Health Workforce Planning and Policy Development

Summary

Health workforce planning and policy development is a systematic process that aligns the supply, distribution and skill mix of health professionals with current and future population health needs. It encompasses diverse methodologies—from simple population-to-provider ratio models to complex system dynamics simulations—that estimate future demand, assess capacity, identify gaps and inform policy levers such as education, migration, retention and scope of practice. Effective planning must integrate demographic trends, epidemiological shifts, technological innovation and health-system reforms. Policies developed on robust evidence seek to ensure sustainable training pipelines, equitable distribution and adaptive regulation. Global initiatives highlight the importance of interprofessional collaboration and dynamic monitoring to respond to emerging challenges such as ageing populations, noncommunicable disease burden and workforce burnout. By translating methodological insights into actionable policy—such as financing incentives, regulation of training intake and novel workforce models—health systems can enhance access, quality and cost-effectiveness of care.

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Health Workforce Planning and Policy Development publication trend

The graph below shows the total number of articles in health workforce planning and policy development across all publications each year (not limited to Nature Index journals).

Technical terms

Stock-and-flow model: describes workforce supply by modelling entries (training, immigration) and exits (retirement, attrition) over time.

System dynamics: simulation technique that captures feedback loops, delays and interactions among multiple factors in complex systems.

Needs-based approach: planning method that estimates workforce requirements according to population health needs rather than service utilisation alone.

Skill mix: the combination and balance of different health professional roles and competencies required to deliver care efficiently.

Good practice reporting guideline: a standardised framework for documenting methodological assumptions, data sources and model structure to ensure transparency.

References

  1. Methods for health workforce projection model: systematic review and recommended good practice reporting guideline. Human Resources for Health (2024).
  2. Simulating future supply of and requirements for human resources for health in high-income OECD countries. Human Resources for Health (2016).
  3. Needs-based planning for the oral health workforce - development and application of a simulation model. Human Resources for Health (2019).

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