Table 3 Estimates of global herding around the market average using the baseline models.

From: Confirmation bias and herding behavior across the housing markets

(1) CSAD unconditional

(2) CSAD conditional on up and down

(3) CSAD conditional on US regimes

Variable

Parameter

Est. Coeff

T-Stat

Variable

Parameter

Est. Coeff

T-Stat

Variable

Parameter

Est. Coeff

T-Stat

Constant

α

1.514

0.000

Constant

α

1.481**

21.496

Constant

α

1.632**

18.861

|rg|

β

−0.096

0.354

|rg|Dd

βd

1.796**

3.808

|rg|A1

βg1

−0.142

−0.845

Rg2

γ

0.076

0.008

|rg|Du

βu

−0.017

−0.183

|rg|A2

βg2

−0.138

−1.112

    

Rg2Dd

γgd

0.436**

−2.647

Rg2A1

γg1

0.179**

2.925

    

Rg2Du

γgu

0.106**

3.938

Rg2A2

γg2

0.104**

3.381

    

RUS2Dd

γusd

0.087*

−2.295

RUS2A1

γus1

0.135**

−5.248

    

RUS2Du

γusu

0.066**

−5.618

RUS2A2

γus2

0.037*

−2.280

Adj R2

0.187

Adj R2

0.399

Adj R2

0.302

χ2 test for exclusion of global drivers

γgd = γgu = 0

27.16**

γg1 = γg2 = 0

11.22**

χ2 test for exclusion of US drivers

γusd = γusu = 0

36.85**

γus1 = γus2 = 0

33.03**

F test for symmetric herding

by global driver

γgd= γgu

11.22**

γg1 = γg2

1.61

by US driver

γusd = γusu

0.29

γus1 = γus2

10.09**

  1. T-Stat represents t-statistics based on HAC standard errors. Coefficients estimates in boldface indicate the presence of significant herding at conventional significance levels. **, *, and + denote significance at 1%, 5%, and 10%, respectively.