Table 5 Bi-logit model estimation of whether the climate events most concerning to households occurred 10 years ago.

From: Ethnic diversity and divergent perceptions of climate change: a case study in Southwest China

 

Dependent variables

 

Drought

Long-term drought

Erratic rainfall

Explanatory

variables

Likelihood ratio test: Chi-Square = 7.676; df = 2; p = 0.022

Likelihood ratio test: Chi-Square = 16.787; df = 2; p = 0.000

Likelihood ratio test: Chi-Square = 11.702; df = 5; p = 0.039

Pseudo R2: Cox & Snell = 0.030; Nagelkerke = 0.051

Pseudo R2: Cox & Snell = 0.128; Nagelkerke = 0.181

Pseudo R2: Cox & Snell = 0.136; Nagelkerke =0.215

Percentage correct predictions:

Percentage correct predictions:

Percentage correct predictions:

Do you think drought occurred 10 years ago?

Do you think a long-term drought occurred 10 years ago?

Do you think erratic rainfall occurred 10 years ago?

—yes: 99.5%

—yes: 87.2%

—yes: 96.9%

—no: 2.4%

—no: 32.4%

—no: 31.3%

Overall percentage: 83.1%

Overall percentage: 70.7%

Overall percentage: 83.8%

Number of obs. = 251

Number of obs. = 128

Number of obs. = 81

 

coefficient

Sig.

Coefficient

Sig.

Coefficient

Sig.

constant

0.955

0.009**

0.936

0.011**

−3.361

0.266

distance

  

0.033

0.014**

  

semiannual

    

5.321

0.077

areaCultivated

    

2.840

0.080

areaIrrigable

    

−2.855

0.093

areaRainfed

    

−2.033

0.054*

rateCultivated

1.040

0.035*

    

rateRainfed

  

−1.214

0.009**

  

incomeFR

−2.999

0.049*

    

incomeMH

    

−4.311

0.035*

  1. Notes: ***, **, and * indicate statistical significance at the 0.001, 0.01 and 0.05 level, respectively.