Fig. 4: Influence of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and global warming on future changes in extreme rainfall.
From: AMOC weakening modulates global warming impacts on precipitation over Brazil
MME mean of a ΔRx1day, b ΔRx5day and c ΔR99p associated with 1 °C of ΔGSAT (°C); contribution of ΔGSAT to d ΔRx1day, e ΔRx5day and f ΔR99p; and contribution of ΔAMOC to g ΔRx1day, h ΔRx5day and i ΔR99p. The contours denote the explained variance (or R2). Asterisks (*) indicate that the variables are divided by ΔGSAT for each respective CMIP6 model. Gray stippling indicates areas where changes are statistically significant at the 95% confidence level, based on a bootstrap resampling of the 1950–2000 climatology to estimate internal variability.
