Fig. 6: Performance of the ward occupancy forecasts (y-axis) in comparison to the corresponding ensemble case forecast used as input (x-axis).
From: A modular approach to forecasting COVID-19 hospital bed occupancy
a–h Comparison of forecast performance between the case forecasts and the ward occupancy forecasts. Performance is measured using CRPS over log-transformed counts. Each dot represents performance measured over a 28-day case incidence ensemble forecast and performance measured over a corresponding 21-day occupancy forecast.
