Table 5 Lagged mixed-effects models between polarization and CDS prevalence

From: Cognitive distortions are associated with increasing political polarization

Model A: CDS2020 ~ Polarization2016

Variable

β

SE

p

Effect size

95% CI

Intercept

0.284***

0.001

<0.0001

–

[0.282, 0.286]

polarization2016

−0.028***

0.001

<0.0001

β* = −0.02

[−0.029,  −0.026]

Group variance

0.009

—

—

—

—

n = 14,636, k = 7318 groups, df ≈ 7316

Model B: Polarization2020 ~ CDS2016

Intercept

0.922***

0.002

<0.0001

–

[0.919, 0.926]

CDS2016

0.052***

0.003

<0.0001

β* = 0.05

[0.046, 0.057]

Group variance

0.005

—

—

—

—

n = 14,636, k = 7318 groups, df ≈ 7316

  1. Effect size is the standardized β* for continuous predictors. df indicates approximate degrees of freedom (number of groups minus fixed effects).
  2. β unstandardized coefficient, SE standard error.
  3. ***p < 0.001, *p < 0.05.
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