The impacts of climate change on certain aspects of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) have been established. However, the change in sea surface temperature, commonly used to represent ENSO amplitude, remained uncertain. Now, the sea surface response is shown to be time-varying, with an increasing trend to 2040 followed by a decreasing trend. The previous uncertainty is attributed to the expectation of unidirectional behaviour and unrealistic model representations.
- Seon Tae Kim
- Wenju Cai
- Soon-Il An