Fig. 1: Overview of relevant epidemiological time series.
From: National and subnational short-term forecasting of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during early 2021
Reported cases (a) and deaths (b) per seven days in Germany (black) and Poland (red) according to Robert Koch Institute, the Polish Ministry of Health (MZ; solid lines), and Johns Hopkins CSSE (dashed). Additional panels show c the share of cases due to the B.1.1.7 (Alpha) variant, d the proportion of all performed PCR tests which turned out positive, e the overall level of non-pharmaceutical interventions as measured by the Oxford Coronavirus Government Response Tracker (OxCGRT) Stringency Index, and f the population shares having received at least one vaccination dose (dotted) and complete vaccination (solid). The dark gray area indicates the period addressed in the present manuscript, and the light gray area is the one from Bracher et al.16.
