Skip to main content

Thank you for visiting nature.com. You are using a browser version with limited support for CSS. To obtain the best experience, we recommend you use a more up to date browser (or turn off compatibility mode in Internet Explorer). In the meantime, to ensure continued support, we are displaying the site without styles and JavaScript.

Advertisement

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
  • View all journals
  • Search
  • My Account Login
  • Content Explore content
  • About the journal
  • Publish with us
  • Sign up for alerts
  • RSS feed
  1. nature
  2. npj climate and atmospheric science
  3. articles
  4. article
Seasonal progression of melt and snowlines in Alaska from SAR reveals impacts of warming
Download PDF
Download PDF
  • Article
  • Open access
  • Published: 04 February 2026

Seasonal progression of melt and snowlines in Alaska from SAR reveals impacts of warming

  • Albin Wells1,
  • David R. Rounce1 &
  • Mark Fahnestock2 

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science , Article number:  (2026) Cite this article

  • 132 Accesses

  • Metrics details

We are providing an unedited version of this manuscript to give early access to its findings. Before final publication, the manuscript will undergo further editing. Please note there may be errors present which affect the content, and all legal disclaimers apply.

Subjects

  • Climate sciences
  • Environmental sciences
  • Natural hazards

Abstract

Glaciers in Alaska contribute greatly to sea-level rise and are losing mass at a faster rate than any other region. Yet, our understanding of ongoing changes and ability to model them are hindered by a lack of observations, particularly at high spatiotemporal resolution. Here, we leverage Sentinel-1 synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data to produce temporally-varying glacier melt extents and snowlines from mid-2016 to 2024 for 99% of glaciers in Alaska greater than 2 km2. The melt extents are strongly correlated with temperatures, revealing that each 1°C increase in summer temperature causes up to 3 additional weeks of glacier melt. The high spatiotemporal resolution also captures subseasonal changes such as the 2019 heat wave, which caused subregional snowlines to retreat up to 105 m higher and exposed up to 28% more of the underlying glacier compared to typical years. Our snowlines agree well with optical datasets (r2 up to 0.94), thus providing unprecedented reliable data unencumbered by clouds or lighting conditions. Moving forward, our automated, open-source workflow can easily be applied to other regions. These data also present unique opportunities to calibrate and validate large-scale glacier evolution models, a critical step for improving projections of glacier changes and their impacts.

Similar content being viewed by others

Historical glacier change on Svalbard predicts doubling of mass loss by 2100

Article 19 January 2022

Rising snowline altitudes across Southern Hemisphere glaciers from 2000 to 2023

Article Open access 13 October 2025

Observed positive feedback between surface ablation and crevasse formation drives glacier acceleration and potential surge

Article Open access 18 December 2025

Data availability

All data produced in this work are available with open access, and the source data are publicly accessible. Sentinel-1 SAR data can be downloaded through the Alaska Satellite Facility Vertex tool (https://search.asf.alaska.edu/#/). Glacier outlines are available online through the Global Land Ice Measurements from Space (GLIMS) initiative (https://www.glims.org/RGI/). Climate data are available online at the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (cds.climate.copernicus.eu/). All glacier transient snowlines, melt extents, and binned backscatter products are available from Zenodo (https://zenodo.org/records/17108203) and can be easily accessed, visualized, and downloaded for any glacier through an online tool (https://alaskasnowlines.streamlit.app/).

Code availability

Python was used to generate all results and analysis in this study. Information regarding Python installation and system requirements is available online (https://www.python.org/). Code used to produce these results and generate figures is available on GitHub (https://github.com/albinwwells/SAR-Alaska-Processing) with a sample dataset and accompanying tutorial available on Zenodo (https://zenodo.org/records/17108203).

References

  1. Bojinski, S. et al. The concept of essential climate variables in support of climate research, applications, and policy. Bull. Am. Meterol. Soc. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00047.1 (2014).

  2. Sass, L. C., Loso, M. G., Geck, J., Thoms, E. E. & Mcgrath, D. Geometry, mass balance and thinning at Eklutna Glacier, Alaska: an altitude-mass-balance feedback with implications for water resources. J. Glaciol. 63, 343–354 (2017).

    Google Scholar 

  3. Zemp, M. et al. Community estimate of global glacier mass changes from 2000 to 2023. Nature. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-08545-z (2025).

  4. Dussaillant, I. et al. Annual mass change of the world’s glaciers from 1976 to 2024 by temporal downscaling of satellite data with in situ observations. Earth Syst. Sci. Data 17, 1977–2006 (2025).

    Google Scholar 

  5. Rounce, D. R. et al. Global glacier change in the 21st century: every increase in temperature matters. Science 379, 78–83 (2023).

    Google Scholar 

  6. IPCC. Climate Change 2023: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (eds Core Writing Team, Lee, H. & Romero, J.) 35–115. https://doi.org/10.59327/IPCC/AR6-9789291691647 (IPCC, 2023).

  7. Cremona, A., Huss, M., Landmann, J. M., Borner, J. & Farinotti, D. European heat waves 2022: contribution to extreme glacier melt in Switzerland inferred from automated ablation readings. Cryosphere 17, 1895–1912 (2023).

    Google Scholar 

  8. Xu, C. et al. Heatwaves in summer 2022 forces substantial mass loss for Urumqi Glacier No. 1, China. J. Glaciol. https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2024.4 (2024).

  9. Menounos, B. et al. Glaciers in Western Canada-Conterminous US and Switzerland experience unprecedented mass loss over the last four years (2021–2024). Geophys. Res. Lett. 52, e2025GL115235 (2025).

    Google Scholar 

  10. Raup, B. et al. Remote sensing and GIS technology in the Global Land Ice Measurements from Space (GLIMS) Project. Comput. Geosci. 33, 104–125 (2007).

    Google Scholar 

  11. Cogley, J. et al. Glossary of glacier mass balance and related terms. https://doi.org/10.5167/uzh-53475. (2011).

  12. Braithwaite, R. J. Can the mass balance of a glacier be estimated from its equilibrium-line altitude?. J. Glaciol. 30, 364–368 (1984).

    Google Scholar 

  13. Benn, D. I. & Lehmkuhl, F. Mass balance and equilibrium-line altitudes of glaciers in high-mountain environments. Quat. Int. 65–66, 15–29 (2000).

    Google Scholar 

  14. Rabatel, A., Dedieu, J.-P. & Vincent, C. Using remote-sensing data to determine equilibrium-line altitude and mass-balance time series: validation on three French glaciers, 1994–2002. J. Glaciol. 51, 539–546 (2005).

    Google Scholar 

  15. Rabatel, A. et al. Annual and seasonal glacier-wide surface mass balance quantified from changes in glacier surface state: a review on existing methods using optical satellite imagery. Remote Sens. 9, 507 (2017).

    Google Scholar 

  16. Barcaza, G., Aniya, M., Matsumoto, T. & Aoki, T. Satellite-derived equilibrium lines in Northern Patagonia Icefield, Chile, and their implications to glacier variations. Arct., Antarct., Alp. Res. 41, 174–182 (2009).

    Google Scholar 

  17. McFadden, E. M., Ramage, J. & Rodbell, D. T. Landsat TM and ETM+ derived snowline altitudes in the Cordillera Huayhuash and Cordillera Raura, Peru, 1986–2005. Cryosphere 5, 419–430 (2011).

    Google Scholar 

  18. Guo, Z. et al. Spatiotemporal variability in the glacier snowline altitude across High Mountain Asia and potential driving factors. Remote Sens. 13, 425 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  19. Curley, A. N., Kochtitzky, W. H., Edwards, B. R. & Copland, L. Glacier changes over the past 144 years at Alexandra Fiord, Ellesmere Island, Canada. J. Glaciol. 67, 511–522 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  20. Lorrey, A. M. et al. Southern Alps equilibrium line altitudes: four decades of observations show coherent glacier–climate responses and a rising snowline trend. J. Glaciol. 68, 1127–1140 (2022).

    Google Scholar 

  21. Larocca, L. J. et al. Arctic glacier snowline altitudes rise 150 m over the last 4 decades. Cryosphere 18, 3591–3611 (2024).

    Google Scholar 

  22. Bevington, A. R. & Menounos, B. Glaciers in western North America experience exceptional transient snowline rise over satellite era. Environ. Res. Lett. 20, 054044 (2025).

    Google Scholar 

  23. Zeller, L., McGrath, D., Sass, L., Florentine, C. & Downs, J. Equilibrium line altitudes, accumulation areas and the vulnerability of glaciers in Alaska. J. Glaciol. 71, e28 (2025).

    Google Scholar 

  24. Aberle, R. et al. Leveraging weekly snow cover time series for improved glacier monitoring and modeling. Geophys. Res. Lett. 52, e2025GL115523 (2025).

    Google Scholar 

  25. Bernat, M. et al. Precipitation phase drives seasonal and decadal snowline changes in high mountain Asia. Environ. Res. Lett. 20, 064039 (2025).

    Google Scholar 

  26. Barandun, M. et al. Multi-decadal mass balance series of three Kyrgyz glaciers inferred from modelling constrained with repeated snow line observations. Cryosphere 12, 1899–1919 (2018).

    Google Scholar 

  27. Geck, J., Hock, R., Loso, M. G., Ostman, J. & Dial, R. Modeling the impacts of climate change on mass balance and discharge of Eklutna Glacier, Alaska, 1985–2019. J. Glaciol. 67, 909–920 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  28. Cremona, A. et al. Seasonal mass balance drivers for Swiss glaciers over 2010–2024 inferred from remote-sensing observations and modelling. Preprint at https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2929 (2025).

  29. Cremona, A. et al. Constraining sub-seasonal glacier mass balance in the Swiss Alps using Sentinel-2-derived snow-cover observations. J. Glaciol. 71, e25 (2025).

    Google Scholar 

  30. Rastner, P. et al. On the automated mapping of snow cover on glaciers and calculation of snow line altitudes from multi-temporal Landsat data. Remote Sens. 11, 1410 (2019).

    Google Scholar 

  31. Racoviteanu, A. E., Rittger, K. & Armstrong, R. An automated approach for estimating snowline altitudes in the Karakoram and Eastern Himalaya from remote sensing. Front. Earth Sci. 7, 220 (2019).

  32. Aberle, R. et al. Automated snow cover detection on mountain glaciers using spaceborne imagery and machine learning. Cryosphere 19, 1675–1693 (2025).

    Google Scholar 

  33. Loibl, D., Richter, N. & Grünberg, I. Remote sensing-derived time series of transient glacier snowline altitudes for High Mountain Asia, 1985–2021. Sci. Data 12, 103 (2025).

    Google Scholar 

  34. Pelto, M. Utility of late summer transient snowline migration rate on Taku Glacier, Alaska. Cryosphere 5, 1127–1133 (2011).

    Google Scholar 

  35. Mernild, S. H. et al. Identification of snow ablation rate, ELA, AAR and net mass balance using transient snowline variations on two Arctic glaciers. J. Glaciol. 59, 649–659 (2013).

    Google Scholar 

  36. Shi, J. & Dozier, J. Inferring snow wetness using C-band data from SIR-C’s polarimetric synthetic aperture radar. IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote Sens. 33, 905–914 (1995).

    Google Scholar 

  37. Nagler, T. & Rott, H. Retrieval of wet snow by means of multitemporal SAR data. IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote Sens. 38, 754–765 (2000).

    Google Scholar 

  38. Heilig, A., Wendleder, A., Schmitt, A. & Mayer, C. Discriminating wet snow and firn for alpine glaciers using Sentinel-1 data: a case study at Rofental, Austria. Geosciences 9, 69 (2019).

    Google Scholar 

  39. Neckel, N., Zeising, O., Steinhage, D., Helm, V. & Humbert, A. Seasonal observations at 79°N Glacier (Greenland) from remote sensing and in situ measurements. Front. Earth Sci. 8, 142 (2020).

  40. Scher, C., Steiner, N. C. & McDonald, K. C. Mapping seasonal glacier melt across the Hindu Kush Himalaya with time series synthetic aperture radar (SAR). Cryosphere 15, 4465–4482 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  41. Singh, S. K. et al. Seasonal variability of snow/ice facies using four years of RISAT-1 MRS data over glaciers in Himalayan–Karakoram region. IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote Sens. 61, 1–8 (2023).

    Google Scholar 

  42. Turbé, C., Karbou, F., Rabatel, A. & Gouttevin, I. Snowmelt dynamics in a temperate glacier using Sentinel-1 SAR images: a case study on Saint-Sorlin Glacier, French Alps. IEEE J. Sel. Top. Appl. Earth Obs. Remote Sens. 17, 8904–8917 (2024).

    Google Scholar 

  43. Li, G. et al. Glacier melt detection at different sites of Greenland ice sheet using dual-polarized Sentinel-1 images. Geo-Spat. Inf. Sci. 27, 728–743 (2024).

    Google Scholar 

  44. Li, S., Huang, L., Bernhard, P. & Hajnsek, I. Mapping seasonal snow melting in Karakoram using SAR and topographic data. Cryosphere 19, 1621–1639 (2025).

    Google Scholar 

  45. Jiao, H., Li, G., Chen, Z. & Cheng, X. Glacier surface melt monitoring using Sentinel-1 SAR backscattering coefficient and polarimetric decomposition features at Greenland ice sheet. Geo-Spat. Inf. Sci. 0, 1–23 (2025).

    Google Scholar 

  46. Adam, S., Pietroniro, A. & Brugman, M. M. Glacier snow line mapping using ERS-1 SAR imagery. Remote Sens. Environ. 61, 46–54 (1997).

    Google Scholar 

  47. Huang, L., Li, Z., Tian, B., Chen, Q. & Zhou, J. Monitoring glacier zones and snow/firn line changes in the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau using C-band SAR imagery. Remote Sens. Environ. 137, 17–30 (2013).

    Google Scholar 

  48. Callegari, M. et al. A Pol-SAR analysis for alpine glacier classification and snowline altitude retrieval. IEEE J. Sel. Top. Appl. Earth Obs. Remote Sens. 9, 3106–3121 (2016).

    Google Scholar 

  49. Winsvold, S. H. et al. Using SAR satellite data time series for regional glacier mapping. Cryosphere 12, 867–890 (2018).

    Google Scholar 

  50. Garg, V., Thakur, P. K., Rajak, D. R., Aggarwal, S. P. & Kumar, P. Spatio-temporal changes in radar zones and ELA estimation of glaciers in NyÅlesund using Sentinel-1 SAR. Polar Sci. 31, 100786 (2022).

    Google Scholar 

  51. Kim, D. et al. Sub-seasonal snowline dynamics of glaciers in Central Asia from multi-sensor satellite observations, 2000-2023. EGUsphere. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3978 (2025).

  52. Hersbach, H. et al. The ERA5 global reanalysis. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 146, 1999–2049 (2020).

    Google Scholar 

  53. Lund, J. et al. Interpreting Sentinel-1 SAR backscatter signals of snowpack surface melt/freeze, warming, and ripening, through field measurements and physically-based SnowModel. Remote Sens. 14, 4002 (2022).

    Google Scholar 

  54. Crevier, C., Langlois, A., Derksen, C. & Roy, A. A mutlisensor C-band synthetic aperture radar (SAR) approach to retrieve freeze/thaw cycles: a case study for a low Arctic environment. EGUsphere 1, 26 (2025).

    Google Scholar 

  55. Wells, A. et al. GNSS reflectometry from low-cost sensors for continuous in situ contemporaneous glacier mass balance and flux divergence. J. Glaciol. 70, e5 (2024).

    Google Scholar 

  56. Wilson, C. et al. Data products from “The Python Energy Balance model for Snow and Ice: application and tradeoff analysis on Gulkana Glacier” [Data product]. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17912538 (2025).

  57. Weidman, S. K., Delworth, T. L., Kapnick, S. B. & Cooke, W. F. The Alaskan Summer 2019 extreme heat event: the role of anthropogenic forcing, and projections of the increasing risk of occurrence. Earth’s. Future 9, e2021EF002163 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  58. Naegeli, K. & Huss, M. Sensitivity of mountain glacier mass balance to changes in bare-ice albedo. Ann. Glaciol. 58, 119–129 (2017).

    Google Scholar 

  59. Wouters, B., Gardner, A. S. & Moholdt, G. Global glacier mass loss during the GRACE Satellite Mission (2002–2016). Front. Earth Sci. 7, 96 (2019).

  60. Hugonnet, R. et al. Accelerated global glacier mass loss in the early twenty-first century. Nature 592, 726–731 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  61. Hogenson, K. et al. Hybrid Pluggable Processing Pipeline (HyP3): a cloud-native infrastructure for generic processing of SAR data [Computer software]. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4646138 (2020).

  62. European Space Agency & Airbus. Copernicus DEM, https://doi.org/10.5270/ESA-c5d3d65 (2022).

  63. Barzycka, B., Błaszczyk, M., Grabiec, M. & Jania, J. Glacier facies of Vestfonna (Svalbard) based on SAR images and GPR measurements. Remote Sens. Environ. 221, 373–385 (2019).

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

A.W. and D.R.R. were supported by the National Science Foundation (NSF) Glacier Extremes project, the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Sea Level Change Team (SLCT) 2, and the NASA SLCT 3. We acknowledge Mira Khadka for early insights and work on this project. We thank Joseph Kennedy and Louis Sass for useful input and feedback regarding the data processing and results. We acknowledge the ASF DAAC HyP3 2025 using the hyp3_gamma plugin version 9.0.6 running GAMMA release 20240627 for RTC Sentinel-1 SAR data, which is modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2021, processed by ESA.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, USA

    Albin Wells & David R. Rounce

  2. Geophysical Institute, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK, USA

    Mark Fahnestock

Authors
  1. Albin Wells
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

  2. David R. Rounce
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

  3. Mark Fahnestock
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

Contributions

All authors (A.W., D.R.R., and M.F.) contributed to the concept and design of the study. All authors contributed to the data processing and programming. A.W. led the formal analysis, writing, and visualization, and all authors contributed to it.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Albin Wells.

Ethics declarations

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Additional information

Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Supplementary information

Supplementary Information

Rights and permissions

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Wells, A., Rounce, D.R. & Fahnestock, M. Seasonal progression of melt and snowlines in Alaska from SAR reveals impacts of warming. npj Clim Atmos Sci (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-026-01321-y

Download citation

  • Received: 09 October 2025

  • Accepted: 02 January 2026

  • Published: 04 February 2026

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-026-01321-y

Share this article

Anyone you share the following link with will be able to read this content:

Sorry, a shareable link is not currently available for this article.

Provided by the Springer Nature SharedIt content-sharing initiative

Download PDF

Advertisement

Explore content

  • Research articles
  • Reviews & Analysis
  • News & Comment
  • Collections
  • Follow us on Twitter
  • Sign up for alerts
  • RSS feed

About the journal

  • Aims & Scope
  • Content types
  • Journal Information
  • About the Editors
  • Open Access
  • Contact
  • Calls for Papers
  • Article Processing Charges
  • Editorial policies
  • Journal Metrics
  • About the Partner

Publish with us

  • For Authors and Referees
  • Language editing services
  • Open access funding
  • Submit manuscript

Search

Advanced search

Quick links

  • Explore articles by subject
  • Find a job
  • Guide to authors
  • Editorial policies

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (npj Clim Atmos Sci)

ISSN 2397-3722 (online)

nature.com sitemap

About Nature Portfolio

  • About us
  • Press releases
  • Press office
  • Contact us

Discover content

  • Journals A-Z
  • Articles by subject
  • protocols.io
  • Nature Index

Publishing policies

  • Nature portfolio policies
  • Open access

Author & Researcher services

  • Reprints & permissions
  • Research data
  • Language editing
  • Scientific editing
  • Nature Masterclasses
  • Research Solutions

Libraries & institutions

  • Librarian service & tools
  • Librarian portal
  • Open research
  • Recommend to library

Advertising & partnerships

  • Advertising
  • Partnerships & Services
  • Media kits
  • Branded content

Professional development

  • Nature Awards
  • Nature Careers
  • Nature Conferences

Regional websites

  • Nature Africa
  • Nature China
  • Nature India
  • Nature Japan
  • Nature Middle East
  • Privacy Policy
  • Use of cookies
  • Legal notice
  • Accessibility statement
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Your US state privacy rights
Springer Nature

© 2026 Springer Nature Limited

Nature Briefing Anthropocene

Sign up for the Nature Briefing: Anthropocene newsletter — what matters in anthropocene research, free to your inbox weekly.

Get the most important science stories of the day, free in your inbox. Sign up for Nature Briefing: Anthropocene