Fig. 3: Contributions of global warming and Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation to future sea surface temperature and precipitation changes.
From: AMOC weakening modulates global warming impacts on precipitation over Brazil

MME mean of a ΔSST and b ΔPR associated with 1 °C of ΔGSAT (°C); and contribution of ΔGSAT to c ΔSST and d ΔPR; contribution of ΔAMOC to e ΔSST and f ΔPR. The contours denote the explained variance (or R2). Asterisks (*) indicate that the variables are divided by ΔGSAT for each respective CMIP6 model. Gray stippling indicates areas where changes are statistically significant at the 95% confidence level, based on a bootstrap resampling of the 1950–2000 climatology to estimate internal variability.