Fig. 3: Wheat Yp response to climatic conditions across high-yielding environments in the Netherlands simulated with the WOFOST crop model for a modern wheat cultivar.

a–d, Climatic conditions include atmospheric CO2 concentration (a), solar radiation (b), growing degree days (c) and evapotranspiration (d). Simulations assumed constant genetics and agronomic management throughout the simulation period (Methods). Solid lines show linear regressions fitted to the data (a) and linear-plateau boundary functions fitted to the 90th quantile of the data (b–d). Note that the y-axis starts at 6 t ha−1 in all panels. GDD, growing degree days.