Abstract
The purpose of this study was to investigate the causal association between unhealthy lifestyle style factors and the risk of colorectal cancer, with the aim of preventing the occurrence of colorectal cancer by modifying unhealthy lifestyles. A two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) approach was employed in this study, utilizing the inverse-variance weighted method as the primary research method. This MR analysis analyzed data of 3022 colorectal cancer cases and 174,006 controls from the FinnGen database. Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with unhealthy lifestyle factors were selected as instrumental variables (IVs), including two obesity-related indicators, BMI (body mass index) and WHR (waist-to-hip ratio). Four phenotypes of smoking (smoking initiation, ever smoked, smoking per day, smoking cessation) and one phenotype of alcohol consumption (drinks per week). Four phenotypes of physical activity (accelerometer-based physical activity, moderate-to-vigorous physical activity, vigorous physical activity, strenuous sports or other exercises). All SNPs were obtained from published genome-wide association studies. The study found that the obesity-related indicator, higher WHR (OR = 1.38, 95% CI 1.12–1.70; P = 0.002) were associated with an increased risk of colorectal cancer, and two smoking phenotypes, cigarettes per day(OR = 1.30, 95% CI 1.01–1.68; P = 0.042)and smoking initiation (OR = 3.48, 95% CI 1.15–10.55; P = 0.028), were potentially associated with an increased risk of colorectal cancer. However, there was no evidence to suggest that physical activities and alcohol consumption were associated with colorectal cancer (all p > 0.05). In addition, the study detected no pleiotropy (all p > 0.05). This MR analysis indicates a causal association between a higher waist-to-hip ratio and the risk of colorectal cancer and a suggestive association between smoking and the risk of colorectal cancer among Europeans. These findings contribute to the understanding of the etiology of colorectal cancer and have potential implications for its prevention.
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Introduction
Colorectal cancer is among the most common malignant tumors worldwide. In 2020, global cancer statistics reported that colorectal cancer ranked second in incidence (10.0%) and third in mortality (9.4%) among 19.3 million new cancer cases and 9.9 million cancer deaths, respectively. Compared with 2018, both the incidence and mortality of colorectal cancer have shown an upward trend1,2. Despite the availability of numerous treatment modalities for colorectal cancer, encompassing endoscopic treatment, surgical treatment, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, and targeted therapy, the disease often manifests with conspicuous symptoms solely in its advanced stages. This latency in symptom presentation usually leads to a missed window for patients to receive optimal therapeutic intervention3,4. Therefore, it is particularly essential to identify the risk factors of colorectal cancer and to implement primary prevention strategies.
Various studies have shown that unhealthy lifestyle factors, such as unhealthy diet, smoking, alcohol consumption, obesity, and lack of physical activities, are associated with inflammatory responses, oxidative stress, and increased DNA methylation—essential mechanisms of cancer development5. In recent years, the relationship between unhealthy lifestyle factors and cancer has become a research hotspot. This interest stems from the fact that, compared with other etiologies, unhealthy habits can be modified through lifestyle improvements, thus playing an essential role in disease treatment and prevention. However, the results of various observational studies about the association between unhealthy lifestyle factors and the risk of colorectal cancer are inconsistent. For instance, a prospective cohort study on smoking and alcohol consumption showed that both were significantly associated with an increased risk of colorectal cancer6. In contrast, another case–control study concluded that moderate alcohol consumption could reduce the risk of colorectal cancer, defining moderate alcohol consumption as 12–35 g per day, which was significantly associated with a reduced risk of colorectal cancer (OR = 0.35, 95% CI 0.16–0.74)7. Similarly, studies on obesity and physical activities have also yielded controversial conclusions. This inconsistency arises because observational studies are susceptible to confounding bias and reverse causality, rendering them unreliable for causal inference8,9.
MR, which uses genetic variation as IVs to infer causal relationships, is second only to randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in the hierarchy of causal inference in evidence-based medicine. Since alleles follow the principle of random segregation and free combination during gamete formation, mendelian randomization can effectively avoid the influence of confounding bias and reverse causality when the three fundamental assumptions—strong association, independence, and exclusion restriction—are simultaneously satisfied. For this reason, mendelian randomization is also called “the natural randomized controlled trial”10. This study utilizes data obtained from published genome-wide association studies to employ Mendelian randomization in investigating the causal relationship between unhealthy lifestyle factors (obesity, smoking, alcohol consumption, physical activities) and the risk of colorectal cancer.
Materials and methods
Genetic variants associated with unhealthy lifestyle factors
In this study, we chose obesity, smoking, alcohol consumption, and physical activity as exposures. SNPs associated with obesity were obtained from a meta-analysis of GWAS for body fat distribution published in 2019, which included nearly 700,000 European individuals from the UK-Biobank and the Genetic Investigation of Anthropometric Traits (GIANT). Obesity indicators included BMI with 670 associated SNPs and WHR with 316 associated SNPs11. SNPs associated with smoking and alcohol consumption were sourced from a published meta-analysis of GWAS datasets summarized by Mengzhen Liu in 201912, which included data from the UK biobank, 23andMe, and multiple epidemiological studies. This analysis included four phenotypes of smoking: smoking initiation (10 associated SNPs), ever smoked regularly (378 associated SNPs), cigarettes per day (55 associated SNPs), smoking cessation (24 associated SNPs), and one phenotype of alcohol consumption: drinks per week (99 associated SNPs). SNPs associated with physical activity were derived from a published meta-analysis of GWAS for habitual physical activity published in 201813, including four phenotypes of physical activities: accelerometer-based physical activity (8 associated SNPs), moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (19 associated SNPs), vigorous physical activity (7 associated SNPs), and strenuous sports or other exercises (14 associated SNPs). Detailed information about these datasets can be found in Table 1. In addition, in our study, to ensure the robustness of our results, SNPs associated with the exposure must meet the GWAS threshold of p < 5 × 10–8, and SNPs must demonstrate a strong correlation with the exposure (F > 10)14. Additionally, linkage disequilibrium analysis was conducted to ensure complete independence between SNPs (r2 < 0.001, kb > 10,000). Finally, palindrome sequences were excluded as they can affect gene expression.
GWAS summary data for colorectal cancer
The GWAS summary data for colorectal cancer were obtained from the FinnGen database (https://r9.finngen.fi/pheno/C3_COLORECTAL_EXALLC), including 3022 colorectal cancer cases and 174,006 controls of European ancestry, ensuring no sample overlap between exposures and outcome. Detailed data sources are presented in Table 1.
Statistical analyses
In this study, we utilized the two-sample Mendelian randomization to investigate the causal association between unhealthy lifestyle factors and the risk of colorectal cancer. Mendelian randomization is a particular study method that uses genetic variation as IVs. Three main assumptions must be met: Assumption 1 (Relevance assumption): IVs must have a stable and robust correlation with the exposure; Assumption 2 (Independence assumption): IVs must be independent of any confounders affecting the exposure-outcome relationship; Assumption 3 (Exclusiveness assumption): IVs can only affect the outcome indirectly through the exposure, not through other pathways (Fig. 1)15.
Overview and assumptions of the Mendelian randomization study. Assumption 1 (Relevance assumption): IVs need to have a stable and robust correlation with the exposure; Assumption 2 (Independence assumption): IVs are independent of any confounders affecting the exposure-outcome relationship; Assumption 3 (Exclusiveness assumption): IVs can only affect the outcome indirectly through the exposure, and not through other approaches.
We utilized inverse-variance weighting (fixed effects and multiplicative random effects), MR-Egger, Weighted median method, MR-pleiotropy residual sum and outlier (MR-PRSESSO to estimate the causal relationship between exposure and outcome. The IVW method was used as the primary research method. When heterogeneity was absent, we used the fixed effects model as the primary method; when heterogeneity was present, we used the random effects model as the primary method16. As supplementary, MR-Egger, Weighted median method, and MR-PRSESSO were employed to test the consistency of causality16,17,18. In sensitivity analysis, we used Cochran’s Q test to estimate heterogeneity and MR-Egger regression analysis to detect horizontal pleiotropy. We also utilized MR-PRESSO to identify and remove abnormal SNPs and calculate whether the results changed after removing outliers. Finally, the leave-one-out method was used to verify whether a single SNP drove the results. Lastly, to ensure the robustness of our results, we also performed multiple testing corrections using the Bonferroni method. Since this study investigates 11 exposure-outcome pairs, we set our p-value threshold at 0.05/11. The results of this study were deemed meaningful, satisfying criteria such as a P-value less than 0.05/11 in the IVW method, consistent directionality of beta values across various methods, and the absence of horizontal pleiotropy; when the p-value falls between 0.05/11 and 0.05, we consider the association between the exposure and the outcome to be suggestive. Our MR analyses were performed using the TwoSampleMR package (version 0.5.7) and MR-PRESSO package (version 1.0) in R (version 4.2.3).
Results
In the heterogeneity test, the P value for Cochran’s Q test of SNPs associated with smoking initiation and cigarettes per day were 0.379 and 0.846, respectively (Table 4). This result indicated no heterogeneity, so we chose IVW (fixed effects) as the primary method. Genetically predicted smoking initiation (OR = 3.48, 95% CI 1.15–10.55; P = 0.028) and cigarettes per day (OR = 1.30, 95% CI 1.01–1.68; P = 0.042) were suggestively associated with an increased risk of colorectal cancer (Table 2 and Figs. 2, 3). In MR-Egger regression analyses, the P values for intercept were 0.769 and 0.518, indicating no horizontal (Table 4); MR-PRESSO did not identify any outliers, and the leave-one-out method showed that the results of this MR analysis were not driven by any single SNP (Fig. S1). The funnel plot indicated a fundamentally symmetrical dispersion of the causal associations, underscoring the absence of discernible bias in the results (Fig. 4). Moreover, the direction of the beta values was consistent across all research methods, confirming the robustness of the results.
For WHR, the heterogeneity test showed that heterogeneity existed (P value for Cochran’s Q test < 0.001) (Table 4), leading us to opt for IVW (multiplicative random effects) as the primary study method. Genetically predicted higher WHR was significantly associated with an increased risk of colorectal cancer (OR = 1.38, 95% CI 1.12–1.70; P = 0.002). Complementary analytical methods yielded consistent results: OR = 1.47, 95% CI 1.09–2.00; P = 0.012 by Weighted median method; OR = 1.38, 95% CI 1.12–1.70; P = 0.003 by MR-PRSESSO; OR = 1.35, 95% CI 0.80–2.26; P = 0.264 by MR-Egger. The MR-Egger result was insignificant, likely due to its insufficient statistical power and susceptibility to outliers (Tables 2, 3 and Figs. 2, 3). MR-Egger regression showed no evidence of horizontal pleiotropy (P value for intercept = 0.916) (Table 4). In MR-PRESSO, we identified and removed outliers and re-performed the MR analysis, and the results still suggested that higher WHR was associated with the increased risk of colorectal cancer ([OR], 95% CI 1.35, 1.12–1.63; P = 0.002). The leave-one-out method confirmed that the results of this MR analysis were not driven by any single SNP (Fig. S1). Additionally, the symmetrical funnel plot further indicated the robustness of the results (Fig. 4).
Discussion
To date, the prevention of colorectal cancer remains a challenging issue. In this study, we utilized a two-sample Mendelian randomization to investigate the causal association between unhealthy lifestyle factors and the risk of colorectal cancer in European populations. The results suggest that a higher WHR is associated with an increased risk of colorectal cancer, and smoking is potentially associated with the incidence of colorectal cancer. However, no definitive evidence was found to support an association between alcohol consumption and physical activity with the incidence of colorectal cancer.
Smoking
Our study found a potential association between smoking and an increased risk of colorectal cancer. A systematic review of six cohort studies and fifteen case–control studies in the Japanese population suggested that smoking may contribute to the increased incidence of rectal cancer, but there was insufficient epidemiologic evidence to prove an association between smoking and colon cancer19. Another prospective study, which included 120,000 Cubans, investigated the relationship between different smoking ages and premature mortality. The results showed that smoking could lead to an increased incidence of various digestive tumors, including colorectal cancer, with the effect being most pronounced in individuals who began smoking before the age of 10. The risk of premature mortality in these individuals was approximately 2.51 times that of non-smokers20. A meta-analysis of 160 observational studies examining the association between smoking and the incidence and mortality of colorectal cancer concluded that smoking was significantly associated with the incidence of colorectal cancer, with a more pronounced effect in rectal cancer21. Despite these findings, the specific mechanism by which smoking mediates colorectal cancer remains unclear. A recent study indicated that smoking may increase the intestinal levels of taurodeoxycholic acid (TADC) by inducing gut microbiota dysbiosis. TADC can activate signaling pathways such as MAPK/ERK, IL-17, and TNF, leading to tumorigenesis. Furthermore, intestinal barrier dysfunction caused by gut microbiota dysbiosis could further facilitate this process22. Our Mendelian randomization analysis suggests a possible association between smoking and colorectal cancer, emphasizing the importance of tobacco control in reducing the long-term burden of this disease.
Alcohol consumption
Our study did not find a causal association between alcohol consumption and the risk of colorectal cancer. This conclusion contrasts with the results of various observational studies. A case–control study examining the relationship between alcohol consumption and colorectal cancer risk in the Mediterranean population concluded that moderate alcohol consumption (12–25 g/day) was a protective factor for colorectal cancer (OR = 0.35; 95% CI 0.16–0.74), while heavy alcohol consumption (more than 48 g/day) was a risk factor for colorectal cancer (OR = 3.45; 95% CI 1.35–8.83). This effect was closely related to the type of wine consumed, with moderate red wine consumption thought to reduce the risk of many types of cancer, including colorectal cancer7. Additionally, a meta-analysis of five case–control studies and eleven prospective nested case–control studies involving 14,276 colorectal cancer cases and 15,802 controls supported this conclusion23. However, a cohort study of dietary inflammatory potential and the risk of colorectal cancer showed that for some specific populations (pro-inflammatory diet), abstaining from alcohol was a risk factor for colorectal cancer (OR = 1.02, P = 0.002)24. Although our MR analysis found no causal association between alcohol consumption and colorectal cancer, the potential effect of alcohol consumption on colorectal cancer cannot be entirely excluded. Our study focused solely on a European population, so further research is necessary to confirm these findings.
Physical activity
While we did not find a causal association between physical activity and colorectal cancer in this study, the role of physical activity in cancer prevention and treatment is well established. A recently published review on the mechanism of exercise in cancer prevention and therapy suggested that physical activity could reduce cancer risk by inhibiting tumor cell proliferation, regulating tumor metabolism and the immune microenvironment, and inducing apoptosis25. Numerous observational studies have also concluded that physical activity reduces the risk of colorectal cancer26,27,28,29,30. Therefore, despite the uncertainty in our MR analysis regarding the causal association between physical activity and colorectal cancer, the potential benefits of exercise should not be overlooked. Future studies with larger sample sizes are warranted to provide a more comprehensive MR analysis.
Obesity
Obesity has been defined by the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) as a risk factor for colorectal cancer31,32, a view confirmed by numerous observational studies. BMI and WHR are both used to evaluate obesity. BMI primarily assesses overall obesity, while WHR evaluates central obesity. BMI is currently the most commonly used indicator to measure obesity. However, a cohort study including 387,672 UK participants concluded that WHR is more powerful and robust in predicting morbidity and mortality than BMI33. A review summarizing the epidemiological and pathophysiological evidence on the relationship between obesity and cancer showed that WHR was more strongly associated with the risk of cancer than BMI34. In addition, numerous studies have demonstrated that WHR has a stronger prediction ability than BMI in diseases such as diabetes, prostate cancer, cardiovascular risk, cirrhosis, and gastroesophageal reflux disease35,36,37,38,39,40. For colorectal cancer, central obesity is more closely associated with the disease than overall obesity. A cohort study of 134,255 Chinese participants investigating the association between weight, fat distribution, and colorectal cancer risk concluded that although both BMI and WHR were significantly associated with the risk of colorectal cancer, in the analyses stratified by WHR and BMI, the positive association between BMI and CRC weakened while that of WHR was still significant41. In this study, we further confirm the causal association between higher WHR and an increased risk of colorectal cancer through two-sample Mendelian randomization. This conclusion suggests that fat distribution should be the focus of future studies on the association between obesity and colorectal cancer rather than total fat.
Our study has several strengths: firstly, we utilized two-sample Mendelian randomization as the study method, which ranks second only to RCTs in the level of causal inference of evidence-based medicine. This method avoids the influence of confounding bias and reverse causality, making the inference of causality more reliable. Additionally, Mendelian randomization is less costly and more accessible than RCTs. Secondly, the SNPs used in our study are all obtained from published genome-wide association study data analysis, which ensures a strong correlation between SNPs and exposure. Thirdly, the data used in this study are all from populations of European ancestry, and the SNPs for exposure and outcome were derived from different sources, thereby avoiding population stratification bias and sample overlap.
Our study also has some limitations. Firstly, our research objectives are limited to the European population, necessitating further research to determine if the results are consistent across other racial groups. Additionally, the impact of unhealthy lifestyle factors on colorectal cancer may vary across different anatomical sites, pathological subtypes, and genders. However, due to the limitations in data availability, there are no suitable GWAS colorectal cancer datasets available for conducting subgroup analyses. A more comprehensive study including different subgroups of colorectal tumors will be implemented in the future. Secondly, the occurrence of most diseases, especially cancers, requires the synergistic effect of multiple genes and environmental factors. Mendelian randomization can only investigate the influence of a single gene and cannot comprehensively consider the complexity of multi-gene synergy. In addition, some potential confounders between the exposure and outcome and an insufficient sample size may bias the conclusion. Therefore, a large number of follow-up studies are needed to further refine the findings of this study.
All in all, this study indicated that higher WHR is a risk factor for colorectal cancer, and smoking is potentially associated with the colorectal cancer risk. From the perspective of basic and clinical research, we suggest that future research on colorectal cancer should not only consider BMI but also give significant attention to WHR. From the perspective of Epidemiology and public health, this study highlights the importance of quitting smoking and maintaining healthy weight and provides a reference for the prevention and treatment of colorectal cancer in the future.
Conclusion
Our MR analysis indicates a causal association between a higher waist-to-hip ratio and the risk of colorectal cancer and a suggestive association between smoking and the risk of colorectal cancer among Europeans.
Data availability
The exposure datasets analyzed during this study are included in its supplementary information files. The datasets of outcome analyzed during the current study are available in the [FinnGen] repository, [https://www.finngen.fi/].
Abbreviations
- MR:
-
Mendelian randomization
- RCTs:
-
Randomized controlled trials
- CRC:
-
Colorectal cancer
- SNP:
-
Single nucleotide polymorphisms
- IVs:
-
Instrumental variables
- GWAS:
-
Genome-wide association study
- BMI:
-
Body mass index
- WHR:
-
Waist-to-hip ratio
- IVW:
-
Inverse variance weighted
- IARC:
-
International agency for research on cancer
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Q.T. conceived and organized this research. X.L., Z.C., S.P., and K.D. collected and collated data on exposure and outcomes. X.L. and J.W. performed Mendelian randomization analyses. X.L. and Z.C. drew tables and figures and wrote the raw manuscript. Q.T. and H.H. checked the results and revised the manuscript. All authors had no objections to the final manuscript.
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Li, X., Chang, Z., Wang, J. et al. Unhealthy lifestyle factors and the risk of colorectal cancer: a Mendelian randomization study. Sci Rep 14, 13825 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-64813-y
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-64813-y
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