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Showing 1–22 of 22 results
Advanced filters: Author: Katja Frieler Clear advanced filters

  • There is growing evidence that extreme events linked to anthropogenic climate change can have important effects on biodiversity. Here the authors assess the exposure of terrestrial vertebrates to multiple types of extreme climate events globally.

    • Stefanie Heinicke
    • Karim Zantout
    • Katja Frieler
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Ecology & Evolution
    Volume: 10, P: 854-863

  • This work investigates changes in regularity of crop failure, heatwave and wildfire exposure for different future climate scenarios. Major shifts in dominant periods are observed when moving from pre-industrial to current climate conditions.

    • Karim Zantout
    • Juraj Balkovic
    • Jacob Schewe
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 16, P: 1-15

  • Comprehensive computer simulations show that coral reefs are likely to suffer extensive long-term degradation resulting from mass bleaching events even if the expected increase in global mean temperature can be kept well below 2 °C. Without major mitigation efforts to limit global warming significantly, the fate of coral reef ecosystems seems to be sealed.

    • K. Frieler
    • M. Meinshausen
    • O. Hoegh-Guldberg
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 3, P: 165-170

  • Millions of people each year are forcibly displaced due to floods. Mester et al. show that measures of human development and rural areas are more important than GDP per capita in explaining the varying vulnerability to such displacement.

    • Benedikt Mester
    • Katja Frieler
    • Jacob Schewe
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 16, P: 1-13

  • This study introduces an empirical modeling approach allowing to separate climate and socio-economic drivers of damages by fluvial floods. It shows that climate signals are clearly detectable in Asia and Latin America.

    • Inga J. Sauer
    • Ronja Reese
    • Katja Frieler
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 12, P: 1-11

  • Emissions targets must be placed in the context of a cumulative carbon budget if we are to avoid dangerous climate change.

    • Myles Allen
    • David Frame
    • Sarah Raper
    Comments & Opinion
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 1, P: 56-58

  • As the atmosphere warms it can hold more water so precipitation is expected to increase. This study uses palaeoclimate data and modelling results to investigate what this means for Antarctic mass balance and sea-level rise, as more snowfall will increase the water stored as ice on the continent.

    • Katja Frieler
    • Peter U. Clark
    • Anders Levermann
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 5, P: 348-352

  • Climate change entails an intensification of extreme weather events that can potentially trigger socioeconomic and energy system disruptions. As we approach 1 °C of global warming we should start learning from historical extremes and explicitly incorporate such events in integrated climate–economy and energy systems models.

    • Christian Otto
    • Franziska Piontek
    • Katja Frieler
    Comments & Opinion
    Nature Energy
    Volume: 5, P: 111-114

  • West Nile Virus is emerging as an important pathogen in Europe, likely driven by recent climate and land-use changes. Here, the authors estimate the extent of the climate change-driven impact by modelling the change in West Nile Virus ecological suitability across the continent in the absence of climate change.

    • Diana Erazo
    • Luke Grant
    • Simon Dellicour
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 15, P: 1-10

  • Understanding how power systems fail—and the nature of cascading failures—as a result of hurricanes is important to increase future resilience. Here the authors present a co-evolution approach to modelling wind-induced power line failures caused by hurricanes and assess the potential impact of line hardening on grids.

    • Julian Stürmer
    • Anton Plietzsch
    • Mehrnaz Anvari
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Energy
    Volume: 9, P: 526-535

  • Tropical cyclone winds intensify with warming but the impacts depend on global population, which is likely to peak by mid-century and then decline. Impact modelling suggests that stronger mitigation, under which warming would peak after the population begins to decline, may spare 1.8 billion people from impacts by 2100.

    • Tobias Geiger
    • Johannes Gütschow
    • Katja Frieler
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 11, P: 861-866

  • Impact models projections are used in integrated assessments of climate change. Here the authors test systematically across many important systems, how well such impact models capture the impacts of extreme climate conditions.

    • Jacob Schewe
    • Simon N. Gosling
    • Lila Warszawski
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 10, P: 1-14

  • Future agricultural productivity is threatened by high temperatures. Here, using 9 crop models, Schaubergeret al. find that yield losses due to temperatures >30 °C are captured by current models where yield losses by mild heat stress occur mainly due to water stress and can be buffered by irrigation.

    • Bernhard Schauberger
    • Sotirios Archontoulis
    • Katja Frieler
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 8, P: 1-9

  • River floods have severe socio-economic impacts. A multi-model framework reveals river-flood-related human losses may rise by up to 83%, 134% and 265% at 1.5 °C, 2 °C and 3 °C warming, respectively, with economic losses also projected to rise.

    • Francesco Dottori
    • Wojciech Szewczyk
    • Luc Feyen
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 8, P: 781-786

  • The politically defined threshold of dangerous climate change is an increase of 2 degrees Celsius in the mean global temperature. Simulations here show that when carbon dioxide and a full suite of positive and negative radiative forcings are considered, total emissions from 2000 to 2050 of about 1,400 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide yield a 50% probability of exceeding this threshold by the end of the twenty-first century. 'Business as usual' emissions will probably meet or exceed this 50% probability.

    • Malte Meinshausen
    • Nicolai Meinshausen
    • Myles R. Allen
    Research
    Nature
    Volume: 458, P: 1158-1162

  • There are discernible differences in climate impacts between 1.5 °C and 2 °C of warming. The extent of countries' near-term mitigation ambition will determine the success of the Paris Agreement's temperature goal.

    • Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
    • Joeri Rogelj
    • William Hare
    Reviews
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 6, P: 827-835