Fig. 5: Outbreak size and effective reproduction number for the reinfection of the immunized network. | Communications Medicine

Fig. 5: Outbreak size and effective reproduction number for the reinfection of the immunized network.

From: Behavior change and infection induced immunity led to the decline of the 2022 Mpox outbreak in Berlin

Fig. 5: Outbreak size and effective reproduction number for the reinfection of the immunized network.

a Distribution of outbreak sizes across 143,000 simulations for each of the three scenarios. The dark lines represent the mean outbreak size. b Timeline of the effective reproduction number Rt for each of the three scenarios. The mean is depicted by dashed lines, and the 95% PI is shown as shaded areas. c Final outbreak size (mean and 95% PI) resulting from randomizing the number of contacts of a subset of the population. Each set of parameters is represented by 14,300 simulations. d Final outbreak size (mean and 95% PI) when a share of the population is removed and replaced with naive agents. Each set of parameters is represented by 14,300 simulations.

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