Fig. 3: Projected consumer response.
Consumer response is expressed as the relative drop in consumption (%) after a p05 yield shock occurring in the shock region (columns) under different SSP and climatic forcing pathways for the 2050s. Values in bold represent a significant difference from a NoCC forcing scenario under global climate model (GCM) spread (following a t-test, n = 5, α = 0.05). The effects were calculated relative to the median (Methods) and are visualized by relative shading. The regions are numbered as follows: (1) AMU, (2) EAC, (3) ECCAS, (4) ECOWAS, (5) Egypt, (6) RCEAf, (7) RSouthAf and (8) SACU. The matrices for other percentile events can be found in Supplementary Tables 3–7.
