Groundwater Risk Assessment and Management Strategies

Summary

Groundwater underpins drinking-water supplies, agriculture and ecosystem services worldwide, yet it faces mounting threats from overexploitation, contamination and climate-driven variability. Risk assessment brings together data on aquifer properties, recharge and human pressures to identify zones of greatest vulnerability. Approaches range from index-based methods that rank contamination susceptibility, through process-oriented modelling of flow and transport, to probabilistic frameworks that quantify uncertainty. Management strategies integrate these assessments into land-use planning, abstraction control, contaminant source regulation and infrastructure design to prevent or mitigate adverse outcomes. Early-warning tools and decision support systems increasingly couple groundwater models with meteorological forecasts to anticipate flooding or drought. Adaptive management requires stakeholder engagement and policy instruments that balance supply demands with long-term aquifer health. Recent advances have emphasised high-resolution mapping, integrated surface–subsurface modelling and risk communication to translate complex science into actionable guidance. The global significance of groundwater risk assessment lies in its capacity to inform sustainable resource allocation, protect public health and preserve ecosystem functions in a changing climate.

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Groundwater Risk Assessment and Management Strategies publication trend

The graph below shows the total number of articles in groundwater risk assessment and management strategies across all publications each year (not limited to Nature Index journals).

Technical terms

Aquifer: A subsurface geological formation capable of storing and transmitting groundwater to wells and springs.

Groundwater flooding: Inundation caused by rising groundwater levels exceeding the ground surface or drainage capacity.

Vulnerability index: A quantitative measure of the susceptibility of an aquifer to contamination or external stressors.

Inundation modelling: Computational simulation of water spread over land taking into account surface and subsurface flow.

References

  1. Impacts of climate change on groundwater flooding and ecohydrology in lowland karst. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (2021).
  2. Towards integrated flood inundation modelling in groundwater-dominated catchments. Journal of Hydrology (2020).
  3. Assessment of Groundwater Contamination Risk in Oilfield Drilling Sites Based on Groundwater Vulnerability, Pollution Source Hazard, and Groundwater Value Function in Yitong County. Water (2022).

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