Main

AD is biologically defined by the brain accumulation of Aβ and tau proteins1. However, a growing body of work indicates that these proteinopathies alone do not fully explain the clinical progression of AD2,3. This suggests that additional pathological mechanisms are involved in the AD pathological cascade. In fact, it has been proposed that neuroinflammation plays a pivotal role in determining patients’ susceptibility to dementia, with microglia and astrocytes orchestrating the repertoire of immune responses4.

In pathological conditions, astrocytes undergo molecular, functional and morphological changes, a process referred to as reactive astrogliosis5. Despite increasing evidence of astrocyte involvement in AD progression3, the biological underpinnings of reactive astrogliosis in this neurodegenerative condition remain elusive. Although Aβ pathology is an important trigger of astrocyte reactivity6,7,8, other pathological components of AD have also been implicated in promoting reactive astrogliosis, notably microglial activation/reactivity3. Instead of solely being a response to Aβ deposition, compelling experimental data demonstrate that activated microglia can induce astrocyte reactivity through the secretion of inflammatory cytokines9, highlighting a close relationship between Aβ and glial cells. This raises the possibility that microglial activation may account for the fact that Aβ drives astrocyte reactivity in some individuals but not in others10. However, to our knowledge, no previous clinical study has addressed whether microglial activation can modulate astrocyte reactivity in response to Aβ pathology in the living human brain. Better understanding the microglia−astrocyte crosstalk in AD may provide valuable insights for developing therapies targeting glial cells.

Using imaging and fluid biomarkers for the quantification of glial reactivity and AD hallmark proteinopathies, we tested the hypothesis that microglia impact the effects of Aβ pathology on reactive astrogliosis in individuals across the aging and AD clinical spectrum. In addition, we assessed whether gene expression patterns resemble the in vivo relationship between Aβ pathology and glial reactivity. Lastly, we investigated whether glial reactivity could aid in explaining the associations among Aβ, tau and cognitive impairment.

Results

We studied 101 individuals aged 50 years or older from the Translational Biomarkers in Aging and Dementia (TRIAD) cohort who had complete positron emission tomography (PET) data for Aβ ([18F]AZD4694) and translocator protein (TSPO) ([11C]PBR28) as well as clinical assessments and plasma glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) measurements. Participants were also assessed for plasma phosphorylated tau at threonine 217 (p-tau217) and tau PET imaging ([18F]MK-6240). Selection of study participants for the primary sample is displayed in Extended Data Fig. 1. Individuals were genotyped for the rs6971 single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) in the TSPO gene, which determines the binding affinity of the [11C]PBR28 radiotracer for the TSPO11. Because the rs6971 SNP is a methodological caveat that does not influence TSPO levels, glial reactivity or AD pathophysiology12, only high-affinity binders were included in the present study to mitigate noise related to artificial uptake variations. Among the primary sample, a total of 62 were cognitively unimpaired, and 39 were cognitively impaired (26 with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and 13 with AD dementia; Table 1 and Supplementary Table 1). Analyses with cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 2 (sTREM2) were conducted in the secondary sample, which was composed of 251 participants (214 cognitively unimpaired and 37 cognitively impaired) from the Wisconsin Registry for Alzheimer’s Prevention (WRAP) and TRIAD cohorts (Supplementary Table 2). These individuals had available data for Aβ PET ([18F]AZD4694 or [11C]PiB), CSF sTREM2 and plasma GFAP. Here, TSPO PET and CSF sTREM2 were used as markers of microglial activation, and plasma GFAP was used as a marker of astrocyte reactivity. Time differences among imaging, fluid and cognitive data are reported in Supplementary Tables 3 and 4.

Table 1 Characteristics of study participants in the primary sample

Aβ pathology associates with astrocyte reactivity only in the presence of microglial activation

We first investigated the association of TSPO PET and Aβ PET with plasma GFAP in the primary sample. Regression analyses revealed a significant positive association between global Aβ PET standardized uptake value ratio (SUVR) and plasma GFAP levels in TSPO microglial activation-positive (MA+TSPO) individuals (β = 0.618, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.310−0.926, P < 0.001) but not in TSPO microglial activation-negative (MATSPO) individuals (β = 0.185, 95% CI: −0.133 to 0.502, P = 0.247) as well as a significant interaction of Aβ PET SUVR and MATSPO status with plasma GFAP levels (β = 0.528, 95% CI: 0.172−0.883, P = 0.004; Fig. 1a and Supplementary Table 5). Additionally, a significant interaction between continuous values of Aβ PET and TSPO PET on plasma GFAP levels (β = 0.302, 95% CI: 0.116−0.489, P = 0.002; Fig. 1b and Supplementary Table 5) further supported that microglial activation affects the association of Aβ pathology with reactive astrogliosis, independently of the threshold used to define MA+TSPO. Analysis of variance corroborated the adequacy of the interaction model compared to the reduced models (including only Aβ PET, only TSPO PET or their additive effects; all P < 0.05). Similar findings were observed in sensitivity analyses using other summary measures of TSPO PET (Extended Data Fig. 2) as well as including outliers (Supplementary Table 6). Region-wise linear regressions showed that Aβ PET burden was positively associated with plasma GFAP levels only in the presence of MA+TSPO across cortical areas, including the frontal, parietal, temporal and cingulate cortices (Fig. 1c and Extended Data Fig. 3). In a subsequent analysis assessing continuous values for the topographical distribution of microglial activation, we found that the relationship between Aβ PET burden and plasma GFAP levels was influenced by TSPO PET uptake in the cingulate and frontal brain regions (Fig. 1d and Extended Data Fig. 4). Using microarray-based postmortem data from the Allen Human Brain Atlas (AHBA), we found that the greatest microglia-related effects of Aβ on astrocyte reactivity observed in our study population occurred in cortical regions with elevated TSPO mRNA expression, with the variogram estimation null model supporting a spatial correlation between brain maps (r = 0.253, P < 0.001; Fig. 1e). In the secondary sample, we examined the association of CSF sTREM2 and Aβ PET with plasma GFAP. Regression analyses demonstrated that higher Aβ PET burden was related to higher plasma GFAP levels, with a smaller magnitude in sTREM2 microglial activation-negative (MAsTREM2) individuals (β = 0.009, 95% CI: 0.003−0.015, P = 0.004) and a greater magnitude in sTREM2 microglial activation-positive (MA+sTREM2) individuals (β = 0.024, 95% CI: 0.017−0.031, P < 0.001). The stronger effects according to microglial activation levels were supported by a significant interaction of Aβ PET and MAsTREM2 status on plasma GFAP levels (β = 0.013, 95% CI: 0.005−0.021, P = 0.001; Fig. 1f) as well as by the model assessing the association between continuous values of Aβ PET, CSF sTREM2 and plasma GFAP (β = 0.005, 95% CI: 0.001−0.008, P = 0.012; Fig. 1g). Analysis of variance confirmed that the investigated relationships were best described by the model with the interaction term in comparison to reduced models (including only Aβ PET, only CSF sTREM2 or their additive effects; all P < 0.05). Similar results were observed when stratifying participants by study cohort (Extended Data Fig. 5). Exploratory analyses demonstrated that sex affected the association between CSF sTREM2 (but not TSPO PET) and Aβ PET with plasma GFAP (Extended Data Fig. 6).

Fig. 1: Microglial activation influences Aβ effects on astrocyte reactivity.
figure 1

a, Scatter plot displaying the association between global Aβ PET and plasma GFAP according to MATSPO status (MA+TSPO: exact P = 2.01 × 10−4). Error bands represent the 95% CI of regression lines. b, Continuous association among global Aβ PET, posterior cingulate TSPO PET and plasma GFAP. c, Region-wise linear regression T-map showing the association between Aβ PET and plasma GFAP across cortical areas according to MATSPO status. d, Region-wise linear regression T-map showing the interaction of global Aβ PET and TSPO PET on plasma GFAP across cortical areas. e, Brain map showing the result of voxel-wise linear regression testing the interaction of Aβ PET and TSPO PET on plasma GFAP across the cortex. The color scale represents β estimates of the interaction term (top left). Brain map depicting TSPO mRNA expression across the cortex in six individuals from the AHBA. The color scale represents log2 mRNA expression intensity (top right). Spatial similarity between maps was assessed using the variogram-matching method with two-sided testing. Histogram depicting the null distribution, with the point indicating the empirical Pearson correlation coefficient (bottom; exact P = 5.00 × 10−4). f, Scatter plot displaying the association between global Aβ PET and plasma GFAP according to MAsTREM2 status (MA+sTREM2: exact P = 1.15 × 10−10). Error bands represent the 95% CI of regression lines. g, Continuous association among global Aβ PET, CSF sTREM2 and plasma GFAP. β estimates and corresponding two-sided P values were computed from linear regression models (a,b,f,g). In all regressions, biomarker levels were standardized, and models were adjusted for age, sex and cognitive status. The interaction models also accounted for the main effects of the interaction terms. For secondary analysis involving CSF sTREM2, Aβ PET was assessed in centiloids, and cohort was included as a variable for adjustment in regression models. The tilde symbol (~) indicates that the variable on the left (response variable) is regressed on the variable(s) on the right (predictor variable(s)).

Microglial and astrocyte reactivity jointly relate to tau phosphorylation and aggregation

Next, we assessed the association of TSPO PET and plasma GFAP with tau biomarkers. Although fluid p-tau and tau PET detect tau abnormalities in AD, these biomarkers reflect distinct aspects of tau pathology: fluid p-tau captures soluble hyperphosphorylated tau forms, whereas tau PET targets insoluble tau aggregates13. Regression analysis showed that plasma GFAP levels were positively associated with plasma p-tau217 levels in MA+TSPO individuals (β = 0.658, 95% CI: 0.323−0.993, P < 0.001) but not in MATSPO individuals (β = 0.110, 95% CI: −0.091 to 0.312, P = 0.276) and that the interaction between plasma GFAP and MATSPO status was significantly associated with higher plasma p-tau217 levels (β = 0.471, 95% CI: 0.125−0.816, P = 0.008; Fig. 2a and Supplementary Table 7). Moreover, a significant interaction was also observed between continuous levels of plasma GFAP and TSPO PET uptake on plasma p-tau217 levels (β = 0.201, 95% CI: 0.024−0.377, P = 0.026; Fig. 2b and Supplementary Table 7), reinforcing that the relationship between reactive astrogliosis and tau phosphorylation depends on microglial activation levels, irrespective of the threshold used to determine MA+TSPO. The adequacy of the interaction model compared to the reduced models (including only plasma GFAP, only TSPO PET or their additive effects) was supported by analysis of variance (all P < 0.05). Similar results were observed in sensitivity analyses including outliers (Supplementary Table 8). In region-wise linear regressions, we observed that higher plasma GFAP levels were associated with tau PET accumulation only in the presence of MA+TSPO mainly in neocortical brain regions, comprising temporal structures as well as association and sensorimotor cortices (Fig. 2c and Extended Data Fig. 7).

Fig. 2: Microglia-dependent effects of Aβ on astrocyte reactivity contribute to cognitive impairment via tau pathology.
figure 2

a, Scatter plot displaying the association between plasma GFAP and plasma p-tau217 according to MATSPO status (MA+TSPO: exact P = 2.96 × 10−4). β estimates and corresponding two-sided P values were computed from linear regression models. Error bands represent the 95% CI of regression lines. b, Continuous association among plasma GFAP, posterior cingulate TSPO PET and plasma p-tau217. β estimate and corresponding two-sided P value were computed from a linear regression model. c, Region-wise linear regression T-map showing the association between plasma GFAP and tau PET across cortical areas according to MATSPO status. In all regressions, biomarker levels were standardized, and models were adjusted for age, sex and cognitive status. The interaction models also accounted for the main effects of the interaction terms. d,e, Structural equation modeling testing the associations among Aβ (global Aβ PET), reactive astrogliosis (plasma GFAP), tau phosphorylation (plasma p-tau217), tau tangles (temporal meta-ROI tau PET) and cognition (MMSE) in MATSPO (d) and MA+TSPO (e) individuals. Associations were adjusted for age, sex and (if involving cognition) years of education. Solid lines with standardized β estimates and 95% CI represent significant associations, and dashed lines represent non-significant effects. Analyses involving plasma p-tau217 were performed in a subset of 93 individuals. From the total study population of 101 individuals, five participants did not have available plasma p-tau217 measurements, and three were excluded as they were considered outliers (plasma p-tau217 levels 3 s.d. above the mean of the population). MMSE, Mini-Mental State Examination.

Glial reactivity contributes to AD-related cognitive impairment

Lastly, we applied structural equation modeling to test the associations among Aβ, astrocyte reactivity, tau phosphorylation, tau tangles and cognition according to MATSPO status. In MATSPO individuals, we observed direct effects of Aβ PET load only on higher plasma p-tau217 levels and tau PET burden, with no significant associations with cognitive impairment (Fig. 2d). This model fit the data poorly (root mean squared error of approximation (RMSEA) = 0.257, standardized root mean square residual (SRMR) = 0.069, comparative fit index (CFI) = 0.888). Conversely, in MA+TSPO individuals, we found that plasma GFAP levels partially mediated the effects of Aβ PET load on higher plasma p-tau217, which was further associated with cognitive impairment through increased tau PET accumulation. The model also demonstrated pathways by which Aβ PET was related to cognitive deterioration via direct associations with tau pathology biomarkers (plasma p-tau217 and tau PET; Fig. 2e). This construct explained 76% of the variance in cognitive impairment and fit the data well (RMSEA = 0.000, SRMR = 0.018, CFI = 1.000). Supplementary Tables 9 and 10 report detailed coefficients and associated statistics for structural equation models. Exploratory analyses assessing tau PET across Braak-like regions and evaluating the associations of biomarkers with memory function are reported in Extended Data Figs. 8 and 9, respectively.

Discussion

In the present study, we observed that microglia modulate Aβ effects on astrocyte reactivity in the living human brain. We also found that the physiological distribution of TSPO gene expression in the postmortem brain resembles this in vivo relationship between Aβ pathology and glial reactivity. Lastly, we showed that the microglia-dependent impact of Aβ on astrocyte reactivity was further associated with cognitive impairment through tau phosphorylation and aggregation.

We found that Aβ pathology was associated with GFAP levels across cortical brain regions only in the presence of increased TSPO PET signal. Notably, we observed similar results when using CSF sTREM2, a different marker of microglial activation. Experimental studies revealed that Aβ is closely related to astrocyte reactivity6,7,14,15. Accordingly, neuropathological investigations showed that GFAP+ reactive astrocytes surround Aβ plaques and mirror the topographical distribution of Aβ deposition in the AD brain8,16. This is further supported by observations that CSF and, more prominently, plasma levels of GFAP are associated with Aβ biomarkers17,18. Beyond Aβ accumulation, an animal study demonstrated that microglial activation also triggers astrocyte reactivity by secreting interleukin 1α (IL-1α), tumor necrosis factor (TNF) and complement component 1, subcomponent q (C1q) cytokines9. Microglial activation is an important pathological feature of AD and has an intimate communication with reactive astrocytes in coordinating the innate immune response in the brain4,19. Here, we build on previous experimental data by showing clinical evidence that microglia modulate the Aβ-induced astrocyte reactivity in the living AD human brain. Analyzing postmortem data from the AHBA, we identified a spatial similarity between TSPO mRNA expression patterns and the topography of Aβ−glia interactions in the AD brain. Nonetheless, although strong correspondence was observed in some brain regions, the modest strength of the spatial correlation also revealed regional discrepancies between brain maps. We interpret this finding as biologically meaningful, suggesting that the physiological distribution of TSPO gene expression may help to partially explain microglia-driven effects of Aβ on astrocyte reactivity across the cortex. It is likely that regional heterogeneity of glial cells in aging and disease20,21 contributes to explaining the mismatch across some cortical brain areas. Interestingly, exploratory analyses revealed sex differences in the association between Aβ and glial reactivity when assessing microglial activation with CSF sTREM2 but not with TSPO PET. In line with previous studies suggesting that sex modulates microglial effects in AD and also contributes to microglial heterogeneity22,23,24, our results might reflect distinct sex effects across the microglial phenotypes captured by each biomarker. However, these findings should be interpreted with caution, as this study was not designed to test sex effects and included a higher proportion of women. Whether the role of activated microglia in modulating Aβ-related astrocyte reactivity differs by sex warrants further investigation.

We observed that TSPO PET and plasma GFAP levels were jointly associated with tau biomarkers. Rather than merely being a response to the accumulation of AD hallmark proteins, a growing body of work supports the notion that both microglia and astrocytes are involved in tau pathogenesis through the exacerbation of tau spread and hyperphosphorylation as well as tau-driven neurodegeneration25,26,27,28,29,30. Accordingly, recent biomarker-based clinical studies have suggested that glial reactivity might help to explain the link between Aβ and tau pathology. More specifically, it was demonstrated that astrocyte reactivity, indexed by plasma GFAP, impacts Aβ effects on tau pathology in individuals across the AD continuum10,31. In addition, neuroimaging data demonstrated that the interaction between Aβ and activated microglia is crucial for tau pathology progression32. In the present study, we propose a model in which the interplay between Aβ and reactive astrogliosis contributes to tau pathology in the presence of activated microglia. It is important to consider that fluid p-tau and tau PET are complementary tools to assess tau pathology, with notable differences in their timing relationships13. Fluid p-tau captures soluble hyperphosphorylated tau forms and has been shown to become abnormal in preclinical stages, preceding detectable changes in tau PET signal33,34,35. The stronger association with Aβ PET than with tau PET36, along with evidence that it mediates Aβ effects on tangle accumulation37,38, supports p-tau as a marker reflecting pathological tau phosphorylation driven by Aβ pathology. By contrast, tau PET targets insoluble tau tangles, with abnormalities in the neocortex typically detected in AD symptomatic stages39. The topography of tau PET signal has been shown to closely relate to downstream AD features, as it is a major predictor of brain atrophy40 and clinical progression41, corroborating the use of tau PET as a late measure of tau pathology that indicates tau aggregation. Our results align with these concepts by revealing glial-mediated effects of Aβ on pathological tau phosphorylation, which were further associated with subsequent tau aggregation, ultimately leading to the manifestation of cognitive symptoms. Altogether, these observations reinforce the importance of microglial activation and astrocyte reactivity in AD progression, suggesting glial cells as potential therapeutic targets for future disease-modifying clinical trials.

Methodological strengths of our study include the evaluation of a large cohort genetically enriched to increase the reliability of TSPO PET imaging. Moreover, the most advanced methodologies for the brain quantification of Aβ, tau and glial reactivity were used. Notably, microglial activation was assessed using two biomarkers (TSPO PET and CSF sTREM2) across well-characterized cohorts. This study also has methodological limitations. TRIAD and WRAP participants are volunteers who were motivated to participate in a study about dementia, which might limit the generalizability of our findings due to self-selection bias. Here, we used [11C]PBR28 TSPO PET and CSF sTREM2 as indices of microglial activation and plasma GFAP as an index of astrocyte reactivity. However, neuroinflammation involves various glial phenotypes during AD progression5,24, which could not be captured in our biomarker-based study. Although TSPO is predominantly expressed in the AD brain by microglia42,43,44,45, it has also been detected in other cell types (for example, astrocytes and endothelial cells)12,44,45,46. In addition, there is an ongoing discussion about whether the TSPO PET signal more accurately reflects microglial activation/reactivity or density/recruitment47. To elucidate the biological mechanisms underlying our findings, future research integrating biomarkers with phenotypically characterized glial cells is needed to better understand the neuroinflammatory response in AD. Lastly, it is important to note that the cross-sectional design of the present study limits causal inferences. Our results should be expanded with multimodal longitudinal data to capture the temporal dynamics and sequential relationships between glial and AD biomarkers.

In conclusion, our results support the construct that microglia activation is a key factor in Aβ-dependent reactive astrogliosis, which further contributes to cognitive impairment via the aggregation of phosphorylated tau in the living AD human brain.

Methods

The present study complies with all relevant ethical regulations, in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki. The TRIAD study was approved by the Montreal Neurological Institute (MNI) PET Working Committee and the Douglas Mental Health University Institute Research Ethics Board (IUSMD-16-60). The WRAP study was approved by the University of Wisconsin-Madison Institutional Review Board (2023-1522). All participants provided written informed consent, and they were compensated in accordance with the number of study procedures completed.

Participants

The present work included individuals enrolled in the TRIAD (https://triad.tnl-mcgill.com) and WRAP (https://wrap.wisc.edu) cohorts. TRIAD is a biomarker-based study launched in 2017 that comprises participants from the community or outpatients at the McGill University Research Centre for Studies in Aging, Canada. Exclusion criteria encompassed inability to speak English or French, inadequate auditory and visual capacities for neuropsychologic testing, contraindications for PET or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), recent head trauma or major surgery, inadequately treated conditions, current enrollment in other studies or active substance abuse. Cognitively unimpaired individuals had no objective cognitive impairment and a global Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR) of 0. Participants with MCI had preserved activities of daily living, subjective and/or objective cognitive impairment and a global CDR of 0.5 (ref. 48). Patients with mild-to-moderate AD dementia met the National Institute on Aging and the Alzheimer’s Association (NIA-AA) criteria for probable AD49 and had a global CDR score between 0.5 and 2. WRAP is an observational study50 conducted by the Wisconsin Alzheimer Institute at the University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health. Since 2001, the cohort has enrolled dementia-free individuals from the community, enriched for a parental history of probable AD dementia. Inclusion criteria comprised fluency in English, adequate visual and auditory acuity to complete neuropsychological assessments and good overall health, with no medical conditions expected to affect study participation. Cognitive status at each study visit was defined based on a consensus diagnosis by a multiprofessional committee of dementia specialists50, with MCI diagnosis following the NIA-AA criteria51.

In the primary sample, individuals underwent genotyping for the Ala147Thr polymorphism in the TSPO gene (rs6971, https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/snp/rs6971). Depending on this genotype, participants can present three [11C]PBR28 binding affinity phenotypes: low-affinity, mixed-affinity or high-affinity binders11. [11C]PBR28 signal is negligible in low-affinity binders and heterogeneous in mixed-affinity binders52. Thus, only high-affinity binders were included to minimize artificial inter-subject TSPO PET signal variability32. All participants included in the primary sample were from the TRIAD study and had available Aβ PET, TSPO microglial activation PET, MRI, plasma GFAP and clinical assessments. We also assessed plasma p-tau217 and tau tangle PET data. In the primary sample, two individuals who had plasma GFAP levels 3 s.d. above the mean of the population were considered outliers and were excluded from the analyses. Secondary analyses assessing microglial activation with CSF sTREM2 were performed in individuals without dementia from the WRAP and TRIAD studies with available Aβ PET, MRI, CSF sTREM2, plasma GFAP and clinical assessments. To minimize inter-cohort differences, this set of analyses was restricted to cognitively unimpaired and MCI individuals, given that no WRAP participant had a clinical diagnosis of dementia. In the secondary sample, three TRIAD participants and four WRAP participants with biomarker levels (Aβ PET, CSF sTREM2 or plasma GFAP) 3 s.d. above the mean of the population were identified as outliers, as defined a priori and excluded from the analyses. Of note, 43 TRIAD participants were shared between the primary and secondary samples.

Fluid biomarkers

Blood and CSF collection followed TRIAD36,53 and WRAP54,55 procedures. Plasma biomarkers were quantified using single-molecule array (Simoa) methods on the HD-X platform (Quanterix). In TRIAD and WRAP, plasma GFAP concentration was measured with a commercially available assay from Quanterix at the Clinical Neurochemistry Laboratory, University of Gothenburg17. Plasma p-tau217 concentration in TRIAD was measured at Johnson & Johnson56. CSF sTREM2 was measured using an in-house assay on a SECTOR Imager 6000 (MesoScale Discovery)57 in TRIAD and the NeuroToolKit on a cobas e 411 analyzer (Roche Diagnostics)58 in WRAP, both at the Clinical Neurochemistry Laboratory, University of Gothenburg. We used a residual approach to calculate batch-adjusted biomarker values when appropriate. In TRIAD, sTREM2 microglial activation positivity (MA+sTREM2) was determined as CSF sTREM2 levels surpassing the mean plus 2 s.d. from a separate population of 24 cognitively unimpaired Aβ young adults (Supplementary Table 11). In WRAP, the positivity threshold was set to correspond to the same percentile of MA+sTREM2 observed among cognitively unimpaired TRIAD participants aged 65−75 years.

Brain gene expression

We obtained TSPO gene expression data in the entire brain from the open-source AHBA (http://www.brain-map.org)59. In brief, mRNA expression intensity values were derived from microarray data of 3,702 samples from six healthy postmortem human brains (Supplementary Table 12). Microarray-based TSPO mRNA brain expression map, generated using Gaussian process regression60, was retrieved from https://www.meduniwien.ac.at/neuroimaging/mRNA.html.

Neuroimaging

For TRIAD, all participants had a T1-weighted MRI that was used for co-registration18. Structural MRI data were acquired at the MNI on a 3T Siemens Magnetom scanner using a standard head coil. High-resolution structural images of the whole brain were obtained with the magnetization-prepared rapid acquisition gradient echo MRI sequence. All PET scans were acquired at the MNI on the same brain-dedicated Siemens High-Resolution Research Tomograph. Aβ PET with [18F]AZD4694 (acquired 40−70 minutes after injection), tau tangle PET with [18F]MK-6240 (acquired 90−110 minutes after injection) and TSPO microglial activation PET with [11C]PBR28 (acquired 60−90 minutes after injection) were reconstructed with the ordered subset expectation maximization (OSEM) algorithm on a four-dimensional volume with three frames (3 × 600 seconds)61, four frames (4 × 300 seconds)61 and six frames (6 × 300 seconds)32, respectively. After acquisition, PET images were corrected for attenuation, motion, dead time, decay and random and scattered coincidences. T1-weighted MRI images were corrected for non-uniformity and field distortions in accordance with an in-house pipeline. Then, imaging co-registration and spatial normalization to the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) template space were performed. The ADNI template space is a stereotactic template aligned to MNI coordinates, which is derived from MRI scans of cognitively unimpaired elderly individuals, individuals with MCI and individuals with AD dementia and, thus, represents an anatomical template optimized for neuroimaging studies in older adults across the aging and AD spectrum62. PET images were automatically registered to the native T1-weighted MRI with linear transformations, and T1-weighted MRI images were linearly and nonlinearly registered to the ADNI template space. Subsequently, PET images were registered to the ADNI template space by applying the linear and nonlinear transformation parameters from PET to native MRI and native MRI to the ADNI template space. Aβ PET SUVR and TSPO PET SUVR were calculated using the whole cerebellar gray matter as reference region32,63. Tau PET SUVR was calculated using the inferior cerebellar gray matter as reference region39. PET images were spatially smoothed to achieve a final resolution of 8-mm full width at half-maximum. The Desikan−Killiany−Tourville atlas was used to determine the anatomical regions of interest (ROIs)64. The global Aβ PET SUVR composite was estimated from the following brain regions: precuneus, prefrontal, orbitofrontal, parietal, temporal and cingulate65. Aβ positivity (Aβ+) was established as global [18F]AZD4694 SUVR ≥ 1.55 (ref. 66). We used the temporal meta-ROI as a summary measure for tau PET, as it has been proposed to be an appropriate composite for detecting early tau aggregation in AD by including both medial temporal and neocortical areas, thereby encompassing regions affected across the aging and AD continuum65,67. The temporal meta-ROI tau PET SUVR composite was estimated from the following brain regions: entorhinal, hippocampus, fusiform, parahippocampal, inferior temporal and middle temporal65. Tau PET SUVR was also estimated across Braak-like regions, as described elsewhere39. We assessed TSPO PET in the posterior cingulate as we identified higher [11C]PBR28 uptake in this brain region as a cortical microglial activation/reactivity signature of AD (Extended Data Fig. 10)32. We also conducted sensitivity analyses using other summary measures of TSPO PET, defined as follows: (1) a composite brain region encompassing all areas with increased TSPO PET SUVR in AD Aβ+ compared to cognitively unimpaired Aβ and (2) a composite brain region comprising areas within the top decile (that is, above the 90th percentile) for TSPO PET SUVR differences between AD Aβ+ and cognitively unimpaired Aβ individuals. Microglial activation positivity (MA+TSPO) was defined as SUVR values 2 s.d. above the mean from a separate population of 17 cognitively unimpaired Aβ young adults (Supplementary Table 11).

For WRAP, all participants included in this study had acquired a T1-weighted MRI for co-registration purposes on a 3T GE Signa 750 scanner using an eight-channel head coil at the University of Wisconsin-Madison Waisman Center Brain Imaging Lab68. PET imaging with [11C]Pittsburgh Compound-B ([11C]PiB) was acquired on a Siemens HR+ scanner at the University of Wisconsin-Madison Waisman Center Brain Imaging Lab68. Dynamic [11C]PiB PET images were acquired 0−70 minutes after injection of the radiotracer. Images were reconstructed with a filtered back-projection algorithm, with five 2-minute frames followed by 12 5-minute frames (total of 17 frames). Corrections were applied for random events, attenuation of annihilation radiation, dead time, scanner normalization, scatter radiation and motion. [11C]PiB PET data were co-registered to each participant’s T1-weighted MRI and transformed into voxel-wise parametric distribution volume ratio (DVR) maps using Logan graphical analysis (35−70-minute interval and mean efflux constant of 0.149 per minute), with the cerebellum gray matter as the reference region. DVRs were spatially normalized to the MNI space and smoothed with an 8-mm full width at half maximum Gaussian kernel. Global Aβ PET burden was calculated by averaging the [11C]PiB DVR from eight bilateral ROIs (angular gyrus, anterior cingulate gyrus, posterior cingulate gyrus, frontal medial orbital gyrus, precuneus, supramarginal gyrus, middle temporal gyrus and superior temporal gyrus)69, which were defined using the Automated Anatomical Labeling atlas70 and linearly translated to the centiloid scale71.

Statistical analysis

Statistical analyses were carried out using R software (version 4.0.2, http://www.r-project.org/), unless stated otherwise. The associations between biomarkers were tested using regression models accounting for age, sex and cognitive status. Regression models including interaction terms also accounted for the main effects of the variables involved in the interaction. Biomarker levels were standardized prior to model entry to facilitate comparison across estimates. For secondary analysis involving CSF sTREM2, fluid biomarkers were standardized based on the mean and s.d. of each cohort’s cognitively unimpaired Aβ subset, and cohort was included as a variable for adjustment in regression models combining WRAP and TRIAD data. Normality of residuals, homoscedasticity and linearity were visually assessed, but this was not formally tested. Additionally, exploratory analyses were conducted to investigate sex effects on the association of microglial activation markers (TSPO PET and CSF sTREM2) and Aβ PET with plasma GFAP. Multiple comparisons correction with the false discovery rate method at P < 0.05 and sensitivity analysis were performed for primary analyses. Analysis of variance was used to test the adequacy of models with the interaction term compared to reduced models. The Python neuromaps toolbox72 was used to test whether TSPO mRNA expression intensity resembles Aβ−glia relationships across cortical brain regions in our population, applying the spatial autocorrelation-preserving variogram-matching model73 at the voxel level (2-mm resolution), with null distributions derived from 1,000 null maps. For this, voxel-wise analysis assessing Aβ−glia relationships was carried out using the MATLAB package VoxelStats74. Structural equation modeling was applied using the R package lavaan75 to test the associations among Aβ, tau, glial reactivity and cognition. Associations were adjusted for age, sex and (if involving cognition) years of education. Notably, structural equation models were constructed to assess specific hypotheses represented in the figure’s meta-models, and the following thresholds were used for considering a good fit: CFI > 0.97; RMSEA < 0.05; SRMR < 0.05 (refs. 76,77). Sample sizes were based on data availability, and, thus, no statistical methods were used to predetermine sample sizes. The collection and processing of biomarkers were performed in a blinded manner for clinical diagnosis. For all analyses, we considered a two-sided P < 0.05 as statistically significant.

Reporting summary

Further information on research design is available in the Nature Portfolio Reporting Summary linked to this article.