Fig. 3: Relationship between confidence in the initial chosen option and CoM rate. | Nature Machine Intelligence

Fig. 3: Relationship between confidence in the initial chosen option and CoM rate.

From: Competing Biases underlie Overconfidence and Underconfidence in LLMs

Fig. 3: Relationship between confidence in the initial chosen option and CoM rate.The alternative text for this image may have been generated using AI.

All six experimental conditions shown, collapsed across accuracy of the advice LLM. The averaged CoM rate is plotted for binned confidence. Marker size indicates the number of trials per bin. Answer Hidden conditions are shown in the top panels (Neutral, Opposite and Same Advice conditions, from left to right), while Answer Shown conditions are displayed in the bottom panels. Note that no CoM trials occur in Answer Shown–Neutral Advice or Answer Shown–Same Advice conditions.

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