Table 3 Observed and Predicted Choices for Certainty and Uncertainty Treatments

From: Deliberately ignoring inequality to avoid rejecting unfair offers

 

Certain

Uncertain

 
 

Observed

Predicted

Observed

 
  

No reveal

Reveal

Total

No reveal

Reveal

Total

Accept

547

333

195

528

346

203

549

Reject

125

20

123

143

21

128

149

  1. Based on our observations in uncertainty treatments, we predicted the distribution of choices in certainty treatments to assess whether the observed and predicted distributions in certainty treatments were invariant. Predicted “No reveal” and “Reveal” are counterfactual scenarios given the observed choices under uncertainty. The predictions were based on the assumptions that the distributions in certainty and uncertainty treatments were identical and that the effects in uncertainty treatments were exclusively driven by heterogeneity.