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Synergistic reductions in fine particles and fossil fuel carbon dioxide revealed by tree-ring radiocarbon analysis
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  • Published: 28 March 2026

Synergistic reductions in fine particles and fossil fuel carbon dioxide revealed by tree-ring radiocarbon analysis

  • Yao Qu1,2,3,
  • Zhenchuan Niu  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-5566-67611,2,4,5,
  • Weijian Zhou  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0001-9641-57341,2,
  • Yunfei Huang1,6,
  • Sen Wang7,8,
  • Xue Feng9,
  • Guiqian Zhang1,7,
  • Xuefeng Lu1,2,
  • Jocelyn C. Turnbull  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-0306-965810,11 &
  • …
  • Xiangrui Kong12 

Communications Earth & Environment , Article number:  (2026) Cite this article

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We are providing an unedited version of this manuscript to give early access to its findings. Before final publication, the manuscript will undergo further editing. Please note there may be errors present which affect the content, and all legal disclaimers apply.

Subjects

  • Atmospheric science
  • Environmental impact

Abstract

Effective co-control of air pollution and carbon emissions yields substantial environmental and climate benefits, yet direct observational evidence of policy impacts remains scarce. Here we use tree-ring radiocarbon to reconstruct annual fossil fuel carbon dioxide concentrations from 2000 to 2021 in Beijing and Xi’an, China. These data, combined with records of fine particles, black carbon, and carbon monoxide, reveal their initial parallel rises, followed by substantial declines after 2013 clean air action plans. From 2013 to 2021, ratios of fine particles, black carbon, and carbon monoxide enhancement to fossil fuel carbon dioxide fell by 58 ± 25%, 54 ± 19%, and 44 ± 19% in Beijing, and 36 ± 21%, 56 ± 10%, and 65 ± 24% in Xi’an, respectively. These trends provide observational evidence of co-benefits achieved through integrated air quality and carbon mitigation policies, highlighting the value of tree-ring radiocarbon for evaluating emission dynamics and policy effectiveness.

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Data availability

All sources of publicly available data used in this study are provided in the Methods. The tree-ring 14C dataset (2000–2019) used for CO2ff reconstruction in Beijing and Xi’an was obtained from the same sampling network described in our previous work48. The present study includes additional 14C data from 2020 and 2021. Data used in the production of the figures in this study is stored in a repository with the following https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18795196.

Code availability

The code for retrieving the satellite-derived PM2.5 data was provided by the data source website (https://sites.wustl.edu/acag/). Data visualization and linear fitting were conducted using standard tools in OriginPro 2021.

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Acknowledgements

This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant Nos. 42330114 and 42173082), and Natural Science Basic Research Program of Shaanxi (grant number 2024JC-JCQN-34).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. State Key Laboratory of Loess Science, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi’an, China

    Yao Qu, Zhenchuan Niu, Weijian Zhou, Yunfei Huang, Guiqian Zhang & Xuefeng Lu

  2. Shaanxi Provincial Key Laboratory of Accelerator Mass Spectrometry Technology and Application, Xi’an AMS Center, Xi’an, China

    Yao Qu, Zhenchuan Niu, Weijian Zhou & Xuefeng Lu

  3. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China

    Yao Qu

  4. Institute of Global Environmental Change, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, China

    Zhenchuan Niu

  5. National Observation and Research Station of Regional Ecological Environment Change and Comprehensive Management in the Guanzhong Plain, Xi’an, China

    Zhenchuan Niu

  6. Interdisciplinary Research Center of Earth Science Frontier, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China

    Yunfei Huang

  7. College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Northwest University, Xi’an, China

    Sen Wang & Guiqian Zhang

  8. Shaanxi Xi’an Urban Ecosystem National Observation and Research Station, National Forestry and Grassland Administration, Xi’an, China

    Sen Wang

  9. Xi’an Institute for Innovative Earth Environment Research, Xi’an, China

    Xue Feng

  10. National Isotope Center, GNS Science, Lower Hutt, New Zealand

    Jocelyn C. Turnbull

  11. CIRES, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA

    Jocelyn C. Turnbull

  12. Atmospheric Science, Department of Chemistry and Molecular Biology, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden

    Xiangrui Kong

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Contributions

Z.N. conceived the study; Y.H., G.Z., and X.F performed sampling and 14C sample preparation; X.L performed 14C measurements; Z.N., X.K., W.Z., S.W., and J.T. provided valuable discussions; Y.Q. and X.K. wrote the paper, which was revised by Z.N., X.K., W.Z., and J.T. All authors read and approved of the final manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Zhenchuan Niu.

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The authors declare no competing interests.

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Communications Earth and Environment thanks the anonymous reviewers for their contribution to the peer review of this work. Primary Handling Editors: Haoyu Jiang and Nandita Basu. A peer review file is available.

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Qu, Y., Niu, Z., Zhou, W. et al. Synergistic reductions in fine particles and fossil fuel carbon dioxide revealed by tree-ring radiocarbon analysis. Commun Earth Environ (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-03439-6

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  • Received: 11 November 2025

  • Accepted: 12 March 2026

  • Published: 28 March 2026

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-03439-6

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