Table 1 The models of news content imprecision and news content polarization explain best participants’ success in assessing the news veracity

From: Metacognition biases information seeking in assessing ambiguous news

Model comparison with WAIC

Models

ΔWAIC

ΔSE

WAIC

SE WAIC

pWAIC

Weight

News content imprecision & polarization

0

0

16890.63

33.54

10.3

1

News content polarization

−30.22

8.06

16951.08

29.88

8.27

0

News content imprecision

−105.5

14.44

17101.64

17.33

8.59

0

Response times

−125.99

16.96

17142.62

11.55

8.86

0

Non-informative beta response

−132.22

16.72

17155.06

9.99

7.36

0

Beliefs alignment

−134.52

16.37

17159.68

7

6.25

0

Subject random-effects

−134.56

16.37

17159.75

6.69

6.31

0

Veracity judgment

−135.01

16.34

17160.65

7.26

7.3

0

  1. The table displays model comparisons ordered by WAIC. The best model has the lowest WAIC, showing the best out-of-sample capacity, and higher weight, showing the best prediction of in-sample data. Models are described in the “Data analysis” section of the “Methods” section.