Fig. 2: Annual variations and trends in meteorological factors and malaria incidence during 2010–2015, and malaria incidence projections by RFM.
From: Malaria transmission risk is projected to increase in the highlands of Western and Northern Rwanda

Time series of annual-averaged malaria incidence (a), Tmax (b), Tmin (c), Rainfall (d) during 2010–2015. Mean (square), 1st and 3rd interquartile ranges (box caps), minimum and maximum values (whiskers), outliers (asterisk), and the inter-annual trend (dashed line), n = 30. e Accuracy of malaria incidence projections by RFM compared to observed malaria incidence, f Variable importance derived by RFM. Note malaria incidence (MI) scaled by the natural logarithm in the RFM. The variables 1–3 respectively denote the lag effect of the variable for 1–3 months.