Skip to main content

Thank you for visiting nature.com. You are using a browser version with limited support for CSS. To obtain the best experience, we recommend you use a more up to date browser (or turn off compatibility mode in Internet Explorer). In the meantime, to ensure continued support, we are displaying the site without styles and JavaScript.

Advertisement

Scientific Reports
  • View all journals
  • Search
  • My Account Login
  • Content Explore content
  • About the journal
  • Publish with us
  • Sign up for alerts
  • RSS feed
  1. nature
  2. scientific reports
  3. articles
  4. article
A machine learning framework for personalized exercise prescription based on BMI and physical fitness assessment
Download PDF
Download PDF
  • Article
  • Open access
  • Published: 13 March 2026

A machine learning framework for personalized exercise prescription based on BMI and physical fitness assessment

  • Ming Mo1,
  • Buxi Li2,
  • Ye Yang1,
  • Peng Kang3,
  • Jun Wang1,
  • Wanhong Luo4,
  • Tianshuo Jiao3,
  • Guixiang Wu5 &
  • …
  • Xuyin Xu1 

Scientific Reports , Article number:  (2026) Cite this article

  • 1317 Accesses

  • 1 Altmetric

  • Metrics details

We are providing an unedited version of this manuscript to give early access to its findings. Before final publication, the manuscript will undergo further editing. Please note there may be errors present which affect the content, and all legal disclaimers apply.

Subjects

  • Computational biology and bioinformatics
  • Health care
  • Mathematics and computing
  • Medical research

Abstract

This study proposes a hybrid machine learning framework that integrates one-dimensional convolutional neural networks (1D-CNN) with multi-head attention and Light Gradient Boosting Machines (LightGBM) to model the relationship between physical fitness and body mass index (BMI), thereby generating personalized exercise prescriptions. The dataset consists of 6,698 male students aged 18–20 years, including BMI measurements alongside four standardized fitness indicators: 3,000-meter run (aerobic capacity), pull-up test(muscular strength), sit-up test (muscular endurance), and 30 × 2 shuttle run (anaerobic capacity). The 1D-CNN + Attention module effectively captures both local and global temporal patterns, while LightGBM significantly enhances classification accuracy through gradient-boosted decision trees. The proposed hybrid architecture achieved state-of-the-art performance in BMI classification, with an accuracy of 94.5% (Cohen’s κ = 0.91) and an F1 score of 0.93, outperforming traditional classifiers by 12.3% to 19.1%. Model interpretability is ensured through SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP), which supports dynamic prescription adjustments aimed at improving muscular strength, cardiorespiratory endurance, speed, agility, and flexibility. A 12-week randomized trial demonstrated the clinical efficacy of this framework, yielding a 23.5% reduction in overweight and obesity prevalence, a 15.2% increase in pull-up test performance, and a 9.8% improvement in 30 × 2 shuttle run results. With an inference time of less than 0.8 milliseconds per sample and robust clinical outcomes, this framework provides a scalable real-time solution for data-driven health optimization. It’s well-suited for both clinical and mobile healthcare applications, addressing the growing demand for personalized exercise interventions among young adults.

Data availability

The datasets generated and/or analysed during the current study are not publicly available due to institutional data governance policies and the need to protect participant privacy inthis homogeneous student cohort, but are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

References

  1. World Health Organization. Obesity and overweight: Key facts. (2021). https://www.who.int/news-room/factsheets/detail/obesity-and-overweight.

  2. Smith, J. D., Fu, E. & Kobayashi, M. A. Prevention and management of childhood obesity and its psychological and health comorbidities. J. Am. Med. Assoc. 323 (16), 1612–1614. https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2020.1410 (2020).

    Google Scholar 

  3. Bhaskaran, K., Dos-Santos-Silva, I., Leon, D. A., Douglas, I. J. & Smeeth, L. Association of BMI with overall and cause-specific mortality: A population-based cohort study of 3.6 million adults in the UK. Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. 6 (12), 944–953. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2213-8587(18)30288-2 (2018).

    Google Scholar 

  4. Ortega, F. B., Ruiz, J. R., Castillo, M. J. & Sjöström, M. Physical fitness in childhood and adolescence: A powerful marker of health. Int. J. Obes. 32 (1), 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1038/sj.ijo.0803774 (2008).

    Google Scholar 

  5. Warburton, D. E. & Bredin, S. S. Health benefits of physical activity: A systematic review of cu rrent systematic reviews. Curr. Opin. Cardiol. 34 (5), 541–556. https://doi.org/10.1097/HCO.0000000000000640 (2019).

    Google Scholar 

  6. Topol, E. J. High-performance medicine: The convergence of human and artificial intelligence. Nat. ure Med. 25 (1), 44–56. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-018-0300-7 (2019).

    Google Scholar 

  7. Liang, J., Matheson, B. E., Kaye, W. H. & Boutelle, K. N. Neurocognitive correlates of obesity and obesity-related behaviors in children and adolescents. Int. J. Obes. 39 (4), 494–506. https://doi.org/10.1038/ijo.2014.170 (2015).

    Google Scholar 

  8. Althnian, A., Aloboud, N., Aldhafian, O. & Alharbi, S. LSTM-based model for BMI trajectory pr ediction in Saudi Arabia. IEEE Access. 9, 96298–96308. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2021.3094207 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  9. Chen, T. & Guestrin, C. XGBoost: A scalable tree boosting system. In Proceedings of the 22nd AC M SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, 785–794. https://doi.org/10.1145/2939672.2939785 (2016).

  10. Ronao, C. A. & Cho, S. B. Human activity recognition with smartphone sensors using deep learn ing neural networks. Expert Syst. Appl. 59, 235–244. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2016.04.0 (2016).

    Google Scholar 

  11. Nes, B. M. et al. Estimating VO₂peak from a nonexercise prediction model: The HUNT Study, Norway. Med. Sci. Sports Exerc. 43 (12), 2354–2360. https://doi.org/10.1249/MSS.0b013e318223ac56 (2011).

    Google Scholar 

  12. Martínez-Rodríguez, A., Sánchez-Sánchez, J., Martínez-Olcina, M. & Vicente-Martínez, M. Reinfor cement learning for resistance training recommendations. Appl. Sci. 11 (12), 5393. https://doi.org/10.3390/app11125393 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  13. Ahmadi, M. N., Pfeiffer, K. A. & Trost, S. G. Bayesian optimization of HIIT interventions using heart rate variability. J. Sci. Med. Sport. 23 (12), 1156–1161. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jsams.2020.05.019 6/j.jsams.2020.05.019 (2020).

    Google Scholar 

  14. Jurca, R. et al. Associati on of muscular strength with incidence of metabolic syndrome in men. Med. Sci. Sports Exerc. 37 (11), 1849–1855. https://doi.org/10.1249/01.mss.0000175865.17614.8a (2005).

    Google Scholar 

  15. Patel, M. S., Volpp, K. G. & Asch, D. A. Nudge units to improve the delivery of health care. N. Engl. J. Med. 381 (22), 2103–2105. https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMp1906489 (2019).

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Funding

Supported by Natural Science Foundation of Hunan Province (Grant No.: 2024JJ8032) and the Hunan Social Science Achievement Evaluation Committee (Grant No.: XSP25YBC513).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Changsha Aeronautical Vocational and Technical College, Hunan, China

    Ming Mo, Ye Yang, Jun Wang & Xuyin Xu

  2. Hunan Hongtian Publishing and Distribution Co., Ltd, Hunan, China

    Buxi Li

  3. Hunan University, Hunan, China

    Peng Kang & Tianshuo Jiao

  4. Hunan First Normal University, Hunan, China

    Wanhong Luo

  5. Changsha Cultural Creative and Arts Vocational College, Hunan, China

    Guixiang Wu

Authors
  1. Ming Mo
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

  2. Buxi Li
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

  3. Ye Yang
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

  4. Peng Kang
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

  5. Jun Wang
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

  6. Wanhong Luo
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

  7. Tianshuo Jiao
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

  8. Guixiang Wu
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

  9. Xuyin Xu
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

Contributions

Conceptualization and validation: Ye Yang; Methodology: Ming Mo; Formal analysis: Guixiang Wu; Writing–original draft: Buxi Li; Writing–review & editing: Peng Kang; Supervision: Jun Wang, Xuyin Xu; Project administration: Wanhong Luo, Tianshuo Jiao.All authors read and approved the final version of the manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Ye Yang.

Ethics declarations

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Ethics statement

This study involved two phases. The model development phase utilized retrospective anonymized physical fitness data from the model-development cohort of 6,698 male students (aged 18–20) at Changsha Aeronautical Vocational and Technical College, Hunan province, China, collected from 2020 to 2024. The data, acquired through the institution’s secure platform on April 1, 2024, included anthropometric measurements (height, weight, BMI) and physical fitness test data (3,000-meter run, 30 × 2 shuttle run, pull-up test, sit-up test). A two-stage anonymization protocol was implemented: direct identifiers (name and student ID) were removed at the data collection stage, and numerical perturbation (height ± 0.5 cm; weight ± 1 kg) was applied to prevent re-identification. The intervention validation phase was a prospective randomized controlled trial with the intervention cohort of 1,160 participants approved by the Research Office of Changsha Aeronautical Vocational and Technical College. Informed consent was obtained from all participants in the trial. The study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki. Informed consent was obtained from all participants, and ethical approval was granted by the Human Ethics Committee of Chizhou University (Approval No.: 202301015).

Reporting guidelines

This study adheres to the CONSORT (Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials) checklist (for non-randomized controlled trials).

Additional information

Publisher’s note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Supplementary Information

Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.

Supplementary Material 1 (download DOCX )

Rights and permissions

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Mo, M., Li, B., Yang, Y. et al. A machine learning framework for personalized exercise prescription based on BMI and physical fitness assessment. Sci Rep (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-42405-2

Download citation

  • Received: 08 October 2025

  • Accepted: 25 February 2026

  • Published: 13 March 2026

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-42405-2

Share this article

Anyone you share the following link with will be able to read this content:

Sorry, a shareable link is not currently available for this article.

Provided by the Springer Nature SharedIt content-sharing initiative

Keywords

  • Personalized exercise prescription
  • Data processing
  • Dynamic adjustment
  • Machine learning
  • Health informatics
Download PDF

Advertisement

Explore content

  • Research articles
  • News & Comment
  • Collections
  • Subjects
  • Follow us on Facebook
  • Follow us on X
  • Sign up for alerts
  • RSS feed

About the journal

  • About Scientific Reports
  • Contact
  • Journal policies
  • Guide to referees
  • Calls for Papers
  • Editor's Choice
  • Journal highlights
  • Open Access Fees and Funding

Publish with us

  • For authors
  • Language editing services
  • Open access funding
  • Submit manuscript

Search

Advanced search

Quick links

  • Explore articles by subject
  • Find a job
  • Guide to authors
  • Editorial policies

Scientific Reports (Sci Rep)

ISSN 2045-2322 (online)

nature.com footer links

About Nature Portfolio

  • About us
  • Press releases
  • Press office
  • Contact us

Discover content

  • Journals A-Z
  • Articles by subject
  • protocols.io
  • Nature Index

Publishing policies

  • Nature portfolio policies
  • Open access

Author & Researcher services

  • Reprints & permissions
  • Research data
  • Language editing
  • Scientific editing
  • Nature Masterclasses
  • Research Solutions

Libraries & institutions

  • Librarian service & tools
  • Librarian portal
  • Open research
  • Recommend to library

Advertising & partnerships

  • Advertising
  • Partnerships & Services
  • Media kits
  • Branded content

Professional development

  • Nature Awards
  • Nature Careers
  • Nature Conferences

Regional websites

  • Nature Africa
  • Nature China
  • Nature India
  • Nature Japan
  • Nature Middle East
  • Privacy Policy
  • Use of cookies
  • Legal notice
  • Accessibility statement
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Your US state privacy rights
Springer Nature

© 2026 Springer Nature Limited

Nature Briefing AI and Robotics

Sign up for the Nature Briefing: AI and Robotics newsletter — what matters in AI and robotics research, free to your inbox weekly.

Get the most important science stories of the day, free in your inbox. Sign up for Nature Briefing: AI and Robotics