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Machine learning prediction for AML based on 3D genome selected circRNA
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  • Published: 20 January 2026

Machine learning prediction for AML based on 3D genome selected circRNA

  • Zhangli Yuan1,2,3 na1,
  • Wenqian Yan1,2 na1,
  • Ruoyao Wang4 na1,
  • Shanshan Yin1,2 na1,
  • Chongchen Pang1,2,
  • Xinyuan Ren1,5,
  • Wenchang Duan1,6,
  • Mika Torhola7,
  • Klaus Förger7,
  • Henna Kujanen7,
  • Yixin Zhang1,2,
  • Haoyan Chen8,
  • Hui Shi4,
  • Yuqing Lou4,
  • Hao Li9,
  • Guang He1,2,10,11 &
  • …
  • Yi Shi1,2,4,10,11 

npj Systems Biology and Applications , Article number:  (2026) Cite this article

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We are providing an unedited version of this manuscript to give early access to its findings. Before final publication, the manuscript will undergo further editing. Please note there may be errors present which affect the content, and all legal disclaimers apply.

Subjects

  • Biomarkers
  • Cancer
  • Computational biology and bioinformatics
  • Genetics
  • Oncology

Abstract

Acute myeloid leukemia (AML) is a clinically aggressive hematologic malignancy driven by complex genetic and epigenetic aberrations. Circular RNAs (circRNAs), characterized by covalently closed structures and exceptional stability, have emerged as promising diagnostic biomarkers. However, existing circRNA-based predictive models largely depend on differential expression, overlooking the potential impact of higher-order chromatin organization on circRNA formation and function. Here, we propose a machine learning framework that integrates three-dimensional (3D) genome architecture to refine circRNA selection for AML prediction. By mapping 9,565 circRNAs onto a 3D chromatin model reconstructed from Hi-C data, we analyzed their spatial clustering and biological pathway enrichment. Eighteen pathways exhibited significant 3D aggregation of circRNAs, enabling radial stratification based on nuclear localization. Five circRNA panels were designed using complementary strategies combining expression, pathway, and spatial features. Cross-validation and external validation across six machine learning algorithms showed that the panel derived from the fifth radial layer (Panel-3DG-Radius5) achieved the most robust and consistent performance (ROC-AUC > 0.99). Integrating 3D genomic context reduced feature collinearity while enhancing biological interpretability. Overall, our study establishes a 3D genome-informed paradigm for circRNA biomarker discovery, demonstrating that spatial genome organization can substantially improve the precision and robustness of AML predictive modeling.

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Data Availability

The original dataset can be downloaded from GEO database under the accession numbers GSE158596 and GSE149237. The data are provided in Supplementary Data, any additional data is available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.

Code availability

The source code is available here: https://github.com/feelingyi1840/circRNA_AML.

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Acknowledgements

The authors would like to express their sincere gratitude to all the involved participants for their support. This project is supported by the National Key Research and Development Program (2022YFE0125300, 2024YFC2707002), Innovation Program of Shanghai Municipal Education Commission (2023ZKZD16), Shanghai Municipal Science and Technology Major Project (2017SHZDZX01, 20JC1418600), the Shanghai Leading Academic Discipline Project (B205), Key Technology Breakthrough Program of Ningbo Sci-Tech Innovation YONGJIANG 2035 (2024Z221), and Shanghai Jiao Tong University STAR Grant (YG2025QNA46, YG2023ZD26, YG2022ZD024, YG2022QN111, YG2023LC14, YG2024QNA59).

Author information

Author notes
  1. These authors contributed equally: Zhangli Yuan, Wenqian Yan, Ruoyao Wang, Shanshan Yin.

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Bio-X Institutes, Key Laboratory for the Genetics of Developmental and Neuropsychiatric Disorders, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China

    Zhangli Yuan, Wenqian Yan, Shanshan Yin, Chongchen Pang, Xinyuan Ren, Wenchang Duan, Yixin Zhang, Guang He & Yi Shi

  2. Shanghai Key Laboratory of Psychotic Disorders, and Brain Science and Technology Research Center, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China

    Zhangli Yuan, Wenqian Yan, Shanshan Yin, Chongchen Pang, Yixin Zhang, Guang He & Yi Shi

  3. School of Materials Science and Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China

    Zhangli Yuan

  4. Department of Respiratory Medicine, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China

    Ruoyao Wang, Hui Shi, Yuqing Lou & Yi Shi

  5. Research Institute for Doping Control, Shanghai University of Sport, Shanghai, China

    Xinyuan Ren

  6. School of Mathematical Sciences, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, Shanghai, China

    Wenchang Duan

  7. Atostek Oy, Hermiankatu 3 A, Tampere, Finland

    Mika Torhola, Klaus Förger & Henna Kujanen

  8. State Key Laboratory of Systems Medicine for Cancer, NHC Key Laboratory of Digestive Diseases, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, School of Medicine, Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai Institute of Digestive Disease, Shanghai Cancer Institute, Shanghai, China

    Haoyan Chen

  9. Department of Oncology, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China

    Hao Li

  10. NHC Key Laboratory of Medical Embryogenesis and Developmental Molecular Biology & Shanghai Key Laboratory of Embryo and Reproduction Engineering, Shanghai, China

    Guang He & Yi Shi

  11. Shanghai Institute of Medical Genetics, Shanghai Children’s Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China

    Guang He & Yi Shi

Authors
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Contributions

Y.S., G.H., H.L., Y.L., H.C., M.T., K.F., and H.K. conceptualized and designed the study; Y.S. and G.H. supervised the study; Z.Y., W.Y., R.W., and S.Y. acquired the data; Z.Y., C.P., X.R., and W.D. organized the data; Y.S. and Z.Y. designed the ML analysis pipeline; Z.Y. conducted the ML in silicon experiments; Z.Y., W.Y., R.W., H.C., H.S., and S.Y. discovered the biological insights. Y.S. and Z.Y. wrote and reviewed the manuscript; Y.S., G.H., H.L., Y.L., Y.Z., and H.S. revised the manuscript. All authors approved the final version of the manuscript.

Corresponding authors

Correspondence to Yuqing Lou, Hao Li, Guang He or Yi Shi.

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Supplementary information

Supplementary Information

Supplementary Data1-11

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Yuan, Z., Yan, W., Wang, R. et al. Machine learning prediction for AML based on 3D genome selected circRNA. npj Syst Biol Appl (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41540-025-00638-3

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  • Received: 07 September 2025

  • Accepted: 04 December 2025

  • Published: 20 January 2026

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41540-025-00638-3

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