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Showing 1–10 of 10 results
Advanced filters: Author: Juraj Balkovic Clear advanced filters

  • This work investigates changes in regularity of crop failure, heatwave and wildfire exposure for different future climate scenarios. Major shifts in dominant periods are observed when moving from pre-industrial to current climate conditions.

    • Karim Zantout
    • Juraj Balkovic
    • Jacob Schewe
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 16, P: 1-15

  • African rice production is facing high spatiotemporal variability in rice yields and uncertain supply chains. This study proposes a framework to assess the future impacts of socio-economic development and climate change on African rice availability and stability. Both local and trade-propagated climatic variabilities are important to identify future challenges.

    • Koen De Vos
    • Charlotte Janssens
    • Gerard Govers
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Food
    Volume: 4, P: 518-527

  • China’s feed imports have a considerable environmental impact globally. This modelling study quantifies China’s potential protein self-sufficiency by simulating farming spatial relocation according to irrigation water and nitrogen surplus, as well as technological innovations and demand-side measures.

    • Hao Zhao
    • Xiangwen Fan
    • Jinfeng Chang
    Research
    Nature Food
    Volume: 5, P: 581-591

  • The sustainability effects of agricultural development and market integration on African food systems are varied and complex. Using an integrated modelling framework, this study investigates the impact of both continental free trade and agricultural development on African food imports and exports, undernourishment and sectoral greenhouse gas emissions until 2050.

    • Charlotte Janssens
    • Petr Havlík
    • Miet Maertens
    Research
    Nature Food
    Volume: 3, P: 608-618

  • Climate change affects agricultural productivity. New systematic global agricultural yield projections of the major crops were conducted using ensembles of the latest generation of crop and climate models. Substantial shifts in global crop productivity due to climate change will occur within the next 20 years—several decades sooner than previous projections—highlighting the need for targeted food system adaptation and risk management in the coming decades.

    • Jonas Jägermeyr
    • Christoph Müller
    • Cynthia Rosenzweig
    Research
    Nature Food
    Volume: 2, P: 873-885

  • Agriculture has a massive and growing footprint. This study finds that optimizing fertilizer and major crops globally could reduce by 50% needed global cropland, allowing restored vegetation on spared land to sequester carbon.

    • Christian Folberth
    • Nikolay Khabarov
    • Michael Obersteiner
    Research
    Nature Sustainability
    Volume: 3, P: 281-289

  • Global gridded crop models are increasingly used to assess climate change impacts on food production. Here, the authors assess crop yield uncertainty associated with soil data input, reporting that soil type strongly influences yield estimates, and may either buffer or amplify climate-related impacts.

    • Christian Folberth
    • Rastislav Skalský
    • Marijn van der Velde
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 7, P: 1-13

  • Future agricultural productivity is threatened by high temperatures. Here, using 9 crop models, Schaubergeret al. find that yield losses due to temperatures >30 °C are captured by current models where yield losses by mild heat stress occur mainly due to water stress and can be buffered by irrigation.

    • Bernhard Schauberger
    • Sotirios Archontoulis
    • Katja Frieler
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 8, P: 1-9

  • Waterlogging threatens global crop production, yet it remains under-represented in agricultural impact assessments and crop models. This Review examines 21 crop models, identifying limitations in how they simulate waterlogging and coupled soil–crop processes. It also proposes pathways to enhance model accuracy for better agricultural adaptation and management.

    • Margarita Garcia-Vila
    • Murilo dos Santos Vianna
    • Taru Palosuo
    Reviews
    Nature Food
    Volume: 6, P: 553-562