Skip to main content

Thank you for visiting nature.com. You are using a browser version with limited support for CSS. To obtain the best experience, we recommend you use a more up to date browser (or turn off compatibility mode in Internet Explorer). In the meantime, to ensure continued support, we are displaying the site without styles and JavaScript.

Advertisement

Communications Earth & Environment
  • View all journals
  • Search
  • My Account Login
  • Content Explore content
  • About the journal
  • Publish with us
  • Sign up for alerts
  • RSS feed
  1. nature
  2. communications earth & environment
  3. articles
  4. article
A critical role of ocean–sea ice interactions in the pronounced warmth during the Miocene Climatic Optimum
Download PDF
Download PDF
  • Article
  • Open access
  • Published: 02 March 2026

A critical role of ocean–sea ice interactions in the pronounced warmth during the Miocene Climatic Optimum

  • Ning Tan  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0001-6495-41271,
  • Frédéric Fluteau  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-9952-73252,
  • Zhongshi Zhang  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-2354-16223,4,
  • Gilles Ramstein  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-1522-917X5,6,
  • Chuncheng Guo7,8,
  • Pierre Sepulchre  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-4267-40255,6,
  • Zhilin He1,
  • Zijian Zhang1 &
  • …
  • Zhengtang Guo  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0003-2259-97151 

Communications Earth & Environment , Article number:  (2026) Cite this article

  • 1555 Accesses

  • 16 Altmetric

  • Metrics details

We are providing an unedited version of this manuscript to give early access to its findings. Before final publication, the manuscript will undergo further editing. Please note there may be errors present which affect the content, and all legal disclaimers apply.

Subjects

  • Atmospheric dynamics
  • Climate and Earth system modelling
  • Cryospheric science
  • Palaeoclimate
  • Physical oceanography

Abstract

The Miocene Climatic Optimum was characterized by global mean temperatures 8-10 °C above the preindustrial level, yet such extreme warmth remains difficult to reproduce in climate models. Using two climate models (IPSL-CM5A2 and NorESM1-F) with updated boundary conditions, we show that the simulated climate of this interval strongly depends on ocean-ice dynamics. The NorESM1-F model produces surface temperatures more consistent with proxy reconstructions, driven by a stronger overturning circulation, enhanced poleward heat and salt transport, and near-permanent sea-ice loss. In contrast, IPSL-CM5A2 simulates a weaker overturning circulation and limited polar amplification, which is generally consistent with previous modeling results. Our results suggest that the Miocene Climatic Optimum may represent a distinct high-latitude climate regime, emphasizing the critical role of ocean–ice feedbacks in driving the strong polar amplification and the necessity of multi-model comparisons together with proxy constraints to understand the climate of this interval.

Similar content being viewed by others

The influence of subpolar marine ice expansion on global climate in the Early Pleistocene

Article Open access 17 February 2024

Reconciling Southern Ocean fronts equatorward migration with minor Antarctic ice volume change during Miocene cooling

Article Open access 09 November 2023

Warming of +1.5 °C is too high for polar ice sheets

Article Open access 20 May 2025

Data availability

Modeling data for 17 Ma used in the results’ analysis have been deposited in the public depository Figshare (https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.28760048). The related pre-industrial experiment data of both models can be found in previous publications30,31. Figures were plotted with the NCAR Command Language (version NCL 6.4.0, https://www.ncl.ucar.edu/.) and Python 2.7 (https://www.python.org/download/releases/2.7/).

Code availability

The information for the applied model IPSL-CM5A2 can be found in the IPSL Climate Modeling Centre Wiki page (https://forge.ipsl.jussieu.fr/igcmg_doc/wiki/Doc/Config/IPSLCM5A2, last access: 28 Jan., 2026) and the code of this model can be downloaded through svn as introduced on this webpage, but requires additional authentication. The code of NorESM1-F can be obtained upon request. Instructions on how to obtain a copy are in: https://wiki.met.no/noresm/gitbestpractice (last access: 28 Jan., 2026).

References

  1. Zachos, J., Pagani, M., Sloan, L., Thomas, E. & Billups, K. Trends, rhythms, and aberrations in global climate 65 Ma to present. Science 292, 686–693 (2001).

    Google Scholar 

  2. Westerhold, T. et al. An astronomically dated record of Earth’ s climate and its predictability over the last 66 million years. Science 369, 1383–1387 (2020).

    Google Scholar 

  3. Steinthorsdottir, M. et al. The miocene: The future of the past. Paleoceanogr. Paleoclimatol. 36, e2020PA004037 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  4. Goldner, A., Herold, N. & Huber, M. The challenge of simulating the warmth of the mid-Miocene climatic optimum in CESM1. Clim 10, 523–536 (2014).

    Google Scholar 

  5. Burls, N. J. et al. Simulating Miocene warmth: Insights from an opportunistic multi-model ensemble (MioMIP1). Paleoceanogr. Paleoclimatol. 36, e2020PA004054 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  6. Super, J. R. et al. Miocene evolution of North Atlantic sea surface temperature. Paleoceanogr. Paleoclimatol. 35, e2019PA003748 (2020).

    Google Scholar 

  7. Sosdian, S. M. et al. Constraining the evolution of Neogene ocean carbonate chemistry using the boron isotope pH proxy. Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 498, 362–376 (2018).

    Google Scholar 

  8. Sosdian, S. M., Babila, T. L., Greenop, R., Foster, G. L. & Lear, C. H. Ocean carbon storage across the middle Miocene: A new interpretation for the Monterey Event. Nat. Commun. 11, 134 (2020).

    Google Scholar 

  9. Foster, G. L., Lear, C. H. & Rae, J. W. B. The evolution of pCO 2, ice volume and climate during the middle Miocene. Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 341–344, 243–254 (2012).

    Google Scholar 

  10. Rae, J. W. B. et al. Atmospheric CO2 over the Past 66 Million Years from Marine Archives. Annu. Rev. Earth Planet. Sci. 49, 609–641 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  11. Consortium. Toward a Cenozoic history of atmospheric CO2. Science (80). 382, eadi5177 (2023).

  12. You, Y., Huber, M., Müller, R. D., Poulsen, J. & Ribbe, J. Simulation of the middle miocene climate optimum. Geophys. Res. Lett. 36, 1–5 (2009).

    Google Scholar 

  13. Frigola, A., Prange, M. & Schulz, M. A dynamic ocean driven by changes in CO2 and Antarctic ice-sheet in the middle Miocene. Palaeogeogr. Palaeoclimatol. Palaeoecol. 579, 110591 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  14. Krapp, M. & Jungclaus, J. H. The Middle Miocene climate as modelled in an atmosphere-ocean-biosphere model. Clim 7, 1169–1188 (2011).

    Google Scholar 

  15. Liu, X., Griffin, A., Komurcu, M. & Huber, M. Importance of longwave radiative forcing by icy clouds in maintaining miocene high-latitude warmth. Geophys. Res. Lett. 52, e2024GL111831 (2025).

  16. Herold, N., Huber, M., Müller, R. D. & Seton, M. Modeling the Miocene climatic optimum: Ocean circulation. Paleoceanography 27, PA1209 (2012).

  17. Frigola, A., Prange, M. & Schulz, M. Boundary conditions for the Middle Miocene Climate Transition (MMCT v1.0). Geosci. Model Dev. 11, 1607–1626 (2018).

    Google Scholar 

  18. Scotese, C. R. & Wright, N. PALEOMAP paleodigital elevation models (PaleoDEMS) for the Phanerozoic. Paleomap Proj.1–26 (2018).

  19. Straume, E. O., Gaina, C., Medvedev, S. & Nisancioglu, K. H. Global Cenozoic Paleobathymetry with a focus on the Northern Hemisphere Oceanic Gateways. Gondwana Res 86, 126–143 (2020).

    Google Scholar 

  20. Hossain, A., Knorr, G., Jokat, W. & Lohmann, G. Opening of the Fram Strait led to the establishment of a modern-like three-layer stratification in the Arctic Ocean during the Miocene. Arktos https://doi.org/10.1007/s41063-020-00079-8 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  21. Hamon, N., Sepulchre, P., Lefebvre, V. & Ramstein, G. The role of eastern tethys seaway closure in the middle miocene climatic transition (ca. 14 Ma). Clim 9, 2687–2702 (2013).

    Google Scholar 

  22. Zhang, R., Jiang, D., Zhang, Z. & Yu, E. The impact of regional uplift of the Tibetan Plateau on the Asian monsoon climate. Palaeogeogr. Palaeoclimatol. Palaeoecol. 417, 137–150 (2015).

    Google Scholar 

  23. Herold, N., You, Y., Müller, R. D. & Seton, M. Climate model sensitivity to changes in Miocene paleotopography. Aust. J. Earth Sci. 56, 1049–1059 (2009).

    Google Scholar 

  24. Liu, X., Herold, N. & Huber, M. Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Influence on the Annual Mean Intertropical Convergence Zone Location in the Miocene. Geophys. Res. Lett. 51, (2024).

  25. Renoult, M., Boer, A. De & Berntell, E. Shaping the mid-Miocene warmth: a sensitivity study on paleogeography, CO2 and model physics. EGU sphere (Preprint), 1–27. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5078 (2025).

  26. Wei, J. et al. Simulation of the climate and ocean circulations in the Middle Miocene Climate Optimum by a coupled model FGOALS-g3. Palaeogeogr. Palaeoclimatol. Palaeoecol. 617, 111509 (2023).

    Google Scholar 

  27. Lee, D., Sarr, A. C., Acosta, R. P. & Poulsen, C. J. Multiple ocean equilibria and decoupling of miocene atmospheric pCO2 and regional temperatures. Paleoceanogr. Paleoclimatol. 40, (2025).

  28. Hutchinson, D. K. et al. Pacific and atlantic modes of overturning in the miocene climatic optimum miocene climatic optimum. Paleoceanogr. Paleoclimatol. 40, e2025PA005220 (2025).

    Google Scholar 

  29. Naik, T. J. et al. Ocean meridional overturning circulation during the early and middle miocene. Paleoceanogr. Paleoclimatol. 40, 1–28 (2025).

    Google Scholar 

  30. Guo, C. et al. Description and evaluation of NorESM1-F: A fast version of the Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM). Geosci. Model Dev. 12, 343–362 (2019).

    Google Scholar 

  31. Sepulchre, P. et al. IPSL-CM5A2—an Earth system model designed for multi-millennial climate simulations. Geosci. Model Dev. 13, 3011–3053 (2020).

    Google Scholar 

  32. Haywood, A. M. et al. The Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2: large-scale climate features and climate sensitivity. Clim 16, 2095–2123 (2020).

    Google Scholar 

  33. Feng, R. et al. Amplified Late Pliocene terrestrial warmth in northern high latitudes from greater radiative forcing and closed Arctic Ocean gateways. Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 466, 129–138 (2017).

    Google Scholar 

  34. Aylmer, J. R., Ferreira, D. & Feltham, D. L. Impact of ocean heat transport on sea ice captured by a simple energy balance model. Commun. Earth Environ. 5, 406 (2024).

  35. Brierley, C. M. et al. Greatly Expanded Tropical Warm Pool and Weakened Hadley Circulation in the Early Pliocene. Science 323, 1714 LP–1711718 (2009).

    Google Scholar 

  36. Hu, Y., Huang, H. & Zhou, C. Widening and weakening of the Hadley circulation under global warming. Sci. Bull. 63, 640–644 (2018).

    Google Scholar 

  37. Grise, K. M. & Davis, S. M. Hadley cell expansion in CMIP6 models. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 20, 5249–5268 (2020).

    Google Scholar 

  38. Hou, S. et al. Reconciling Southern Ocean fronts equatorward migration with minor Antarctic ice volume change during Miocene cooling. Nat. Commun. 14, 7230 (2023).

    Google Scholar 

  39. Haug, G. H. & Tiedemann, R. Effect of the formation of the Isthmus of Panama on Atlantic Ocean thermohaline circulation. Nature 393, 673–676 (1998).

    Google Scholar 

  40. Sepulchre, P. et al. Consequences of shoaling of the Central American Seaway determined from modeling Nd isotopes. Paleoceanography 29, 176–189 (2014).

    Google Scholar 

  41. Brierley, C. M. & Fedorov, A. V. Comparing the impacts of Miocene–Pliocene changes in inter-ocean gateways on climate: Central American Seaway, Bering Strait, and Indonesia. Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 444, 116–130 (2016).

    Google Scholar 

  42. Tan, N. et al. Recognizing the role of tropical seaways in modulating the pacific circulation. Geophys. Res. Lett. 1–10 https://doi.org/10.1029/2022gl099674 (2022).

  43. Jakobsson, M. et al. The early Miocene onset of a ventilated circulation regime in the Arctic Ocean. Nature 447, 986–990 (2007).

    Google Scholar 

  44. Hossain, A., Knorr, G., Lohmann, G., Stärz, M. & Jokat, W. Simulated Thermohaline Fingerprints in Response to Different Greenland-Scotland Ridge and Fram Strait Subsidence Histories. Paleoceanogr. Paleoclimatol. 35, e2019PA003842 (2020).

    Google Scholar 

  45. Lumpkin, R. & Speer, K. Global ocean meridional overturning. J. Phys. Oceanogr. 37, 2550–2562 (2007).

    Google Scholar 

  46. McCarthy, G. D. et al. Measuring the atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26. N. Prog. Oceanogr. 130, 91–111 (2015).

    Google Scholar 

  47. Ditlevsen, P. & Ditlevsen, S. Warning of a forthcoming collapse of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Nat. Commun. 14, 1–12 (2023).

    Google Scholar 

  48. Pontes, G. M. & Menviel, L. Weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation driven by subarctic freshening since the mid-twentieth century. Nat. Geosci. 17, 1–8 (2024).

    Google Scholar 

  49. Weijer, W., Cheng, W., Garuba, O. A., Hu, A. & Nadiga, B. T. CMIP6 models predict significant 21st century decline of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Geophys. Res. Lett. 47, e2019GL086075 (2020).

    Google Scholar 

  50. Uenzelmann-Neben, G., Weber, T., Grützner, J. & Thomas, M. Transition from the Cretaceous ocean to Cenozoic circulation in the western South Atlantic — A twofold reconstruction. Tectonophysics 716, 225–240 (2017).

    Google Scholar 

  51. Via, R. K. & Thomas, D. J. Evolution of Atlantic thermohaline circulation: Early Oligocene onset of deep-water production in the North Atlantic. Geology 34, 441–444 (2006).

    Google Scholar 

  52. Butzin, M., Lohmann, G. & Bickert, T. Miocene ocean circulation inferred from marine carbon cycle modeling combined with benthic isotope records. Paleoceanography 26, PA1203 (2011).

    Google Scholar 

  53. Poore, H. R., Samworth, R., White, N. J., Jones, S. M. & McCave, I. N. Neogene overflow of northern component water at the Greenland-Scotland Ridge. Geochem. Geophys. Geosyst. 7, Q06010 (2006).

  54. Stein, R. et al. Evidence for ice-free summers in the late Miocene central Arctic Ocean. Nat. Commun. 7, 11148 (2016).

    Google Scholar 

  55. Lunt, D. J. et al. DeepMIP: Model intercomparison of early Eocene climatic optimum (EECO) large-scale climate features and comparison with proxy data. Clim 17, 203–227 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  56. Bentsen, M. et al. The Norwegian Earth System Model, NorESM1-M – Part 1: Description and basic evaluation of the physical climate. Geosci. Model Dev. 6, 687–720 (2013).

    Google Scholar 

  57. Iversen, T. et al. The Norwegian earth system model, NorESM1-M-Part 2: climate response and scenario projections. Geosci. Model Dev. 6, 389–415 (2013).

    Google Scholar 

  58. Dufresne, J.-L. et al. Climate change projections using the IPSL-CM5 Earth System Model: from CMIP3 to CMIP5. Clim. Dyn. 40, 2123–2165 (2013).

    Google Scholar 

  59. Guo, C., Nisancioglu, K. H., Bentsen, M., Bethke, I. & Zhang, Z. Equilibrium simulations of marine isotope stage 3 climate. Clim 15, 1133–1151 (2019).

    Google Scholar 

  60. Li, X., Guo, C., Zhang, Z., Helge Otterä, O. & Zhang, R. PlioMIP2 simulations with NorESM-L and NorESM1-F. Clim 16, 183–197 (2020).

    Google Scholar 

  61. Zhang, Z. et al. Impact of Mountains in Southern China on the Eocene Climates of East Asia. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 127, e2022JD036510 (2022).

    Google Scholar 

  62. Tan, N. et al. Modeling a modern-like p CO 2 warm period (Marine Isotope Stage KM5c) with two versions of an Institut Pierre Simon Laplace atmosphere – ocean coupled general circulation model. 1–16 (2020).

  63. Tardif, D. et al. Orbital variations as a major driver of climate and biome distribution during the greenhouse to icehouse transition. Sci. Adv. 7, 1–14 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  64. Sarr, A. C. et al. Neogene South Asian monsoon rainfall and wind histories diverged due to topographic effects. Nat. Geosci. 15, 314–319 (2022).

    Google Scholar 

  65. Müller, R. D., Sdrolias, M., Gaina, C. & Roest, W. R. Age, spreading rates, and spreading asymmetry of the world’s ocean crust. Geochem. Geophys. Geosyst. 9, Q04006 (2008).

  66. He, Z., Zhang, Z., Guo, Z., Scotese, C. R. & Deng, C. Middle miocene (~14 Ma) and late miocene (~6 Ma) paleogeographic boundary conditions. Paleoceanogr. Paleoclimatol. 36, e2021PA004298 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  67. Montes, C. et al. Middle Miocene closure of the Central American Seaway. Science 348, 226–229 (2015).

    Google Scholar 

  68. Uenzelmann-Neben, G. & Gruetzner, J. Chronology of Greenland Scotland Ridge overflow: What do we really know?. Mar. Geol. 406, 109–118 (2018).

    Google Scholar 

  69. Contoux, C., Ramstein, G. & Jost, A. Modelling the mid-pliocene warm period climate with the IPSL coupled model and its atmospheric component LMDZ5A. Geosci. Model Dev. 5, 903–917 (2012).

    Google Scholar 

  70. Lawrence, D. M. et al. Parameterization improvements and functional and structural advances in Version 4 of the Community Land Model. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst. 3, M03001 (2011).

  71. Krinner, G. et al. A dynamic global vegetation model for studies of the coupled atmosphere-biosphere system. Global Biogeochem. Cycles 19, GB1015 (2005).

  72. Guimberteau, M. et al. Testing conceptual and physically based soil hydrology schemes against observations for the Amazon Basin. Geosci. Model Dev. 7, 1115–1136 (2014).

    Google Scholar 

  73. Crichton, K. A., Ridgwell, A., Lunt, D. J., Farnsworth, A. & Pearson, P. N. Data-constrained assessment of ocean circulation changes since the middle Miocene in an Earth system model. Clim. Past. 17, 2223–2254 (2021).

Download references

Acknowledgements

The authors thank Jean-Baptiste Ladant, Haibin Wu, Chunxia Zhang, and Qingzhen Hao for their helpful discussions. This work is supported by the grant of the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (XDB0710000), the National Key Research and Development Program (Grant no. 2022YFF0801504), and NSFC program (42488201). Zhilin He acknowledges support from the Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program (Grant No. 2024QZKK0301). Frédéric Fluteau and Gilles Ramstein were granted access to the HPC resources of TGCC under the allocation 2020-A0090107601 and 2021-A0110107601 made by GENCI. Gilles Ramstein acknowledges support from CNRS/INSU/LEFE project. Ning Tan acknowledges support from the IGGCAS key program (No. IGGCAS-202201).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. State Key Laboratory of Lithospheric and Environmental Coevolution, Institute of Geology and Geophysics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China

    Ning Tan, Zhilin He, Zijian Zhang & Zhengtang Guo

  2. Institut de physique du globe de Paris, CNRS, Université de Paris, Paris, France

    Frédéric Fluteau

  3. Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, School of Physics, Peking University, Beijing, China

    Zhongshi Zhang

  4. State key Laboratory of Biogeology and Environmental Geology, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China

    Zhongshi Zhang

  5. Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement (LSCE), CEA, CNRS, UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette, France

    Gilles Ramstein & Pierre Sepulchre

  6. Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace (IPSL), Université Versailles Saint-Quentin, Guyancourt, France

    Gilles Ramstein & Pierre Sepulchre

  7. NORCE Norwegian Research Centre, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway

    Chuncheng Guo

  8. Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark

    Chuncheng Guo

Authors
  1. Ning Tan
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

  2. Frédéric Fluteau
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

  3. Zhongshi Zhang
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

  4. Gilles Ramstein
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

  5. Chuncheng Guo
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

  6. Pierre Sepulchre
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

  7. Zhilin He
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

  8. Zijian Zhang
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

  9. Zhengtang Guo
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

Contributions

N.T., F.F., G.R., and Z.Z. contributed to the conceptual development of this work. N.T. conducted the analysis, and produced the figures and results. F.F. and N.T. conducted the Miocene simulations, C.G. and P.S. conducted the PI simulations. N.T., F.F., G.R., and Z.Z. drafted the original manuscript, C.G., Z.G., Z.H., P.S., and Z.J.Z. helped to review the manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Ning Tan.

Ethics declarations

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Peer review

Peer review information

Communications Earth and Environment thanks the anonymous reviewers for their contribution to the peer review of this work. Primary Handling Editors: Rachael Rhodes and Joe Aslin. [A peer review file is available.]

Additional information

Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Supplementary information

Transparent Peer Review file (download PDF )

Supplementary File (download PDF )

Rights and permissions

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License, which permits any non-commercial use, sharing, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if you modified the licensed material. You do not have permission under this licence to share adapted material derived from this article or parts of it. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Tan, N., Fluteau, F., Zhang, Z. et al. A critical role of ocean–sea ice interactions in the pronounced warmth during the Miocene Climatic Optimum. Commun Earth Environ (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-03324-2

Download citation

  • Received: 11 April 2025

  • Accepted: 11 February 2026

  • Published: 02 March 2026

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-03324-2

Share this article

Anyone you share the following link with will be able to read this content:

Sorry, a shareable link is not currently available for this article.

Provided by the Springer Nature SharedIt content-sharing initiative

Download PDF

Advertisement

Explore content

  • Research articles
  • Reviews & Analysis
  • News & Comment
  • Collections
  • Follow us on X
  • Sign up for alerts
  • RSS feed

About the journal

  • Aims & Scope
  • Journal Information
  • Open Access Fees and Funding
  • Journal Metrics
  • Editors
  • Editorial Board
  • Calls for Papers
  • Referees
  • Editorial Values Statement
  • Editorial policies
  • Conferences
  • Contact

Publish with us

  • For authors
  • Language editing services
  • Open access funding
  • Submit manuscript

Search

Advanced search

Quick links

  • Explore articles by subject
  • Find a job
  • Guide to authors
  • Editorial policies

Communications Earth & Environment (Commun Earth Environ)

ISSN 2662-4435 (online)

nature.com footer links

About Nature Portfolio

  • About us
  • Press releases
  • Press office
  • Contact us

Discover content

  • Journals A-Z
  • Articles by subject
  • protocols.io
  • Nature Index

Publishing policies

  • Nature portfolio policies
  • Open access

Author & Researcher services

  • Reprints & permissions
  • Research data
  • Language editing
  • Scientific editing
  • Nature Masterclasses
  • Research Solutions

Libraries & institutions

  • Librarian service & tools
  • Librarian portal
  • Open research
  • Recommend to library

Advertising & partnerships

  • Advertising
  • Partnerships & Services
  • Media kits
  • Branded content

Professional development

  • Nature Awards
  • Nature Careers
  • Nature Conferences

Regional websites

  • Nature Africa
  • Nature China
  • Nature India
  • Nature Japan
  • Nature Middle East
  • Privacy Policy
  • Use of cookies
  • Legal notice
  • Accessibility statement
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Your US state privacy rights
Springer Nature

© 2026 Springer Nature Limited

Nature Briefing

Sign up for the Nature Briefing newsletter — what matters in science, free to your inbox daily.

Get the most important science stories of the day, free in your inbox. Sign up for Nature Briefing