Abstract
The 15-minute city presents a novel approach to sustainable urban environments; however, it is not a one-size-fits-all solution. This paper proposes a methodological framework that classifies 15-minute cities by overall performance and relative performance across facility categories. The study of 339 Chinese cities identifies four distinct city types: high-performance livability-oriented, high-performance consumption-oriented, medium-performance essential service-oriented, and under-served. More affluent cities with more dispersed population and facilities generally perform better. City performance is associated with facility provision profile, with high-performing cities investing more in quality-of-life amenities, while others focus on meeting residents’ basic service needs. These findings support tailored development strategies, suggesting that cities should first ensure access to essential services, before progressively developing livability and consumption-oriented amenities that satisfy more diversified needs. By linking city typologies to facility provision profiles, this study contributes to a deeper understanding of differentiated urban development strategies and provides actionable insights for planning 15-minute cities.
Similar content being viewed by others
Data availability
The original POI data for Chinese cities collected from Amap [https://www.amap.com/] and the national road network data obtained from OpenStreetMap are not publicly available due to licensing and privacy restrictions, but may be obtained from the corresponding author upon reasonable request. Population data were obtained from the open dataset by Chen et al. [https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.24916140.v1]. The City Construction Statistical Yearbook 2021 was sourced from China’s Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development [https://www.mohurd.gov.cn/gongkai/fdzdgknr/sjfb/tjxx/jstjnj/index.html], and the China City Statistical Yearbook was obtained from China Statistics Press [https://www.zgtjcbs.com/].
References
Moreno, C., Allam, Z., Chabaud, D., Gall, C. & Pratlong, F. Introducing the “15-minute city”: sustainability, resilience and place identity in future post-pandemic cities. Smart Cities 4, 93–111 (2021).
Urban and Transit Planning: City Planning: Urbanization and Circular Development https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-20995-6 (Springer International Publishing, 2023).
Allam, Z., Bibri, S. E., Chabaud, D. & Moreno, C. The ‘15-minute city’ concept can shape a net-zero urban future. Humanit. Soc. Sci. Commun. 9, 126 (2022).
Elldér, E. Exploring socio-economic inequalities in access to the 15-minute city across 200 Swedish built-up areas. J. Transp. Geogr. 122, 104060 (2025).
Logan, T. M. et al. The x-minute city: measuring the 10, 15, 20-minute city and an evaluation of its use for sustainable urban design. Cities 131, 103924 (2022).
Lu, M. & Diab, E. Understanding the determinants of x-minute city policies: a review of the North American and Australian cities’ planning documents. J. Urban Mobil. 3, 100040 (2023).
Wang, J., Kwan, M.-P., Xiu, G. & Deng, F. A robust method for evaluating the potentials of 15-minute cities: implications for sustainable urban futures. Geogr. Sustain. 5, 597–606 (2024).
Questioning Proximity—Opportunities and Challenges for Urban Planning and Mobility Policies https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-66071-9 (Springer Nature Switzerland, 2024).
Geurs, K. T. & Van Wee, B. Accessibility evaluation of land-use and transport strategies: review and research directions. J. Transp. Geogr. 12, 127–140 (2004).
Vale, D. & Lopes, A. S. Accessibility inequality across Europe: a comparison of 15-minute pedestrian accessibility in cities with 100,000 or more inhabitants. npj Urban Sustain. 3, 55 (2023).
Guzman, L. A., Arellana, J., Oviedo, D. & Aristizábal, C. A. M. COVID-19, activity and mobility patterns in Bogotá. Are we ready for a ‘15-minute city’? Travel Behav. Soc. 24, 245–256 (2021).
Hosford, K., Beairsto, J. & Winters, M. Is the 15-minute city within reach? Evaluating walking and cycling accessibility to grocery stores in Vancouver. Transp. Res. Interdiscip. Perspect. 14, 100602 (2022).
Liu, D., Wei, J. & Kan, Z. Integrated transit service status assessment using smart transit card big data under the x-minute city framework. J. Transp. Geogr. 125, 104189 (2025).
Zhang, D. et al. Assessing spatial equity in urban park accessibility: an improve two-step catchment area method from the perspective of 15-mintue city concept. Sustain. Cities Soc. 98, 104824 (2023).
Zhang, S., Hu, Z., Zhen, F., Kong, Y. & Tong, Z. Assessing the (in)equality of an x-minute city accounting for human mobility patterns. Transp. Res. Part A Policy Pract. 192, 104354 (2025).
Wu, S. et al. Measuring global human accessibility to essential daily necessities and services. Nat. Commun. 16, 10709 (2025).
Fan, C., Jiang, X., Lee, R. & Mostafavi, A. Equality of access and resilience in urban population-facility networks. npj Urban Sustain. 2, 9 (2022).
Janatabadi, F., Newing, A. & Ermagun, A. Social and spatial inequalities of contemporary food deserts: a compound of store and online access to food in the United Kingdom. Appl. Geogr. 163, 103184 (2024).
Murgante, B., Patimisco, L. & Annunziata, A. Developing a 15-minute city: a comparative study of four Italian Cities-Cagliari, Perugia, Pisa, and Trieste. Cities 146, 104765 (2024).
Tsai, Y.-H. Quantifying urban form: compactness versus ‘sprawl’. Urban Stud. 42, 141–161 (2005).
Wilson, A. G. Entropy in Urban and Regional Modelling (Pion, 1970).
Di Marino, M., Tomaz, E., Henriques, C. & Chavoshi, S. H. The 15-minute city concept and new working spaces: a planning perspective from Oslo and Lisbon. Eur. Plan. Stud. 31, 598–620 (2023).
Meng, Y. & Xing, H. Exploring the relationship between landscape characteristics and urban vibrancy: a case study using morphology and review data. Cities 95, 102389 (2019).
Zeng, C., Song, Y., He, Q. & Shen, F. Spatially explicit assessment on urban vitality: case studies in Chicago and Wuhan. Sustain. Cities Soc. 40, 296–306 (2018).
Garau, C. & Annunziata, A. A method for assessing the vitality potential of urban areas. The case study of the metropolitan city of Cagliari, Italy. City Territ. Archit. 9, 7 (2022).
Abdelfattah, L., Deponte, D. & Fossa, G. The 15-minute city: interpreting the model to bring out urban resiliencies. Transp. Res. Procedia 60, 330–337 (2022).
Calafiore, A., Dunning, R., Nurse, A. & Singleton, A. The 20-minute city: an equity analysis of Liverpool city region. Transp. Res. Part D Transp. Environ. 102, 103111 (2022).
Graells-Garrido, E., Serra-Burriel, F., Rowe, F., Cucchietti, F. M. & Reyes, P. A city of cities: measuring how 15-minutes urban accessibility shapes human mobility in Barcelona. PLoS ONE 16, e0250080 (2021).
Reinartz, W., Wiegand, N. & Imschloss, M. The impact of digital transformation on the retailing value chain. Int. J. Res. Mark. 36, 350–366 (2019).
Brucks, M. S. & Levav, J. Virtual communication curbs creative idea generation. Nature 605, 108–112 (2022).
Zhang, S., Luan, H., Zhen, F., Kong, Y. & Xi, G. Does online food delivery improve the equity of food accessibility? A case study of Nanjing, China. J. Transp. Geogr. 107, 103516 (2023).
Kong, Y., Zhen, F., Zhang, S. & Shen, L. Which neighborhoods have easier access to online home delivery services? A spatiotemporal accessibility analysis in Nanjing, China. Chin. Geogr. Sci. 34, 722–738 (2024).
Murgante, B., Valluzzi, R. & Annunziata, A. Developing a 15-minute city: evaluating urban quality using configurational analysis. The case study of Terni and Matera, Italy. Appl. Geogr. 162, 103171 (2024).
Bruno, M., Monteiro Melo, H. P., Campanelli, B. & Loreto, V. A universal framework for inclusive 15-minute cities. Nat. Cities 1, 633–641 (2024).
Khavarian-Garmsir, A. R., Sharifi, A., Hajian Hossein Abadi, M. & Moradi, Z. From garden city to 15-minute city: a historical perspective and critical assessment. Land 12, 512 (2023).
Birkenfeld, C., Victoriano-Habit, R., Alousi-Jones, M., Soliz, A. & El-Geneidy, A. Who is living a local lifestyle? Towards a better understanding of the 15-minute-city and 30-minute-city concepts from a behavioural perspective in Montréal, Canada. J. Urban Mobil. 3, 100048 (2023).
Khavarian-Garmsir, A. R., Sharifi, A. & Sadeghi, A. The 15-minute city: urban planning and design efforts toward creating sustainable neighborhoods. Cities 132, 104101 (2023).
Krehl, A. & Siedentop, S. Towards a typology of urban centers and subcenters—evidence from German city regions. Urban Geogr. 40, 58–82 (2019).
Kuncheria, A., Walker, J. L. & Macfarlane, J. Exploring urban typologies using comprehensive analysis of transportation dynamics. Transportation https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-024-10580-8 (2025).
Zeng, Q. & Chen, X. Identification of urban-rural integration types in China—an unsupervised machine learning approach. China Agric. Econ. Rev. 15, 400–415 (2022).
Kim, K. Exploring the difference between ridership patterns of subway and taxi_ case study in Seoul. J. Transp. Geogr. 66, 213–223 (2018).
Chen, L., Liu, X., Sun, T., Ma, N. & Zhang, T. Compact urban morphology and the 15-minute city: evidence from China. Transp. Res. Part A Policy Pract. 196, 104482 (2025).
Staricco, L. 15-, 10- or 5-minute city? A focus on accessibility to services in Turin, Italy. J. Urban Mobil. 2, 100030 (2022).
Chen, Y. & Zhu, M. Spatiotemporal evolution and driving mechanism of “production-living-ecology” functions in China: a case of both sides of hu line. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 19, 3488 (2022).
Cheng, K., Liu, S. & Teng, M. Towards the equalization of basic public services in Chinese cities: investigating the role of urban polycentric structure. Appl. Spat. Anal. Policy 18, 143–175 (2025).
Wang, H., Tsoi, K. & Loo, B. An assessment framework for 15-minute cities: progress worldwide and the impact of urban form. Transp. Res. Part A Policy Pract. 199, 104583 (2025).
Mouratidis, K. Time to challenge the 15-minute city: seven pitfalls for sustainability, equity, livability, and spatial analysis. Cities 153, 105274 (2024).
Qiao, Y.-K., Peng, F.-L., Dong, Y.-H. & Lu, C.-F. Planning an adaptive reuse development of underutilized urban underground infrastructures: a case study of Qingdao, China. Undergr. Space 14, 18–33 (2024).
Dong, J., Guo, R., Guo, F. & Cai, J. Potential evaluation and implementation strategy for pocket park construction in high-density urban areas: a case study in Dalian, China. Front. Archit. Res. 13, 319–334 (2024).
Cui, Q. et al. Effective or useless? Assessing the impact of park entrance addition policy on green space services from the 15-min city perspective. J. Clean. Prod. 467, 142951 (2024).
Vale De Paula, P., Cunha Marques, R. & Gonçalves, J. M. Critical success factors for public–private partnerships in urban regeneration projects. Infrastructures 9, 195–216 (2024).
Weng, M. et al. The 15-minute walkable neighborhoods: measurement, social inequalities and implications for building healthy communities in urban China. J. Transp. Health 13, 259–273 (2019).
Jiang, Z., Wu, C. & Chung, H. The 15-minute community life circle for older people: walkability measurement based on service accessibility and street-level built environment—a case study of Suzhou, China. Cities 157, 105587 (2025).
Han, J., Hu, Z. & Zhou, K. GHSL-based Chinese urban entities (1975-2020). https://doi.org/10.57760/sciencedb.11249 (2024).
Papadopoulos, E., Sdoukopoulos, A. & Politis, I. Measuring compliance with the 15-minute city concept: state-of-the-art, major components and further requirements. Sustain. Cities Soc. 99, 104875 (2023).
Foti, F. & Waddell, P. A generalized computational framework for accessibility: from the pedestrian to the metropolitan scale. 4th Transp. Res. Board Conf. Innov. Travel Model. 1–14 (2012).
Chen, Y., Xu, C., Ge, Y., Zhang, X. & Zhou, Y. A 100 m gridded population dataset of China’s seventh census using ensemble learning and big geospatial data. Earth Syst. Sci. Data 16, 3705–3718 (2024).
Zhang, H., Zhan, B. & Ouyang, M. Enhancing accessibility through rail transit in congested urban areas: a cross-regional analysis. J. Transp. Geogr. 115, 103791 (2024).
Pönkänen, M., Tenkanen, H. & Mladenović, M. Spatial accessibility and transport inequity in Finland: open source models and perspectives from planning practice. Comput. Environ. Urban Syst. 116, 102218 (2025).
Liu, Y., Du, X., Yang, W. & Zhang, G. Disparities in dynamic green exposure across residents’ mobility patterns: a case study in Chengdu. Urban For. Urban Green. 112, 128978 (2025).
Du, Y., Cardoso, R. V. & Rocco, R. The challenges of high-quality development in Chinese secondary cities: a typological exploration. Sustainable Cities Soc 103, 105266 (2024).
Hamerly, G. & Elkan, C. Learning the k in k-means. In Proc. 17th International Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems, 281–288 (MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, USA, 2003).
Seabold, S. & Perktold, J. Statsmodels: Econometric and Statistical Modeling with Python 92–96. https://doi.org/10.25080/Majora-92bf1922-011 (2010).
McFadden, D. Quantitative methods for analysing travel behaviour of individuals: some recent developments. In Behavioural Travel Modelling (eds Hensher, D. A. & Stopher, P. R.) (Routledge, 1979).
Wulff, J. N. Interpreting results from the multinomial logit model: demonstrated by foreign market entry. Organ. Res. Methods 18, 300–325 (2015).
Acknowledgements
The authors would like to acknowledge the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 52478061, 42330510, 52478060, 42501230) for supporting this research.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
Z.R. and S.Z. are acknowledged as co-first authors of this work, signifying their equal and primary contributions in accordance with the editorial board’s criteria. S.Z., Z.R., and Y.K. conceptualized and designed the study. Z.R., S.Z., and X.F. implemented the method and empirical case study. S.Z., Z.R., and X.Q. provided data acquisition. Z.R. and S.Z. wrote the main manuscript text. All authors reviewed and edited the manuscript. S.Z., Y.K., X.Q., and F.Z. contributed to funding acquisition. F.Z. provided supervision.
Corresponding authors
Ethics declarations
Competing interests
The authors declare no competing interests.
Additional information
Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Supplementary information
Rights and permissions
Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License, which permits any non-commercial use, sharing, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if you modified the licensed material. You do not have permission under this licence to share adapted material derived from this article or parts of it. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.
About this article
Cite this article
Ren, Z., Zhang, S., Kong, Y. et al. The classification and determinants of the 15-minute city across 339 Chinese cities. npj Urban Sustain (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s42949-026-00384-3
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s42949-026-00384-3


