Table 2 Linear trends and associated standard errors (accounting for the time series autocorrelation) for the GMSL and components, before and after the trend change (assumed on 31 December 2011)

From: Abrupt trend change in global mean sea level and its components in the early 2010s

Component

Trend + Standard error (mm yr−1) 1st period (pre 2012)

Trend + Standard error (mm yr−1) 2nd period (post 2012)

GMSL (1993–2024)

2.9 ± 0.22

4.1 ± 0.25

GMSL (2005–2020)

2.3 ± 1.13

4.0 ± 0.42

Thermosteric (2005–2020)

0.65 ± 0.11

1.6 ± 0.10

Barystatic (1993–2020)

1.2 ± 0.05

1.9 ± 0.15

Barystatic (2005–2020)

1.6 ± 0.08

1.9 ± 0.19

  1. Two cases are presented for the GMSL and barystatic component (entire record length and start in 2005).
Back to article page