Table 3 Tasks with large magnitude rank changes which were robust to sensitivity analysis, between Phase 2 and Phase 3.

From: Modelling systemic COVID-19 impacts in cities

Task

Rank change direction

Rank change magnitude

Pre-lockdown (week 11) rank & confidence

Lockdown (week 13) rank & confidence

100RC category

Recreational activities

Increase

+12

30 (M)

18 (M)

Economy & Society

Historical and cultural value contribution

Increase

+9

24 (H)

15 (H)

Economy & Society

Foster social cohesion

Increase

+7

13 (M)

6 (H)

Economy & Society

Community activities and engagement

Increase

+5

17 (M)

12 (H)

Leadership & Strategy

Learning and education

Increase

+5

26 (M)

21 (H)

Leadership & Strategy

Social interaction

Increase

+4

11 (M)

7 (H)

Economy & Society

Tourism

Increase

+4

18 (M)

14 (H)

Economy & Society

Governance

Decrease

−9

10 (M)

19 (M)

Leadership & Strategy

Hydrometeorological hazard regulation

Decrease

−4

12 (L)

16 (H)

Infrastructure & Ecosystems

Sanitation provision

Decrease

−4

16 (H)

20(H)

Infrastructure & Ecosystems

Distribution of goods (logistics)

Decrease

−4

19 (M)

23 (H)

Infrastructure & Ecosystems

Environmental conservation

Decrease

−3

8 (M)

11 (H)

Infrastructure & Ecosystems

Environmental and geohazard regulation

Decrease

−3

23 (M)

26 (H)

Infrastructure & Ecosystems

Law and order

Decrease

−3

21 (H)

24 (H)

Leadership & Strategy

  1. Confidence reported as high = H, medium = M, low = L.