Fig. 3: Model-comparison diagnostics for the monthly GMSL time series.
From: Abrupt trend change in global mean sea level and its components in the early 2010s
The left column shows the GMSL time series (blue) with (from top to bottom) three different deterministic models (orange): a offset + linear trend, c offset + linear + quadratic acceleration, and e offset + piecewise linear trend with a breakpoint on 31 December 2011. The right column shows the same observations/models but with the linear trend removed. b offset + linear trend, d offset + linear + quadratic acceleration, and f offset + piecewise linear trend with a breakpoint on 31 December 2011 The shaded areas on the left and right columns correspond to the GMSL data uncertainty62.
