Fig. 3: Two-week-ahead forecasts of cases and deaths from COVID-19 in Germany and Poland.
From: National and subnational short-term forecasting of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during early 2021
Two-week-ahead forecasts of confirmed cases and deaths from COVID-19 in Germany (a, b) and Poland (c, d). It shows forecasts from a baseline model, the median ensemble of all submissions, and a subset of submitted models. The remaining submitted models are displayed in Supplementary Fig. 2. The black line shows observed data. Colored points represent predictive medians, and dark and light bars show 50 and 95% prediction intervals, respectively. The right column shows the empirical coverage rates of the different models. See the caption of Fig. 2 for a detailed explanation of plot elements.
