Fig. 2: Observed changes in the likelihood of forests and savanna in India.
From: Forest-savanna stability in India under human interventions and changing climate
Predicted likelihoods for a Savanna and b Forest in 2001 using a generalized linear model (GLM) with tree cover observations of 2001 and climate variables (MAP, COV, MSI) from 1971–2000. The model fits the tree cover distribution reasonably well (tested using k-fold cross-validation, see tables S2 and S3). c and d show the non-climate-driven changes in tree cover from 2001 to 2020, estimated as the difference between predictions of 2020 using the model used in (a) and (b) by changing the hydro climate to 2020 and new models that fitted directly to 2020 tree cover observations using 1991–2020 MAP, COV, and MSI. Blue color indicates an increase in likelihood, red shows a decrease in likelihood.
