Fig. 1: Detection of a change in trend in the 1993–2024 GMSL time series, using the BEAST tool. | Communications Earth & Environment

Fig. 1: Detection of a change in trend in the 1993–2024 GMSL time series, using the BEAST tool.

From: Abrupt trend change in global mean sea level and its components in the early 2010s

Fig. 1

a Original altimetry-based GMSL time series. b Probability of trend change with a peak at 2012.08 (black cross) and a total probability of 95% between 2011.45 and 2012.96. c Linearly detrended GMSL. d Probability of trend change with a peak at 2012.08 (black cross) and a total probability of 99% between 2011.40 and 2013.03. Orange lines represent linear trends.

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