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Showing 1–44 of 44 results
Advanced filters: Author: Petr Havlik Clear advanced filters
  • Carbon dioxide removal (CDR) plays an important role in decarbonization pathways to meet climate goals, but some methods are land-intensive. Multimodel analysis reveals conflicts between biodiversity and CDR that are distributed unevenly, and shows that synergies are crucial to meet climate and conservation goals.

    • Ruben Prütz
    • Joeri Rogelj
    • Sabine Fuss
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Climate Change
    P: 1-9
  • Carbon sequestration on agricultural land holds great promise for combating climate change. This study estimates the mitigation potential of three sequestration practices—soil carbon enhancement, biochar application on cropland and silvo-pastoral systems—while identifying cost-effective mitigation portfolios.

    • Stefan Frank
    • Andrey Lessa Derci Augustynczik
    • Michael Wögerer
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Food
    Volume: 5, P: 742-753
  • Existing datasets of nitrogen (N) balance in agriculture are often discrepant. Comparing 13 of them regarding five metrics (fertilizer application, manure application, biological N fixation, atmospheric deposition, and N harvested as crop products) over 1961–2015 reveals why. Recommendations for improving N quantification and an N budget benchmark dataset are also proposed.

    • Xin Zhang
    • Tan Zou
    • Eric A. Davidson
    Research
    Nature Food
    Volume: 2, P: 529-540
  • Negative-emission technologies might pose trade-offs to food security and other land-based sustainability targets. A scenario analysis reveals the potential impacts of bioenergy deployment in China on global and domestic sustainable development, and how free trade and food systems efficiency measures could mitigate the potential adverse sustainability impacts.

    • Ming Ren
    • Chen Huang
    • Hancheng Dai
    Research
    Nature Food
    Volume: 4, P: 552-564
  • African rice production is facing high spatiotemporal variability in rice yields and uncertain supply chains. This study proposes a framework to assess the future impacts of socio-economic development and climate change on African rice availability and stability. Both local and trade-propagated climatic variabilities are important to identify future challenges.

    • Koen De Vos
    • Charlotte Janssens
    • Gerard Govers
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Food
    Volume: 4, P: 518-527
  • Rapid urbanization affects both local food and ecological systems in Africa. This study integrates the effects of land-use displacement and dietary shifts associated with urbanization in scenarios of future food demand to understand the impact of future urbanization on the African environment.

    • Koen De Vos
    • Charlotte Janssens
    • Gerard Govers
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Sustainability
    Volume: 7, P: 869-878
  • Meat and dairy alternatives are promoted for diet sustainability. Here, the authors use a modelling approach to show that replacing 50% of pork, chicken, beef and milk globally with plant-based alternatives can reduce GHG emissions by 6.3 Gt CO2eq year-1 and more than half biodiversity loss by 2050.

    • Marta Kozicka
    • Petr Havlík
    • Noel Gurwick
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 14, P: 1-13
  • China’s feed imports have a considerable environmental impact globally. This modelling study quantifies China’s potential protein self-sufficiency by simulating farming spatial relocation according to irrigation water and nitrogen surplus, as well as technological innovations and demand-side measures.

    • Hao Zhao
    • Xiangwen Fan
    • Jinfeng Chang
    Research
    Nature Food
    Volume: 5, P: 581-591
  • The sustainability effects of agricultural development and market integration on African food systems are varied and complex. Using an integrated modelling framework, this study investigates the impact of both continental free trade and agricultural development on African food imports and exports, undernourishment and sectoral greenhouse gas emissions until 2050.

    • Charlotte Janssens
    • Petr Havlík
    • Miet Maertens
    Research
    Nature Food
    Volume: 3, P: 608-618
  • Seaweed farming could reduce agriculture’s environmental footprint, but its potential is not well-explored yet. This study shows how globally extended aquaculture can reduce terrestrial crops demand and greenhouse gas emissions while providing a substitute or supplement for food, animal feeds and fuel.

    • Scott Spillias
    • Hugo Valin
    • Eve McDonald-Madden
    Research
    Nature Sustainability
    Volume: 6, P: 380-390
  • Mass production of nanoparticles containing well-controlled structural defects is a challenge. Here the authors demonstrate the feasibility of homogeneous ion irradiation generated in a nuclear reactor, for the preparation of fluorescent nanodiamonds and silicon carbide nanoparticles.

    • Jan Havlik
    • Vladimira Petrakova
    • Petr Cigler
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 9, P: 1-10
  • Delaying climate mitigation requires large-scale carbon dioxide removal (CDR) in the second half of this century, with possible adverse effects. Under scenarios with no dependence on CDR technologies, this study examines the short- and long-term implications of climate mitigation for land-use and food systems.

    • Tomoko Hasegawa
    • Shinichiro Fujimori
    • Keywan Riahi
    Research
    Nature Sustainability
    Volume: 4, P: 1052-1059
  • Increasing nitrogen use efficiency is the most effective strategy to reduce undernourishment while respecting the nitrogen boundaries in regions such as China and India. This supply-side effort plays a more important role in alleviating food insecurity than demand-side efforts such as diet shifts and reduced waste when introducing regional nitrogen targets.

    • Jinfeng Chang
    • Petr Havlík
    • Michael Obersteiner
    Research
    Nature Food
    Volume: 2, P: 700-711
  • Owing to its short atmospheric life, methane’s contribution to agricultural emissions and climate change may vary substantially depending on the temporal scale considered. Based on projections from three agricultural economic models, this study reveals how different appreciations of methane’s global warming potential may affect the cost-effectiveness of carbon pricing and low-meat diets.

    • Ignacio Pérez-Domínguez
    • Agustin del Prado
    • María José Sanz-Sánchez
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Food
    Volume: 2, P: 970-980
  • Emissions abatement efforts in the agriculture, forestry and land-use sector are vital to achieve climate change mitigation targets, but their effects on food security remain poorly understood. Using six global agroeconomic models, this study explores how afforestation, bioenergy and non-CO2 emissions reductions could impact agricultural prices and the risk of hunger under different scenarios.

    • Shinichiro Fujimori
    • Wenchao Wu
    • Kiyoshi Takahashi
    Research
    Nature Food
    Volume: 3, P: 110-121
  • To promote the recovery of the currently declining global trends in terrestrial biodiversity, increases in both the extent of land under conservation management and the sustainability of the global food system from farm to fork are required.

    • David Leclère
    • Michael Obersteiner
    • Lucy Young
    Research
    Nature
    Volume: 585, P: 551-556
  • There is a mismatch between emission estimates from global land use calculated from IAMs and countries’ greenhouse gas inventories. This study presents a method for reconciling these estimates by reallocating part of the land-use sink, facilitating progress assessment towards climate goals.

    • Giacomo Grassi
    • Elke Stehfest
    • Alexander Popp
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 11, P: 425-434
  • Meeting China’s growing demand for food, especially for livestock products, will have huge environmental impacts domestically and globally. This study finds large increases in land, water, fertilizer and greenhouse gas emissions that vary based on openness of trade.

    • Hao Zhao
    • Jinfeng Chang
    • Michael Obersteiner
    Research
    Nature Sustainability
    Volume: 4, P: 1042-1051
  • Grasslands, and the livestock that live there, are dynamic sources and sinks of greenhouse gases, but what controls these fluxes remains poorly characterized. Here the authors show that on the global level, grasslands are climate neutral owing to the cancelling effects of managed vs. natural systems.

    • Jinfeng Chang
    • Philippe Ciais
    • Dan Zhu
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 12, P: 1-10
  • Global average, geographical distribution and temporal variations of the 13C isotopic signature of enteric fermentation emissions are not well understood. Here the authors established a global dataset and show a larger emission increase between the two periods (2002–2006 and 2008–2012) than previous studies.

    • Jinfeng Chang
    • Shushi Peng
    • Philippe Bousquet
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 10, P: 1-14
  • Urgent action is needed to ensure food security and mitigate climate change. Through a multi-model comparison exercise, this study shows the potential negative trade-offs between food security and climate change mitigation if mitigation policies are carelessly designed.

    • Shinichiro Fujimori
    • Tomoko Hasegawa
    • Detlef van Vuuren
    Research
    Nature Sustainability
    Volume: 2, P: 386-396
  • The impacts of climate change on agriculture differ regionally and will increase hunger globally. Reducing tariffs and other barriers to international trade would mitigate this, but trade integration requires a careful approach to avoid reducing domestic food security in food-exporting regions.

    • Charlotte Janssens
    • Petr Havlík
    • Miet Maertens
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 10, P: 829-835
  • Residual CO2 emissions from fossil fuels limit the likelihood of meeting the goals of the Paris Agreement. A sector-level assessment of residual emissions using an ensemble of IAMs indicates that 640–950 GtCO2 removal will be required to constrain warming to 1.5 °C.

    • Gunnar Luderer
    • Zoi Vrontisi
    • Elmar Kriegler
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 8, P: 626-633
  • There lacks model comparison of global land use change projections. Here the authors explored how different long-term drivers determine land use and food availability projections and they showed that the key determinants population growth and improvements in agricultural efficiency.

    • Elke Stehfest
    • Willem-Jan van Zeist
    • Keith Wiebe
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 10, P: 1-10
  • To achieve the climate target of the Paris Agreement substantial emission reductions will be required across economic sectors. Here the authors show that agriculture can make a significant contribution to non-CO2 mitigation efforts through structural change in the livestock sector and the deployment of technical options.

    • Stefan Frank
    • Robert Beach
    • Michael Obersteiner
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 9, P: 1-8
  • Scenarios that constrain end-of-century radiative forcing to 1.9 W m–2, and thus global mean temperature increases to below 1.5 °C, are explored. Effective scenarios reduce energy use, deploy CO2 removal measures, and shift to non-emitting energy sources.

    • Joeri Rogelj
    • Alexander Popp
    • Massimo Tavoni
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 8, P: 325-332
  • Trade liberalization in the early 21st century increased the adaptation capacity of global food systems to climate change; further liberalization and trade facilitation could help to avoid dozens of millions being undernourished at mid-century. The global trade agenda should explicitly include climate change adaptation to achieve SDG 2 Zero Hunger.

    • Charlotte Janssens
    • Petr Havlík
    • Miet Maertens
    News & Views
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 11, P: 915-916
  • The Paris Agreement is based on emission scenarios that move from a sluggish phase-out of fossil fuels to large-scale late-century negative emissions. Alternative pathways of early deployment of negative emission technologies need to be considered to ensure that climate targets are reached safely and sustainably.

    • Michael Obersteiner
    • Johannes Bednar
    • Guido Schmidt-Traub
    Comments & Opinion
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 8, P: 7-10
  • Global high-resolution crop-specific estimates of greenhouse gas emissions intensity (in 2000) reveal that certain cropping practices contribute disproportionately to emissions, making them suitable targets for climate mitigation policies.

    • Kimberly M. Carlson
    • James S. Gerber
    • Paul C. West
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 7, P: 63-68
  • Transformation of the land sector is required to meet the Paris Agreement goal of limiting warming to 1.5 °C. Here, modelled emission pathways and mitigation strategies are reviewed. A land-sector roadmap of priority measures and key regions is presented.

    • Stephanie Roe
    • Charlotte Streck
    • Deborah Lawrence
    Reviews
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 9, P: 817-828
  • Achieving sustainable development goals while meeting the 1.5 °C climate target requires radical changes to how we use energy. A scenario of low energy demand shows how this can be done by down-sizing the global energy system to enable feasible deployment rates of renewable energy resources.

    • Arnulf Grubler
    • Charlie Wilson
    • Hugo Valin
    Research
    Nature Energy
    Volume: 3, P: 515-527
  • Technologies and systemic innovation are critical for the transformation of the food system. This Perspective identifies promising technologies, assesses their readiness and proposes eight action points to accelerate innovation.

    • Mario Herrero
    • Philip K. Thornton
    • Paul C. West
    Reviews
    Nature Food
    Volume: 1, P: 266-272
  • This Review article looks at options for mitigating greenhouse gas emissions from the livestock sector, including technical and management interventions, sustainable intensification of production and moderation of demand for livestock products.

    • Mario Herrero
    • Benjamin Henderson
    • Elke Stehfest
    Reviews
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 6, P: 452-461