Table 6 AIC scores for statistical model fits to each rx4day time series with the 2024 event excluded for different distributions and combinations of covariates
Dataset | GEV | Gaussian | Gumbel | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GMST | GMST + Nino | GMST | GMST + Nino | GMST | GMST + Nino | |
CPC | 401.53 | 399.81 | 400.35 | 399.16 | 403.80 | 402.79 |
CHIRPS | 388.28 | 389.60 | 386.99 | 388.54 | 391.53 | 392.66 |
GPCC | 375.13 | 373.61 | 374.93 | 374.27 | 381.20 | 380.32 |
MSWEP | 401.27 | 399.76 | 399.59 | 398.78 | 404.20 | 403.26 |
BR-DWGD | 551.96 | 548.42 | 553.20 | 548.01 | 551.32 | 549.71 |
Model ensemble | ||||||
CORDEX | 376.41 | 380.06 | ||||
CMIP | 402.76 | 406.57 | ||||
AM | 336.65 | 340.55 | ||||
FLOR | 335.34 | 335.12 | ||||
