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A meta-analysis assessing the effectiveness of demand-side interventions for sustainable food consumption and food waste reduction

Abstract

Shifting consumers towards more sustainable food consumption and avoiding food waste have been identified as key levers in mitigating food systems-related climate change impacts. Here we conducted a machine-learning-assisted systematic review and meta-analysis of 306 effect sizes from 110 articles, covering over 2.4 million observations, to assess the effectiveness of demand-side interventions targeting actual or incentivized behaviours. On average, we find small effect sizes across both food consumption and food waste interventions. Effect sizes vary substantially across intervention types, with certain choice architecture interventions, such as availability and defaults, driving much of the overall effect in both domains, while incentives also show promise in reducing food waste. These effects remain robust even after accounting for severe publication bias, which notably reduces average estimates for other intervention types. Sensitivity analyses further underscore the need for future research to systematically identify when, how and why interventions are effective.

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Fig. 1: Descriptive statistics for intervention and outcome categories.
Fig. 2: Average effect sizes by intervention category for food consumption and food waste outcomes.
Fig. 3: Predicted effect sizes by outcome, setting and population.
Fig. 4: Predicted effect sizes by study design, experimental method and risk of bias.

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Data availability

Data used in the analysis can be accessed via the OSF repository at https://osf.io/f75y8.

Code availability

The code to replicate the analysis can be accessed via the OSF repository at https://osf.io/f75y8.

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Acknowledgements

We thank our research assistants C. Rutherford, A. Sunil, C. Ma, L. Greening, B. Carvalho and S. Thode for their invaluable contributions. We are also grateful to M. Dewies for his guidance and support. L.A.R., A.P. and J.M.B. acknowledge research funding from Novo Nordisk Fonden grant number NNF21SA0069203. S.L.F. acknowledges financial support from the Economic and Social Research Council’s grant to Behavioural Research UK (grant reference: ES/Y001044/1). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish or preparation of the paper.

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P.M.L., A.P., J.M.B., T.M.K., J.C.M. and L.A.R. conceptualized the research. P.M.L., A.P., J.M.B. and T.M.K. developed the literature search and screening strategy. P.M.L., A.P., J.M.B. and S.L.F. manually screened the literature and collected the data. M.C. performed the machine learning-assisted screening. P.M.L. performed the formal analysis, validation and visualization. P.M.L., A.P., J.M.B., S.L.F., T.M.K. and L.A.R. analysed and interpreted the results. P.M.L. and A.P. wrote the paper with contributions from all authors.

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Correspondence to Paul M. Lohmann.

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Supplementary Tables 1–16, Figs. 1–10, Literature Overview, Analyses, Methods and Risk-of-Bias Classification Tool.

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Data table of key study characteristics at the effect level.

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Lohmann, P.M., Pizzo, A., Bauer, J.M. et al. A meta-analysis assessing the effectiveness of demand-side interventions for sustainable food consumption and food waste reduction. Nat Food 7, 88–99 (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-025-01279-9

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