Table 3 Estimates of global herding around the market average using the baseline models.
From: Confirmation bias and herding behavior across the housing markets
(1) CSAD unconditional | (2) CSAD conditional on up and down | (3) CSAD conditional on US regimes | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variable | Parameter | Est. Coeff | T-Stat | Variable | Parameter | Est. Coeff | T-Stat | Variable | Parameter | Est. Coeff | T-Stat |
Constant | α | 1.514 | 0.000 | Constant | α | 1.481** | 21.496 | Constant | α | 1.632** | 18.861 |
|rg| | β | −0.096 | 0.354 | |rg|Dd | βd | 1.796** | 3.808 | |rg|A1 | βg1 | −0.142 | −0.845 |
Rg2 | γ | 0.076 | 0.008 | |rg|Du | βu | −0.017 | −0.183 | |rg|A2 | βg2 | −0.138 | −1.112 |
Rg2Dd | γgd | −0.436** | −2.647 | Rg2A1 | γg1 | 0.179** | 2.925 | ||||
Rg2Du | γgu | 0.106** | 3.938 | Rg2A2 | γg2 | 0.104** | 3.381 | ||||
RUS2Dd | γusd | −0.087* | −2.295 | RUS2A1 | γus1 | −0.135** | −5.248 | ||||
RUS2Du | γusu | −0.066** | −5.618 | RUS2A2 | γus2 | −0.037* | −2.280 | ||||
Adj R2 | 0.187 | Adj R2 | 0.399 | Adj R2 | 0.302 | ||||||
χ2 test for exclusion of global drivers | γgd = γgu = 0 | 27.16** | γg1 = γg2 = 0 | 11.22** | |||||||
χ2 test for exclusion of US drivers | γusd = γusu = 0 | 36.85** | γus1 = γus2 = 0 | 33.03** | |||||||
F test for symmetric herding | by global driver | γgd= γgu | 11.22** | γg1 = γg2 | 1.61 | ||||||
by US driver | γusd = γusu | 0.29 | γus1 = γus2 | 10.09** | |||||||