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Environmental impacts and monetary costs of healthy diets worldwide

Abstract

Using real-world food price and greenhouse gas emissions data for locally available food items in 171 countries, we measure how healthy diets could be obtained with the lowest possible emissions, compared with costs and emissions of the least expensive options and foods most commonly consumed. We find that foods with the lowest greenhouse gas emissions for a healthy diet would emit 0.67 kgCO2e. A healthy diet using the least expensive items in each country would emit 1.65 kgCO2e and cost US$3.68 in 2021, while using foods most commonly consumed would emit 2.44 kgCO2e and cost US$9.96. Animal-source foods and starchy staples account for 91% of the difference in emissions between the lowest-cost and lowest-emission diets. Other food groups, especially fruits and vegetables, vary widely in cost but not in emissions. Results show how changes in food policy and choice can most cost-effectively support healthier and more sustainable diets worldwide.

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Fig. 1: Distribution of monetary costs and GHG emissions for five healthy diets, 2021.
Fig. 2: Distribution of costs and emissions by food group for five healthy diets, 2021.
Fig. 3: GHG emissions and cost per day of items in each food group for four healthy diets, 2021.
Fig. 4: Shares of dietary energy and GHG emissions by item in three benchmark healthy diets, 2021.
Fig. 5: Total cost per day by level of national income for five healthy diets, 2021.

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Data availability

Individual food item descriptions, availability and prices in each country were obtained through a confidentiality agreement with the World Bank, under the ICP data access and archiving policy (https://www.worldbank.org/en/programs/icp/data#3). Emissions data are available from their source as published in Scientific Data (https://www.nature.com/articles/s41597-021-00909-8), and food use data are available from their source at FAO (https://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#data/FBS). For World Development Indicator and Poverty and Inequality Platform data, access is provided through the World Bank’s data portals (https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators and https://pip.worldbank.org/).

Code availability

Model code for matching item descriptions to food composition and nutritional requirements for computation of diet costs is available from the Food Prices for Nutrition project (https://sites.tufts.edu/foodpricesfornutrition/tools). Code for replication of this study is available at https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/6TGS4.

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Acknowledgements

This study was conducted as part of the Food Prices for Nutrition project (INV-016158) and the Innovative Methods and Metrics for Agriculture and Nutrition Actions project (INV-002962), both funded by the Gates Foundation and UK International Development. We are grateful to all project collaborators for their contributions to this collective effort.

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Y.B. and E.M.M. are co-first authors of this paper. Y.B., E.M.M. and W.A.M. conceptualized the study. Y.B. and E.M.M. designed the study, analysed the data and drafted the paper. W.A.M. obtained funding for the study. Y.B., E.M.M. and W.A.M. accessed and verified the data. All authors interpreted the results, revised the paper for important intellectual content, and read and approved the final paper.

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Correspondence to Yan Bai, Elena M. Martinez or William A. Masters.

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Nature Food thanks Emiliano Lopez Barrera, Jessica Fanzo and the other, anonymous, reviewer(s) for their contribution to the peer review of this work.

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Supplementary Tables 1–8 and Supplementary Figs. 1–3.

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Bai, Y., Martinez, E.M., Yamanaka, M. et al. Environmental impacts and monetary costs of healthy diets worldwide. Nat Food 6, 1176–1185 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-025-01270-4

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