Climate change poses significant threats to African countries, with increasing temperatures, erratic rainfall patterns, and extreme weather events impacting ecosystems, agriculture, water resources, and human livelihoods. Artificial intelligence (AI) may offer valuable support in climate change adaptation efforts in the field of agriculture. However, considerable constraints also need to be addressed to maximise AI’s effectiveness. Against this background, this article outlines the potentials and risks of deploying AI in agriculture, as well as the need for clear regulatory frameworks for AI deployment, establishing guidelines that promote innovation while addressing ethical and legal concerns.
Introduction: the potential use of artificial intelligence (AI) in agriculture in Africa
The African continent, endowed with vast agricultural potential, faces numerous challenges in land use and agricultural productivity (Nhemachena et al., 2020; Rutherford, 2017). Traditional farming methods, limited access to modern technology, and unpredictable climate patterns pose real threats to the agricultural sector, which is responsible for the livelihoods of millions (Nhemachena et al., 2020). The use of artificial intelligence (AI) may provide an opportunity for transformative solutions to these longstanding issues, presenting a chance to revolutionise agriculture and land use across Africa (Sampene et al., 2022).
AI technologies can significantly assist farmers in making data-driven decisions that optimise crop yields and resource use (Adisa et al., 2019; Ikudayisi et al., 2022). Through the integration of AI-powered drones and satellite imagery, farmers can monitor crop health, soil conditions, and weather patterns in real-time (Ikudayisi et al., 2022; Kouadio et al., 2018). This continuous flow of information enables early detection of pest infestations, diseases, and water stress, thereby mitigating potential losses and improving overall farm management (Gorlapalli et al., 2022; Kiobia et al., 2023). Moreover, AI can facilitate the development of intelligent irrigation systems that conserve water and energy. These systems may use machine learning algorithms to analyse soil moisture data and weather forecasts, ensuring that crops receive the optimal amount of water. This is particularly beneficial in regions facing water scarcity, where efficient water management is critical for sustainable agriculture (Ikudayisi et al., 2022).
AI may also play an essential role in supporting land use planning and policy-making. By analysing large datasets on land use patterns, population growth, and environmental impact, AI can help governments and organisations design strategies that balance agricultural expansion with environmental conservation. Predictive modelling can identify areas suitable for agricultural development while preserving biodiversity and preventing land degradation (Foster et al., 2023; Gwagwa et al., 2020; Omeiza, 2019).
Furthermore, AI-driven platforms can enhance market access for smallholder farmers by providing real-time price information, demand forecasts, and supply chain optimisation. This connectivity empowers farmers to make informed decisions about crop selection, marketing, and distribution, ultimately increasing their income and reducing post-harvest losses (Songol et al., 2021). Figure 1 presents a general overview of areas AI may support in African countries.
It is seen that AI may be deployed in a variety of ways, offering concrete support to agriculture in Africa.
There are various examples of how AI is being used in African countries. Many African countries are bypassing traditional infrastructure development (like landlines) in favour of mobile and digital technologies. This shift allows for rapid adoption of AI, especially in sectors like mobile banking and telemedicine. Also, Africa has a young and tech-savvy demographic, which fosters innovation and entrepreneurship. This population is increasingly engaging with AI technologies, creating a vibrant startup ecosystem. Figure 2 provides an overview of some of the current applications in a set of African countries, namely Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria, Rwanda, and South Africa.
The potential for increased use of AI in Africa is significant in several regions, primarily driven by factors such as growing mobile connectivity, improved internet access, and a young, tech-savvy population. Countries like Kenya and Rwanda are leading in tech innovation in East Africa. Kenya has a vibrant tech ecosystem with a focus on mobile technology and fintech, while Rwanda is investing in innovative city initiatives. In West Africa, Nigeria, particularly Lagos, is emerging as a tech hub with a focus on startups and digital solutions. The demand for fintech, agritech, and health tech applications is high. In North Africa, nations like Egypt and Morocco are seeing growth in AI applications in sectors like e-commerce, finance, and logistics, bolstered by government support for tech startups. In Southern Africa, South Africa has a well-established tech infrastructure and is experimenting with AI in various sectors, including finance, security, and manufacturing”.
These examples highlight the diverse ways in which AI is being leveraged to transform agriculture in Africa, addressing various challenges and driving sustainable growth in the sector.
Risks of using AI in agriculture and how to address them
Using AI to support land use and agriculture in Africa holds significant promise, but it also comes with several risks that need to be carefully managed. The first one is related to data quality and availability (Table 1). AI systems rely on large volumes of data. The AI models may produce unreliable results if the data is inaccurate, incomplete, or outdated. Also, there is a risk associated with data scarcity. Many regions in Africa lack comprehensive and up-to-date agricultural and environmental data, which can limit the effectiveness of AI solutions (Gikunda, 2024; Mark, 2019).
Moreover, AI models can inadvertently incorporate biases in the training data, leading to unfair outcomes. For example, certain crops or regions may be favoured over others, exacerbating existing inequalities (Table 1). Cultural sensitivity may also be a risk since systems developed in other parts of the world might not account for local cultural practices and agricultural techniques that are singular to African countries, as well as preferences (Foster et al., 2023; Gwagwa et al., 2020).
The availability of technological infrastructure may also pose a challenge, due to limited internet connectivity, lack of reliable power supply, and inadequate technological infrastructure. These can hinder the deployment and use of AI solutions in rural areas. Finally, there is a risk associated with limited accessibility (Table 1).
Smallholder farmers, who form the backbone of agriculture in Africa, may not have the resources, education, or training to effectively use AI technologies (Arakpogun et al., 2021; Gwagwa et al., 2020).
There are also significant economic and social impacts which cannot be overlooked. One of them is the potential displacement of labour. Automation and AI-driven efficiency improvements might displace agricultural labour, leading to unemployment and social unrest (Gruetzemacher et al., 2020). AI may also worsen economic disparities, since wealthier and more developed regions or individuals may benefit more from AI advancements, widening the financial gap between rich and poor communities (Goralski et al., 2020). Some environmental concerns are seen since AI-driven optimisation might promote monoculture practices, reducing biodiversity and increasing vulnerability to pests and diseases. AI recommendations might not always align with sustainable practices, potentially leading to over-exploitation of natural resources such as water and soil (Ditzler et al., 2022; Sparrow et al., 2021).
Finally, the rapid pace of AI development can outstrip the creation of appropriate regulatory frameworks, leading to potential misuse or unintended consequences. Issues related to data ownership, intellectual property rights, and benefits sharing, along with data security and privacy issues, need careful consideration to ensure the fair use and distribution of AI technologies (Tzachor et al., 2022; Uddin et al., 2024).
These risks can be addressed by a variety of measures. A primary, fundamental step, the establishing clear regulatory frameworks for AI deployment, to guide ethical and responsible use. Policy-makers should develop guidelines that balance innovation with moral considerations, ensuring AI applications do not exacerbate existing inequalities. Promoting multi-stakeholder engagement and international collaboration can also enhance governance structures.
A further measure is to ensure the privacy and security of data collected by AI systems. Establishing robust data governance frameworks and cybersecurity measures is necessary to protect sensitive information from unauthorised access and misuse. This includes implementing encryption, access controls, and regular audits to maintain data integrity. In addition, it is important to use diverse and representative datasets, employ bias detection and correction techniques, and ensure transparency in AI algorithms. Engaging local experts and communities in the development process can also help in creating context-specific and fair solutions. Moreover, since the deployment of AI technologies requires reliable infrastructure, including robust internet connectivity and computational power, which may be lacking in many African regions, investments in digital infrastructure and capacity building are necessary, to overcome these limitations. Developing low-resource AI models that can function effectively with limited data and computational resources can also enhance accessibility.
The high costs associated with AI development and deployment can be a barrier for many African communities. Securing sustainable funding through public-private partnerships, international aid, and innovative financing mechanisms can help to address it. Moreover, promoting open-source AI tools and collaborative platforms can reduce costs and foster innovation.
There is also a perceived need to address the shortage of skilled AI and climate science professionals in African countries. This can be achieved through education and training programmes, knowledge transfer initiatives, and fostering collaboration between academic institutions, governments, and industry. Building local expertise ensures that AI solutions are tailored to the unique challenges faced by African communities.
Conclusions
As this article has shown, there is a significant potential for the use of artificial intelligence in support of efforts to pursue climate change adaptation in an agricultural context in African countries, But there are also various risks. Addressing these risks requires an inclusive approach involving farmers and stakeholders from government, industry, academia, and local communities. By fostering collaboration, ensuring equitable access, and prioritising sustainable and ethical practices, the benefits of AI in land use and agriculture can outweigh the risks, and help farmers´ communities face the many challenges and risks they are currently exposed to (Chaterji et al., 2020; Tzachor et al., 2022; Uddin et al., 2024).
Data availability
This article didn’t use any empirical data.
References
Adisa OM, Botai JO, Adeola AM, Hassen A, Botai CM, Darkey D, Tesfamariam E (2019) Application of artificial neural network for predicting maize production in South Africa. Sustainability 11(4):1145. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11041145
Arakpogun EO, Elsahn Z, Olan F, Elsahn F (2021) Artificial intelligence in Africa: Challenges and opportunities. The fourth industrial revolution: Implementation of artificial intelligence for growing business success. 375–388. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-62796-6_22
Chaterji S, DeLay N, Evans J, Mosier N, Engel B, Buckmaster D, Chandra R (2020) Artificial intelligence for digital agriculture at scale: techniques, policies, and challenges. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2001.09786
Ditzler L, Driessen C (2022) Automating agroecology: how to design a farming robot without a monocultural mindset? J Agric Environ Ethics 35(1):2. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10806-021-09876-x
Foster L, Szilagyi K, Wairegi A, Oguamanam C, de Beer J (2023) Smart farming and artificial intelligence in East Africa: addressing indigeneity, plants, and gender. Smart Agric Technol 3:100132. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atech.2022.100132
Gikunda K (2024) Harnessing artificial intelligence for sustainable agricultural development in Africa: opportunities, challenges, and impact. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2401.06171
Goralski MA, Tan TK (2020) Artificial intelligence and sustainable development. Int J Manag Educ 18(1):100330. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijme.2019.100330
Gorlapalli A, Kallakuri S, Sreekanth PD, Patil R, Bandumula N, Ondrasek G, Admala M, Gireesh C, Anantha MS, Parmar B (2022) Characterization and prediction of water stress using time series and artificial intelligence models. Sustainability 14(11):6690. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14116690
Gruetzemacher R, Paradice D, Lee KB (2020) Forecasting extreme labor displacement: a survey of AI practitioners. Technol Forecast Soc Change 161:120323. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2020.120323
Gwagwa A, Kraemer-Mbula E, Rizk N, Rutenberg I, De Beer J (2020) Artificial intelligence (AI) deployments in Africa: benefits, challenges and policy dimensions. Afr J Inf Commun 26:1–28. https://doi.org/10.23962/10539/30361
Ikudayisi A, Calitz A, Abejide S (2022). An artificial intelligence approach to manage crop water requirements in South Africa. Online J Eng Sci. 23–34. https://doi.org/10.31586/ojes.2022.377
Kiobia DO, Mwitta CJ, Fue KG, Schmidt JM, Riley DG, Rains GC (2023) A review of successes and impeding challenges of IoT-based insect pest detection systems for estimating agroecosystem health and productivity of cotton. Sensors 23(8):4127. https://doi.org/10.3390/s23084127
Kouadio L, Deo RC, Byrareddy V, Adamowski JF, Mushtaq S (2018) Artificial intelligence approach for the prediction of Robusta coffee yield using soil fertility properties. Comput Electron Agri 155:324–338. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compag.2018.10.014
Mark R (2019) Ethics of using AI and big data in agriculture: the case of a large agriculture multinational. ORBIT J 2(2):1–27. https://doi.org/10.29297/orbit.v2i2.109
Nhemachena C, Nhamo L, Matchaya G, Nhemachena CR, Muchara B, Karuaihe ST, Mpandeli S (2020) Climate change impacts on water and agriculture sectors in Southern Africa: threats and opportunities for sustainable development. Water 12(10):2673. https://doi.org/10.3390/w12102673
Omeiza D (2019) Efficient machine learning for large-scale urban land-use forecasting in Sub-Saharan Africa. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.1908.00340
Rutherford B (2017) Land governance and land deals in Africa: opportunities and challenges in advancing community rights. J Sustain Dev Law Policy 8(1):235–258. https://doi.org/10.4314/jsdlp.v8i1.10
Sampene AK, Agyeman FO, Robert B, Wiredu J (2022). Artificial intelligence as a path way to Africa’s transformations. Artif Intell 9(1). https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Agyemang-Sampene/publication/358440753_Artificial_Intelligence_as_a_Path_Way_to_Africa’s_TransformationS/links/620a060bcf7c2349ca124bb1/Artificial-Intelligence-as-a-Path-Way-to-Africas-TransformationS.pdf
Songol M, Awuor F, Maake B (2021) Adoption of artificial intelligence in agriculture in the developing nations: a review. J Lang Technol Entrep Afr 12(2):208–229. https://www.ajol.info/index.php/jolte/article/view/221709
Sparrow R, Howard M, Degeling C (2021) Managing the risks of artificial intelligence in agriculture. NJAS: Impact Agric Life Sci 93(1):172–196. https://doi.org/10.1080/27685241.2021.2008777
Tzachor A, Devare M, King B, Avin S, Ó hÉigeartaigh S (2022) Responsible artificial intelligence in agriculture requires systemic understanding of risks and externalities. Nat Mach Intell 4(2):104–109. https://doi.org/10.1038/s42256-022-00440-4
Uddin M, Chowdhury A, Kabir MA (2024) Legal and ethical aspects of deploying artificial intelligence in climate-smart agriculture. AI SOC 39(1):221–234. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00146-022-01421-2
Acknowledgements
This paper is part of the “100 papers to accelerate climate change mitigation and adaptation” initiative led by the International Climate Change Information and Research Programme (ICCIRP).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
WL conceptualised the paper and provided editorial input. He authored sections of the paper and provided editorial guidance throughout the process. GJG assisted in the writing and editing of the manuscript.
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Competing interests
The authors declare no competing interests.
Ethical approval
This article does not contain any studies with human participants performed by any of the authors.
Informed consent
This article does not contain any studies with human participants performed by any of the authors.
Additional information
Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License, which permits any non-commercial use, sharing, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if you modified the licensed material. You do not have permission under this licence to share adapted material derived from this article or parts of it. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.
About this article
Cite this article
Leal Filho, W., Gbaguidi, G.J. Using artificial intelligence in support of climate change adaptation Africa: potentials and risks. Humanit Soc Sci Commun 11, 1657 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-024-04223-7
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Version of record:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-024-04223-7

