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Showing 1–3 of 3 results

Advanced filters: Author: Piers Klein Clear advanced filters

Insights into the accuracy of social scientists’ forecasts of societal change

How accurate are social scientists in predicting societal change, and what processes underlie their predictions? Grossmann et al. report the findings of two forecasting tournaments. Social scientists’ forecasts were on average no more accurate than those of simple statistical models.

Igor Grossmann
Amanda Rotella
Tom Wilkening
Research09 Feb 2023
Nature Human Behaviour

Volume: 7, P: 484-501
Comparison of thrombectomy alone versus bridging thrombolysis in a US population using regression discontinuity analysis

Youngran Kim
Sergio Salazar-Marioni
Sunil A Sheth
ResearchOpen Access28 May 2025
Scientific Reports

Volume: 15, P: 1-9
Latest climate models confirm need for urgent mitigation

Many recently updated climate models show greater future warming than previously. Separate lines of evidence suggest that their warming rates may be unrealistically high, but the risk of such eventualities only emphasizes the need for rapid and deep reductions in emissions.

Piers M. Forster
Amanda C. Maycock
Christopher J. Smith
Comments & Opinion02 Dec 2019
Nature Climate Change

Volume: 10, P: 7-10