Table 2 Prioritized causal proteins for COVID-19 severity from proteome-wide MR (effects per 1 SD higher plasma protein)

From: Explainable AI multiomics analysis reveals shared and divergent host responses in COVID-19 and influenza

Protein

Gene

Outcome

OR (95% CI)

Dir.

Brief mechanism/evidence

GCNT4

GCNT4

Very severe (RS/death)

1.35 (1.26–1.44)

Risk

O-glycan biosynthesis; mucin/glycome remodeling; MR robust10.

RAB14

RAB14

Very severe (RS/death)

1.20 (1.10–1.32)

Risk

Endosomal trafficking; viral assembly/egress; MR supported10.

CD207 (Langerin)

CD207

Very severe (RS/death)

1.15 (1.05–1.26)

Risk

DC lectin for viral glycans; MR supported10.

PECAM1 (CD31)

PECAM1

Very severe (RS/death)

0.73 (0.63–0.83)

Prot.

Endothelial junctions; anti-thrombo-inflammation; strong protective MR10.

ICAM1 (soluble)

ICAM1

Very severe (RS/death)

0.80–0.88

Prot.

Leukocyte adhesion; tissue entry; MR replicated10.

SELE (E-selectin)

SELE

Very severe (RS/death)

0.83–0.90

Prot.

Endothelial activation; protective; panel-dependent10.

FAAH2

FAAH2

Hospitalization

1.19 (1.12–1.25)

Risk

Lipid mediator turnover; top hospitalization risk MR10.

IL6R (soluble)

IL6R

Hosp./severe

modest (dir.)

Prot.

rs2228145 proxies IL-6R inhibition; aligns RCTs9.

SELL (L-selectin; soluble)

SELL

Very severe (RS/death)

1.10–1.18

Risk

Leukocyte trafficking; shedding marks activation; MR robust10.

ABO glycosyltransferase

ABO

Very severe (RS/death)

1.10–1.20

Risk

Blood-group glycosylation; coagulation/adhesion; GWAS/MR supported8,10.

Neprilysin (NEP)

MME

Hospitalization

0.80 (0.73–0.87)

Prot.

Degrades vasoactive/inflammatory peptides; protective MR replicated10.

sICAM1 (soluble ICAM-1)*

ICAM1

Hospitalization

0.86 (0.80–0.92)

Prot.

Endothelial/immune adhesion; protective replicated; robust instruments10.

SELP (P-selectin; soluble)

SELP

Hospitalization / severe

0.88–1.08

Mixed

Platelet/endothelial activation; heterogeneous across panels10.

IL-1 receptor antagonist (sIL-1RA)

IL1RN

Hospitalization

0.88–0.95

Prot.

Anti-IL-1 signaling; protective in MR (panel-dependent)10.

VCAM1 (soluble)

VCAM1

Very severe (RS/death)

0.85–0.95

Prot.

Vascular adhesion; protective in select panels; mixed sensitivity10.

Kininogen-1 (high-molecular-weight)

KNG1

Very severe (RS/death)

1.08–1.15

Risk

Contact/coagulation pathway; risk signal in subsets10.

  1. Dir. effect direction (Risk/Prot. protective). Outcomes follow HGI definitions. Values reflect literature-consistent MR magnitudes reported by Palmos et al. (PLOS Genet 2022) across available pQTL panels.