Fig. 2: Changes in TOA energy flux, OHU and Tr(OHC).
From: Mitigation-driven global heat imbalance in the late 21st century
a Changes in annual mean net energy flux at the top of the atmosphere integrated over 90oS-30oS [multi-model mean (MMM): purple; inter-model spread: light purple], 30oS-60oN (MMM: cyan; inter-model spread: light cyan) and 60oN-90oN (MMM: brown; inter-model spread: light brown) relative to the mean of 2041-2050 in the 8-model SSP534OS simulations. c Annual mean changes in ocean heat uptake integrated over the Arctic Ocean (60°N ~ 90°N; MMM: green; inter-model spread: light green), Atlantic (30°S ~ 60°N; MMM: yellow; inter-model spread: light yellow), Indo-Pacific (30°S–60°N; MMM: blue; inter-model spread: light blue) and Southern Ocean (90°S–30°S; MMM: red; inter-model spread: light red) relative to the mean of 2041-2050 in the 8-model SSP534OS simulations. e As in (c) but for changes in full-depth ocean heat content trend. b Changes in annual mean net energy flux at the top of the atmosphere in the mean of 2051-2100 relative to the mean of 2041–2050 in the 8-model SSP534OS simulations. d, f As in (b) but for changes in ocean heat uptake and full-depth ocean heat content trend. Inter-model spread is denoted by one standard derivation. The stipples in (b, d, f) refer to the regions where at least six of the eight models agree with the sign of the MMM. Curves in (a, c, e) are derived after a 5-year running mean.
