5 | M6 | M7 | M8 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
β | Pr | β | Pr | β | Pr | β | Pr | β | Pr | β | Pr | β | Pr | β | Pr | ||
CNT level | Stability | ||||||||||||||||
Uncertainty 2018 | 0.799c | 0.79 | 0.821c | 0.79 | 0.824c | 0.80 | 0.810c | 0.79 | 0.812c | 0.79 | 0.814c | 0.79 | 0.814c | 0.79 | |||
National environment | |||||||||||||||||
GDP | −0.010 | 0.50 | 0.018 | 0.51 | 0.033 | 0.51 | 0.021 | 0.51 | 0.026 | 0.51 | 0.026 | 0.51 | 0.139 | 0.56 | |||
NEET | 0.082 | 0.53 | 0.094a | 0.54 | 0.083 | 0.53 | 0.072 | 0.53 | 0.082 | 0.53 | 0.082 | 0.53 | −0.060 | 0.48 | |||
Pandemic influence | |||||||||||||||||
Stringency | −0.002 | 0.50 | −0.002 | 0.50 | −0.002 | 0.50 | −0.001 | 0.50 | −0.001 | 0.50 | −0.136 | 0.45 | |||||
Work-hour loss | 0.087 | 0.53 | 0.077 | 0.53 | 0.079 | 0.53 | 0.079 | 0.53 | 0.079 | 0.53 | 0.026 | 0.51 | |||||
R2 between cnt | 0.639 | 0.643 | 0.655 | 0.647 | 0.649 | 0.649 | 0.649 | 0.079 | |||||||||
SCH level | School context | ||||||||||||||||
Sch achievement | −0.208c | 0.42 | −0.206c | 0.42 | −0.206c | 0.42 | −0.213c | 0.42 | −0.213c | 0.42 | −0.208c | 0.42 | −0.208c | 0.42 | −0.212c | 0.42 | |
Sch SES | 0.184c | 0.57 | 0.176c | 0.57 | 0.177c | 0.57 | 0.183c | 0.57 | 0.181c | 0.57 | 0.175c | 0.57 | 0.175c | 0.57 | 0.187c | 0.57 | |
Edu disruption | −0.154c | 0.44 | −0.150c | 0.44 | −0.151c | 0.44 | −0.156c | 0.44 | −0.157c | 0.44 | −0.157c | 0.44 | −0.157c | 0.44 | −0.157c | 0.44 | |
Career guidance | −0.045c | 0.48 | −0.041c | 0.48 | −0.045c | 0.48 | −0.042c | 0.48 | −0.043c | 0.48 | −0.043c | 0.48 | −0.043c | 0.48 | 0.044c | 0.52 | |
R2 between sch | 0.047 | 0.046 | 0.047 | 0.049 | 0.049 | 0.048 | 0.048 | 0.049 | |||||||||
STU level | Student background | ||||||||||||||||
Female gender | −0.080c | 0.47 | −0.080c | 0.47 | −0.080c | 0.47 | −0.080c | 0.47 | −0.080c | 0.47 | −0.080c | 0.47 | −0.080c | 0.47 | −0.080c | 0.47 | |
Achievement | −0.205c | 0.42 | −0.205c | 0.42 | −0.205c | 0.42 | −0.205c | 0.42 | −0.205c | 0.42 | −0.204c | 0.42 | −0.204c | 0.42 | −0.204c | 0.42 | |
SES | −0.041c | 0.48 | −0.040c | 0.48 | −0.039c | 0.48 | −0.037c | 0.48 | −0.037c | 0.48 | −0.039c | 0.48 | −0.039c | 0.48 | −0.038c | 0.48 | |
Preparation | −0.036c | 0.49 | −0.036c | 0.49 | −0.036c | 0.49 | −0.037c | 0.49 | −0.037c | 0.49 | −0.037c | 0.49 | −0.037c | 0.49 | −0.036c | 0.49 | |
Self-efficacy | −0.029c | 0.49 | −0.028c | 0.49 | −0.028c | 0.49 | −0.028c | 0.49 | −0.028c | 0.49 | −0.028c | 0.49 | −0.028c | 0.49 | −0.029c | 0.49 | |
Interactions | |||||||||||||||||
SES*GDP | 0.012c | 0.50 | 0.008c | 0.50 | |||||||||||||
SES* NEET | −0.010c | 0.50 | −0.004 | 0.50 | |||||||||||||
Female* GDP | 0.003a | 0.50 | 0.006c | 0.50 | |||||||||||||
Female*NEET | 0.000 | 0.50 | 0.004 | 0.50 | |||||||||||||
R2 within | 0.066 | 0.066 | 0.066 | 0.066 | 0.066 | 0.065 | 0.065 | 0.066 | |||||||||