Abstract
Acute myeloid leukemia (AML) is a clinically aggressive hematologic malignancy driven by complex genetic and epigenetic aberrations. Circular RNAs (circRNAs), characterized by covalently closed structures and exceptional stability, have emerged as promising diagnostic biomarkers. However, existing circRNA-based predictive models largely depend on differential expression, overlooking the potential impact of higher-order chromatin organization on circRNA formation and function. Here, we propose a machine learning framework that integrates three-dimensional (3D) genome architecture to refine circRNA selection for AML prediction. By mapping 9,565 circRNAs onto a 3D chromatin model reconstructed from Hi-C data, we analyzed their spatial clustering and biological pathway enrichment. Eighteen pathways exhibited significant 3D aggregation of circRNAs, enabling radial stratification based on nuclear localization. Five circRNA panels were designed using complementary strategies combining expression, pathway, and spatial features. Cross-validation and external validation across six machine learning algorithms showed that the panel derived from the fifth radial layer (Panel-3DG-Radius5) achieved the most robust and consistent performance (ROC-AUC > 0.99). Integrating 3D genomic context reduced feature collinearity while enhancing biological interpretability. Overall, our study establishes a 3D genome-informed paradigm for circRNA biomarker discovery, demonstrating that spatial genome organization can substantially improve the precision and robustness of AML predictive modeling.
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Data Availability
The original dataset can be downloaded from GEO database under the accession numbers GSE158596 and GSE149237. The data are provided in Supplementary Data, any additional data is available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.
Code availability
The source code is available here: https://github.com/feelingyi1840/circRNA_AML.
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Acknowledgements
The authors would like to express their sincere gratitude to all the involved participants for their support. This project is supported by the National Key Research and Development Program (2022YFE0125300, 2024YFC2707002), Innovation Program of Shanghai Municipal Education Commission (2023ZKZD16), Shanghai Municipal Science and Technology Major Project (2017SHZDZX01, 20JC1418600), the Shanghai Leading Academic Discipline Project (B205), Key Technology Breakthrough Program of Ningbo Sci-Tech Innovation YONGJIANG 2035 (2024Z221), and Shanghai Jiao Tong University STAR Grant (YG2025QNA46, YG2023ZD26, YG2022ZD024, YG2022QN111, YG2023LC14, YG2024QNA59).
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Y.S., G.H., H.L., Y.L., H.C., M.T., K.F., and H.K. conceptualized and designed the study; Y.S. and G.H. supervised the study; Z.Y., W.Y., R.W., and S.Y. acquired the data; Z.Y., C.P., X.R., and W.D. organized the data; Y.S. and Z.Y. designed the ML analysis pipeline; Z.Y. conducted the ML in silicon experiments; Z.Y., W.Y., R.W., H.C., H.S., and S.Y. discovered the biological insights. Y.S. and Z.Y. wrote and reviewed the manuscript; Y.S., G.H., H.L., Y.L., Y.Z., and H.S. revised the manuscript. All authors approved the final version of the manuscript.
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Yuan, Z., Yan, W., Wang, R. et al. Machine learning prediction for AML based on 3D genome selected circRNA. npj Syst Biol Appl (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41540-025-00638-3
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41540-025-00638-3


