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Showing 1–12 of 12 results
Advanced filters: Author: Elizabeth J. Kendon Clear advanced filters

  • For the first time, climate change experiments with a convection-permitting model have been carried out over an Africa-wide domain. These show more severe future changes in both wet and dry extremes over Africa compared to a traditional coarser resolution climate model.

    • Elizabeth J. Kendon
    • Rachel A. Stratton
    • Catherine A. Senior
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 10, P: 1-14

  • Changes in precipitation extremes are occurring under climate change, but how they will manifest on sub-daily timescales is uncertain. This study used a high-resolution model, typically used for weather forecasting, to simulate hourly rainfall in the UK in the year 2100. The results confirmed previous findings of winter rainfall intensification and found that short-duration rainfall intensified in summer, increasing the risk of flash flooding.

    • Elizabeth J. Kendon
    • Nigel M. Roberts
    • Catherine A. Senior
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 4, P: 570-576

  • Extreme daily precipitation is thought to increase with warming at a rate of 6.5% per K. High-resolution simulations for the southern UK show this scaling for present conditions, but above 22 °C this scaling fails owing to changes in dynamics.

    • Steven C. Chan
    • Elizabeth J. Kendon
    • Stephen Blenkinsop
    Research
    Nature Geoscience
    Volume: 9, P: 24-28

  • Short-duration rainfall extremes are determined by complex processes that are affected by the warming climate. This Review assesses the evidence for the intensification of short-duration rainfall extremes, the associated drivers and the implications for flood risks.

    • Hayley J. Fowler
    • Geert Lenderink
    • Xuebin Zhang
    Reviews
    Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
    Volume: 2, P: 107-122

  • Multiple record-breaking climate events have been observed, posing socioeconomic risks. This Review outlines observed and projected changes in record-breaking events, revealing 300–350% increases in the frequency of daily record heat in 2016–2024 relative to a stationary climate.

    • Erich M. Fischer
    • Margot Bador
    • Sebastian Sippel
    Reviews
    Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
    Volume: 6, P: 456-470

  • Neglecting the contributions of antecedent rainfall, wind direction, and seasonal factors such as leaf cover can underestimate the probability of extensive power outages during windstorms according to an analysis that combines meteorological data and a statistical approach.

    • Colin Manning
    • Sean Wilkinson
    • Elizabeth J. Kendon
    ResearchOpen Access
    Communications Earth & Environment
    Volume: 6, P: 1-12

  • The winter of 2013–14 witnessed severe flooding across much of the UK putting pressure on policy makers to improve future planning for periods of torrential rainfall. This Perspective puts the flooding in the context of historical records, critically examines a range of potential causes, and sets out research directions needed to achieve a definitive assessment on the possible human contribution to the flooding.

    • Chris Huntingford
    • Terry Marsh
    • Myles R. Allen
    Reviews
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 4, P: 769-777

  • Two convection-permitting climate models project similar increases in peak rainfall intensities from mesoscale convective storms across Europe by 2100, but project contrasting changes to storm frequency, size, and speed due to differences in the representation of dynamical responses to global warming.

    • Steven C. Chan
    • Elizabeth J. Kendon
    • Andreas F. Prein
    ResearchOpen Access
    Communications Earth & Environment
    Volume: 4, P: 1-10